This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.93
1.50
0.69
1.00
1.21
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
1.36
0.83
0.83
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.21
0.68
1.90
0.60
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 2.07-4.9%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.74+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
Empoli goals ↓
Chievo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.7%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.8%
8.9%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.6%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Empoli goals (down), columns = Chievo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Empoli is 0.45 points better than Chievo in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Empoli is 0.47 goals better than Chievo in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Empoli is 0.05 goals better than Chievo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Empoli
For 7.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
For 5.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 17.3 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Empoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.0
11.1
4.0
4.2
3.8
28.4
27.0
29.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
10.4
9.7
11.0
3.2
3.4
3.1
27.0
26.1
27.7
vs Weaker (34)
11.4
11.6
11.1
4.4
4.6
4.2
29.1
27.3
30.9
% over line
68%
71%
65%
58%
62%
54%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
32%
29%
35%
42%
38%
46%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.2
9.6
4.8
4.7
4.9
30.3
30.5
30.0
vs Stronger (17)
10.1
9.6
10.8
5.2
4.8
5.6
31.6
33.1
30.0
vs Similar (33)
9.0
9.1
9.0
4.6
4.7
4.6
29.5
29.2
29.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
54%
50%
72%
73%
71%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
48%
46%
50%
28%
27%
29%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Empoli
11.1
Lecce
10.9
Cosenza
10.7
Venezia
10.5
Cittadella
10.4
Pordenone
10.3
Spal
10.3
Monza
10.2
Cremonese
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Frosinone
9.9
Reggina
9.9
Vicenza Virtus
9.6
Reggiana
9.6
Chievo
9.4
Pisa
9.4
Virtus Entella
9.3
Pescara
9.2
Ascoli
9.1
Salernitana
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.0
Ascoli
6.0
Pordenone
5.7
Pisa
5.6
Salernitana
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Pescara
5.4
Cosenza
5.3
Virtus Entella
5.2
Reggiana
5.2
Cittadella
5.2
Venezia
5.2
Monza
5.1
Frosinone
5.0
Spal
5.0
Lecce
4.8
Chievo
4.8
Brescia
4.8
Cremonese
4.5
Empoli
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
35.1
Pisa
33.1
Frosinone
32.9
Cittadella
32.8
Ascoli
32.3
Monza
32.2
Vicenza Virtus
32.1
Venezia
31.9
Reggiana
31.8
Pordenone
31.8
Salernitana
31.7
Virtus Entella
31.6
Spal
30.5
Chievo
30.3
Pescara
30.2
Cosenza
30.0
Cremonese
29.2
Empoli
28.4
Brescia
28.2
Lecce
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.4%
Under 9.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.1%
Under 3.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Empoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
0.87
0.47
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.76
0.38
0.82
0.36
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.62
0.31
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.82
0.50
0.33
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.37
0.70
0.30
0.00
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Empoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Empoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
1.13
0.33
1.07
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.56
1.00
0.00
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.38
1.18
0.45
1.30
0.30
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.88
0.38
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.55
0.33
0.50
1.20
0.60
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.32
1.20
0.30
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Empoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Empoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edoardo Saporiti67%
Stiven Shpendi33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gerard Yepes67%
Marco Curto33%
Luca Magnino33%
Cristian Cauz0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cauz33%
Matteo Egan33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edoardo Saporiti33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →