This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kongsvinger
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.47
1.69
1.85
2.29
1.18
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.86
1.59
2.00
1.80
1.75
1.42
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.12
0.67
2.00
3.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Elverum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (36%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
95.9%
Under 1.5
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
86.6%
Under 2.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.0%
Under 3.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.2%
No
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
7.7%
1-4
7.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-4
6.0%
1-5
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-3
4.5%
Elverum goals ↓
Kongsvinger goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.1%
2.5%
5.2%
6.4%
6.0%
1
0.6%
3.7%
6.2%
7.7%
7.1%
2
0.5%
2.0%
3.7%
4.5%
4.2%
3
0.2%
0.8%
1.5%
1.8%
1.7%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elverum goals (down), columns = Kongsvinger goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molde
2.71
Lysekloster
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Viking
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Brann
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Alta
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Asane
2.00
Egersund
2.00
hodd
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Vard
1.50
Fram
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Moss
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Djerv
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Innstranden
0.91
Varegg
0.91
Harstad
0.91
Nord
0.91
Våg
0.91
Eiger
0.91
Hana
0.91
Rindal
0.91
Teie
0.91
Hamna
0.91
Skedsmo
0.91
Verdal
0.91
Skjetten
0.91
Lillehammer
0.91
Melbo IL
0.91
Gneist
0.91
Vindbjart
0.91
SF Grei
0.91
Elnesvågen
0.91
IF Ready
0.91
Åssiden IF
0.91
Brumunddal
0.91
Ulfstind
0.91
Bjørnevatn
0.91
Kvik Trondheim
0.91
Konnerud
0.91
Rollon
0.91
NHHI
0.91
Askøy
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Flint
0.00
Volda
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Elverum and Kongsvinger are level in average points per game (both 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Brann
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
hodd
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Moss
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Innstranden
1.53
Varegg
1.53
Harstad
1.53
Nord
1.53
Våg
1.53
Eiger
1.53
Hana
1.53
Rindal
1.53
Teie
1.53
Hamna
1.53
Skedsmo
1.53
Verdal
1.53
Skjetten
1.53
Lillehammer
1.53
Melbo IL
1.53
Gneist
1.53
Vindbjart
1.53
SF Grei
1.53
Elnesvågen
1.53
IF Ready
1.53
Åssiden IF
1.53
Brumunddal
1.53
Ulfstind
1.53
Bjørnevatn
1.53
Kvik Trondheim
1.53
Konnerud
1.53
Rollon
1.53
NHHI
1.53
Junkeren
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
jerv
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Volda
1.00
Follo
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Pors Grenland
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Kvik Halden
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Rana
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Asker
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Flint
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Elverum is 2.50 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 5.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Lysekloster
0.75
Stromsgodset
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Junkeren
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Brann
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Træff
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Kvik Halden
2.00
Asker
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Fram
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Oppsal
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Innstranden
2.76
Varegg
2.76
Harstad
2.76
Nord
2.76
Våg
2.76
Eiger
2.76
Hana
2.76
Rindal
2.76
Teie
2.76
Hamna
2.76
Skedsmo
2.76
Verdal
2.76
Skjetten
2.76
Lillehammer
2.76
Melbo IL
2.76
Gneist
2.76
Vindbjart
2.76
SF Grei
2.76
Elnesvågen
2.76
IF Ready
2.76
Åssiden IF
2.76
Brumunddal
2.76
Ulfstind
2.76
Bjørnevatn
2.76
Kvik Trondheim
2.76
Konnerud
2.76
Rollon
2.76
NHHI
2.76
Ørn Horten
3.00
Rana
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bjarg
3.50
Vard
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Djerv
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Flint
6.00
Volda
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Elverum is 1.00 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elverum or Draw✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied -
7%
11%
82%
covers Elverum + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elverum or Kongsvinger✓ Hit
89.3%
Avg Implied -
7%
11%
82%
covers Elverum + Kongsvinger
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kongsvinger✓ Hit
92.7%
Avg Implied -
7%
11%
82%
covers Draw + Kongsvinger
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elverum over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.5%
Under
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
97.5%
Under
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
88.4%
Under
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
71.6%
Under
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
50.7%
Under
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Elverum, so a minus line means Elverum give that many goals of a start and Kongsvinger receive them. At -1, Elverum must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elverum win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elverum)Actual: Kongsvinger
Elverum -2
0.7%
Draw -2
1.9%
Kongsvinger +2
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Elverum)Actual: Kongsvinger
Elverum -1
2.6%
Draw -1
4.6%
Kongsvinger +1
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Elverum)Actual: Kongsvinger
Elverum +1
18.0%
Draw +1
15.1%
Kongsvinger -1
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Elverum)Actual: Kongsvinger
Elverum +2
33.1%
Draw +2
18.3%
Kongsvinger -2
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elverum
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kongsvinger
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.62
0.69
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.77
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.12
0.67
0.33
1.80
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Elverum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elverum over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elverum
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kongsvinger
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.08
1.15
1.29
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.23
0.82
1.40
1.00
1.08
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
1.00
0.00
1.67
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Elverum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elverum over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elverum over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away over 0.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 2.5 goals
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →