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ENAD vs Digenis Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: 09/03/2024
Time: 13:30
Final 3-4
ENAD
ENAD
Vs
22%
36%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ENAD win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou win✓ Hit
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ENADENAD

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L31W03L10W12L01L00D50W21WA·XYL20/12H·DIG06/01A·ERM13/01A·DIG20/01H·MEA27/01A·XYL04/02H·PAE10/02A·AKR17/02A·ERM24/02H·AHI02/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.051.270.821.271.271.27
vs Stronger (3)0.002.000.001.000.002.50
vs Similar (16)1.441.061.001.332.000.71
vs Weaker (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %18% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L30W00D10W31W20W33D01LH·AYI20/12A·ENA06/01H·ENO13/01H·ENA20/01A·AHI28/01H·ERM05/02H·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.180.951.451.360.910.55
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.301.201.502.001.170.67
vs Weaker (12)1.080.751.431.000.600.40
Clean sheet %45% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ENAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%29%20%029%128%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.7%
Under 1.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.1%
Under 2.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
9.2%
Under 3.5
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
32.5%
No
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.7%
0-1
17.6%
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
ENAD goals ↓
Digenis Morphou goals →
01234
020%18%9.7%3.3%0.8%
111%14%6.5%2.2%0.6%
24.1%4.2%2.1%0.7%0.2%
30.9%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%
40.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ENAD goals (down), columns = Digenis Morphou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
ENAD is 0.86 points worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Ayia Napa
1.21
Akritas
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
ENAD is 0.31 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Enosis
1.14
Akritas
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
ENAD is 0.41 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ENADENAD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D02L00D11D01L00D20W21WA·XYL20/12H·DIG06/01A·ERM13/01A·DIG20/01H·MEA27/01A·XYL04/02H·PAE10/02A·AKR17/02A·ERM24/02H·AHI02/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.430.300.400.450.45
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (15)0.530.330.380.380.710.29
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L20W00D10W10W20W23L00DH·AYI20/12A·ENA06/01H·ENO13/01H·ENA20/01A·AHI28/01H·ERM05/02H·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.360.820.550.450.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.301.000.250.500.33
vs Weaker (12)0.580.420.710.710.400.00
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (ENAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ENAD over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ENAD over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ENAD over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ENADENAD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L31W01L10W01L00D00D30W00DA·XYL20/12H·DIG06/01A·ERM13/01A·DIG20/01H·MEA27/01A·XYL04/02H·PAE10/02A·AKR17/02A·ERM24/02H·AHI02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.810.400.800.820.82
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.870.670.500.881.290.43
vs Weaker (3)0.001.330.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W00D00D21W00D10W01LH·AYI20/12A·ENA06/01H·ENO13/01H·ENA20/01A·AHI28/01H·ERM05/02H·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.590.640.820.450.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.900.501.750.670.33
vs Weaker (12)0.500.330.710.290.200.40
Clean sheet %59% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (ENAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ENAD over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ENAD over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ENAD over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.575.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
ENA wins
0
Draws
2
DM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ENAD vs Digenis Morphou · H/A from ENA
DateH/AGameScore
20/01/24ADigenis Morphou Vs ENA3-0
06/01/24HENA Vs Digenis Morphou0-1

ENADENAD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HENA Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-1
24/02/24AErmis Vs ENA0-5
17/02/24AAkritas Vs ENA0-0
10/02/24HENA Vs PAEEK0-1
04/02/24AXylotympou Vs ENA2-1
27/01/24HENA Vs MEAP Nisou1-0
20/01/24ADigenis Morphou Vs ENA3-0
13/01/24AErmis Vs ENA1-3
06/01/24HENA Vs Digenis Morphou0-1
20/12/23AXylotympou Vs ENA1-2

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24AAkritas Vs DM1-0
24/02/24HDM Vs PAEEK3-3
18/02/24AXylotympou Vs DM0-2
11/02/24HDM Vs MEAP Nisou3-1
05/02/24HDM Vs Ermis1-0
28/01/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs DM0-0
20/01/24HDM Vs ENAD3-0
13/01/24HDM Vs Enosis0-2
06/01/24AENAD Vs DM0-1
20/12/23HDM Vs Ayia Napa0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ENAD
ENAD
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.00
HomeLLWLW0.73
AwayWLLDW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%18%36%
AVG goals2.322.092.55
Over 1.5 %68%55%82%
Over 2.5 %50%45%55%
Over 3.5 %18%9%27%
Scored1.050.821.27
Conceded1.271.271.27
BTTS45%55%36%
Clean Sheet18%9%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.50
HomeLWWWD1.55
AwayLWDWL1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%45%36%
AVG goals2.142.821.45
Over 1.5 %59%73%45%
Over 2.5 %45%64%27%
Over 3.5 %18%27%9%
Scored1.181.450.91
Conceded0.951.360.55
BTTS32%45%18%
Clean Sheet45%27%64%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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