This opponent (Cremonese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.30
1.40
1.40
1.33
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.40
1.50
1.25
1.75
1.50
1.33
vs Weaker (20)
1.35
1.20
1.45
1.27
1.22
1.11
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.76-3.7%
Under 2.5
50.0%
@ 2.04+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-0 ✓
8.4%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
Empoli goals ↓
Cremonese goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
7.6%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.4%
14%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.6%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.2%
4.0%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Empoli goals (down), columns = Cremonese goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Empoli is 0.66 points better than Cremonese in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Empoli is 0.58 goals better than Cremonese in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Empoli is 0.24 goals better than Cremonese in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Empoli
For 5.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 15.4 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
For 5.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.2 · Against 13.8 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Empoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.3
10.8
4.2
4.8
3.7
29.2
29.7
28.8
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
8.0
-
8.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Similar (16)
9.4
8.1
10.6
3.9
4.5
3.4
27.2
26.8
27.6
vs Weaker (33)
10.5
9.9
10.9
4.2
4.9
3.6
30.5
31.2
29.8
% over line
56%
50%
62%
56%
67%
46%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
44%
33%
54%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.7
4.4
5.0
27.5
27.0
28.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
11.7
11.4
11.9
4.5
4.0
4.9
26.4
25.6
27.1
vs Weaker (34)
9.3
9.4
9.2
4.8
4.6
5.0
28.1
27.6
28.6
% over line
54%
52%
56%
72%
68%
76%
88%
84%
92%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
28%
32%
24%
12%
16%
8%
This opponent (Empoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
12.1
Monza
10.5
Pordenone
10.5
Cosenza
10.5
Spal
10.4
Cittadella
10.4
Brescia
10.2
Empoli
10.1
Vicenza Virtus
10.1
Cremonese
10.1
Frosinone
10.0
Reggiana
9.8
Venezia
9.6
Virtus Entella
9.5
Reggina
9.4
Pisa
9.0
Salernitana
8.8
Ascoli
8.7
Pescara
8.7
Chievo
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
7.6
Pisa
6.4
Salernitana
6.1
Ascoli
6.0
Reggiana
6.0
Vicenza Virtus
6.0
Cosenza
5.8
Virtus Entella
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Venezia
5.5
Pordenone
5.4
Chievo
5.4
Brescia
5.3
Pescara
5.2
Spal
5.1
Frosinone
5.1
Monza
5.0
Lecce
5.0
Cremonese
4.7
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
37.4
Salernitana
34.2
Reggiana
33.3
Frosinone
33.2
Cittadella
32.8
Pisa
32.8
Venezia
32.3
Vicenza Virtus
32.0
Pordenone
31.4
Monza
31.3
Ascoli
31.3
Cosenza
31.2
Chievo
31.2
Virtus Entella
30.5
Pescara
30.0
Brescia
29.2
Empoli
29.2
Spal
29.0
Cremonese
27.5
Lecce
25.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.2%
Under 9.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
75.8%
Under 3.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.3%
Under 21.5
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Empoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.50
0.79
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.75
0.50
0.90
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.87
0.60
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
0.50
0.82
0.55
0.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Empoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Empoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.43
1.07
0.50
1.06
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.20
1.25
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (20)
1.15
0.55
1.00
0.70
1.30
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.53
0.80
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.60
0.70
0.64
0.73
0.56
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Empoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Empoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edoardo Saporiti67%
Stiven Shpendi33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gerard Yepes67%
Marco Curto33%
Luca Magnino33%
Cristian Cauz0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cauz33%
Matteo Egan33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edoardo Saporiti33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Cremonese · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Berti33%
Simone Lottici Tessadri33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
M. Nasti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Gerli67%
J. Vandeputte50%
Giuseppe Pezzella33%
S. Pontisso33%
M. Bianchetti25%
S. Luperto0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
M. De Luca0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Berti33%
M. Nasti33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
VV (26)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
Empoli's squad is €29m less valuable than Cremonese's (€20m vs €49m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Empoli's attack is €2m less valuable than Cremonese's (€11m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
VV (12)
€5m
ASC (6)
€3m
REG (9)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Empoli's midfield is €9m less valuable than Cremonese's (€6m vs €15m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Empoli's defence is €18m less valuable than Cremonese's (€4m vs €22m).
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Salernitana
Monza
Lecce
Venezia
Cittadella
Brescia
Spal
Reggina
Frosinone
Pisa
Vicenza Virtus
Ascoli
Cosenza
Reggiana
Pescara
Virtus Entella