Ellas Syros are poised to defend a tight, low-scoring affair. Their home form shows a modest 1.38 goals per game while conceding only 0.77 against similarly ranked opponents, and the model projects a 2.2-goal average for the match. Niki Volos, playing away, mirrors that profile with 1.36 scored and 0.93 conceded. The most likely outcome is a home win, with a 41% chance, followed by a 32% draw and a 27% away win. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.6% probability, while the expected total is two goals. The model’s pick is a home victory.
The suggested selections highlight a defensive theme: Under 7.5 goals (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Under 5.5 (97.7%), Under 4.5 (93.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.0%), and Home +2 handicap (89.8%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcomes are listed. The preview remains concise, neutral, and fully grounded in the provided data.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ellas Syros win
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos win
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ellas Syros
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.07
1.75
1.00
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
5.00
2.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.00
1.38
0.77
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
3.00
0.50
4.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.63
1.94
0.38
1.29
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.71
0.64
2.00
0.40
1.38
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.8%
Under 1.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.6%
Under 2.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
44.3%
No
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
Ellas Syros goals ↓
Niki Volos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.6%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.3%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.5%
8.0%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.4%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ellas Syros goals (down), columns = Niki Volos goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Ellas Syros is 0.39 points worse than Niki Volos in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Ellas Syros is 0.49 goals worse than Niki Volos in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Ellas Syros is 0.36 goals worse than Niki Volos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ellas Syros or Draw
72.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
32%
27%
covers Ellas Syros + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros or Niki Volos
68.2%
Avg Implied -
41%
32%
27%
covers Ellas Syros + Niki Volos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Niki Volos
59.1%
Avg Implied -
41%
32%
27%
covers Draw + Niki Volos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5
Over
70.2%
Under
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5
Over
61.1%
Under
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5
Over
24.4%
Under
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ellas Syros, so a minus line means Ellas Syros give that many goals of a start and Niki Volos receive them. At -1, Ellas Syros must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ellas Syros win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros -2
6.2%
Draw -2
12.2%
Niki Volos +2
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros -1
18.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
Niki Volos +1
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros +1
72.6%
Draw +1
17.2%
Niki Volos -1
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ellas Syros)
Ellas Syros +2
89.8%
Draw +2
7.4%
Niki Volos -2
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ellas Syros
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.33
0.88
0.25
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.36
0.54
0.23
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.00
3.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.20
0.94
0.12
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.21
0.93
0.13
0.77
0.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ellas Syros
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.88
0.75
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
2.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.64
0.85
0.54
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
1.00
0.25
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.43
1.07
0.27
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Ellas Syros's squad is €3m less valuable than Niki Volos's (€3m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Ellas Syros and Niki Volos have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Ellas Syros and Niki Volos have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Ellas Syros's defence is €1m less valuable than Niki Volos's (€1m vs €3m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos