This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.43
1.20
1.47
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
1.56
1.00
1.62
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.29
1.43
1.29
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.3%
Under 1.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.1%
@ 2.11-7.7%
Under 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.71+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
Empoli goals ↓
Chievo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.3%
4.9%
1.5%
0.4%
1
13%
14%
6.1%
1.9%
0.4%
2
8.8%
8.2%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.6%
3.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Empoli goals (down), columns = Chievo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Empoli is 0.05 points worse than Chievo in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Empoli is 0.03 goals worse than Chievo in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Empoli is 0.26 goals worse than Chievo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Empoli
For 4.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 15.4 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
For 4.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.5 · Against 16.7 · Total 34.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Empoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.4
9.8
4.1
4.4
3.8
25.7
26.6
24.9
vs Stronger (13)
9.3
11.4
8.0
3.7
4.2
3.4
23.2
23.8
22.8
vs Similar (21)
9.8
8.8
11.1
4.3
4.2
4.6
23.8
23.2
24.7
vs Weaker (16)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.1
4.8
3.5
30.4
33.5
27.2
% over line
54%
60%
48%
60%
68%
52%
66%
64%
68%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
40%
32%
48%
34%
36%
32%
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
8.5
10.8
5.4
5.5
5.4
30.4
30.1
30.8
vs Stronger (35)
10.1
8.6
11.6
5.1
5.4
4.9
29.5
28.4
30.6
vs Similar (15)
8.7
8.4
9.0
6.1
5.9
6.4
32.5
34.3
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
44%
68%
74%
76%
72%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
44%
56%
32%
26%
24%
28%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Cittadella
10.8
Crotone
10.6
Pordenone
10.5
Perugia
10.4
Spezia
10.4
Livorno
10.3
Virtus Entella
10.3
Trapani
10.1
Frosinone
10.0
Cremonese
9.8
Juve Stabia
9.8
Benevento
9.7
Chievo
9.7
Salernitana
9.6
Empoli
9.6
Cosenza
9.6
Venezia
9.6
Pisa
9.6
Pescara
9.5
Ascoli
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.6
Juve Stabia
6.3
Ascoli
6.0
Livorno
6.0
Benevento
5.7
Cittadella
5.6
Chievo
5.4
Venezia
5.4
Salernitana
5.4
Cosenza
5.4
Virtus Entella
5.4
Trapani
5.3
Pordenone
5.2
Frosinone
5.2
Spezia
5.2
Crotone
5.0
Perugia
5.0
Pescara
4.7
Cremonese
4.7
Empoli
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Juve Stabia
33.9
Cittadella
32.9
Salernitana
32.7
Livorno
32.6
Pisa
32.4
Pordenone
32.4
Virtus Entella
32.2
Benevento
31.7
Ascoli
31.3
Venezia
30.7
Frosinone
30.5
Chievo
30.4
Cosenza
30.3
Perugia
30.3
Crotone
30.1
Pescara
30.0
Spezia
29.4
Trapani
28.9
Cremonese
28.7
Empoli
25.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.7%
Under 3.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.1%
Under 21.5
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Empoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.86
0.57
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.20
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.64
0.80
0.00
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
1.14
1.00
1.00
0.29
1.29
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.80
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.25
0.69
0.38
0.88
0.12
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.93
0.57
0.71
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Empoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Empoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.79
0.50
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
1.09
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.36
0.21
0.57
0.29
0.14
0.14
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.73
0.67
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.38
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.36
0.86
0.57
0.57
0.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Empoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Empoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edoardo Saporiti67%
Stiven Shpendi33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gerard Yepes67%
Marco Curto33%
Luca Magnino33%
Cristian Cauz0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cauz33%
Matteo Egan33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edoardo Saporiti33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →