Defensive solidity dominates the outlook, with Enisey’s home form showing only 0.4 goals conceded per match while FK Neftekhimik’s away form averages 1.62 conceded. The model favours a home win, giving Enisey a 54% chance, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 18% chance of a Neftekhimik victory. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal total with a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Enisey, carrying a 14.8% chance.
Enisey’s home scoring average is 1.2 goals, and they have conceded 0.4 against similar opposition. FK Neftekhimik averages 0.94 goals scored and 1.62 conceded on the road against comparable teams. Both sides have recently come off defeats, with Enisey losing 1-3 to FC UFA and Neftekhimik losing 0-1 to the same opponent.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%), Under 5.5 (97.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6%), and Away under 2.5 goals (96.0%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Enisey win
52.5%
Avg Implied 51.8% · @ 1.77
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Dafabet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Draw
29.9%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.42
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.56
Pinnacle
3.53
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
FK Neftekhimik win
17.6%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.32
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.58
Pinnacle
4.57
Marathonbet
4.45
Dafabet
4.30
Superbet
4.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Enisey
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.03
1.12
0.38
1.57
1.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.33
1.03
1.12
0.38
1.57
1.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.37
1.23
1.08
0.94
1.59
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.07
1.32
1.25
0.92
0.94
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.35-4.3%
Under 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.83+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
2.96
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.2%
@ 2.17-8.2%
Under 2.5
64.8%
@ 1.66+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.3%
@ 3.83-7.5%
Under 3.5
83.7%
@ 1.20+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.03
Marathonbet
3.85
1xBet
3.85
Superbet
3.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Both teams to score
Yes
39.3%
@ 1.99-7.0%
No
60.7%
@ 1.72+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
No
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.8%@ 5.60+8.2%
0-0
13.4%@ 8.09+8.0%
1-1
13.2%@ 6.06+6.1%
2-0
12.0%@ 7.38+6.1%
2-1
8.4%@ 7.91+3.0%
0-1
7.4%@ 9.94+3.0%
3-0
5.6%@ 14.15+2.6%
1-2
4.2%@ 14.07+1.2%
Enisey goals ↓
FK Neftekhimik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.4%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.4%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
5.6%
3.9%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Enisey goals (down), columns = FK Neftekhimik goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Enisey is 0.04 points better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Enisey is 0.88 goals better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Enisey is 0.17 goals better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Enisey
For 2.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Neftekhimik
For 5.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Enisey
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.0
6.0
-
2.1
2.1
2.1
32.0
32.0
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
6.0
6.0
-
2.0
2.1
2.0
32.0
32.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
-
30%
31%
29%
100%
100%
-
% under line
100%
100%
-
70%
69%
71%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
10.0
6.0
1.9
2.3
1.6
27.0
27.0
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
1.7
1.5
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
8.7
10.0
6.0
2.0
2.4
1.6
27.0
27.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
24%
29%
19%
100%
100%
-
% under line
67%
50%
100%
76%
71%
81%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.0%
@ 1.95-12.7%
Under 9.5
65.0%
@ 1.77+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Enisey or Draw
82.4%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.17
Edge
+3.8%
53%
30%
18%
covers Enisey + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
SBO
1.14
Enisey or FK Neftekhimik
70.1%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
-3.1%
53%
30%
18%
covers Enisey + FK Neftekhimik
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
SBO
1.22
Draw or FK Neftekhimik
47.5%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.91
Edge
-0.7%
53%
30%
18%
covers Draw + FK Neftekhimik
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.87
SBO
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Enisey over/under 0.5
Over
75.4%
@ 1.19-1.6%
Under
24.6%
@ 3.99+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.12
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Enisey over/under 1.5
Over
40.9%
@ 2.05-4.7%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.72+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Enisey over/under 2.5
Over
16.7%
@ 4.17-5.3%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.18+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Pinnacle
4.12
Superbet
3.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Enisey over/under 3.5
Over
5.4%
@ 9.80-94.6%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.80
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5
Over
50.6%
@ 1.59-7.4%
Under
49.4%
@ 2.20+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5
Over
15.7%
@ 4.04-7.1%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.20+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.10
Superbet
3.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5
Over
3.5%
@ 10.30-96.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Superbet
8.90
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Enisey, so a minus line means Enisey give that many goals of a start and FK Neftekhimik receive them. At -1, Enisey must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Enisey win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Enisey)
Enisey -2
10.3%
@ 6.80-2.7%
Draw -2
16.4%
@ 5.25-0.5%
FK Neftekhimik +2
73.2%
@ 1.27+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Away
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Enisey)
Enisey -1
26.8%
@ 3.18-1.2%
Draw -1
25.8%
@ 3.34-0.8%
FK Neftekhimik +1
47.5%
@ 1.95+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.18
Draw
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Marathonbet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Enisey)
Enisey +1
82.4%
@ 1.17+15.0%
Draw +1
12.4%
@ 3.96-7.6%
FK Neftekhimik -1
5.2%
@ 6.25-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
3.96
Away
Marathonbet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Enisey)
Enisey +2
94.8%
Draw +2
4.1%
FK Neftekhimik -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Enisey
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.33
0.56
0.12
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.33
0.56
0.12
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.80
0.46
0.77
0.29
0.82
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.39
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.31
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.9%
@ 1.44+1.5%
Under 0.5
34.1%
@ 2.59-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Superbet
2.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.0%
@ 3.09+1.2%
Under 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.31-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.27
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
2.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.6%
@ 7.67-1.2%
Under 2.5
89.4%
@ 1.03+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Superbet
6.80
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Enisey over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.2%
@ 1.86+0.4%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.84-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Enisey over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.7%
@ 5.53-0.9%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.10+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.30
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Enisey over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.9%
@ 2.81+1.0%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.38-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.1%
@ 11.62-92.9%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.50
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Enisey
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.56
0.25
1.07
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
0.70
0.56
0.25
1.07
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.77
0.31
0.65
0.76
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.57
0.75
0.25
0.62
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.26+1.6%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.32-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
Superbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.32-1.2%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.53+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.27
Under
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.4%
@ 5.08-2.3%
Under 2.5
84.6%
@ 1.10+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
4.70
Under
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Enisey over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.5%
@ 1.60+0.8%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.17-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.12
Enisey over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.6%
@ 3.95-2.7%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.20+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Enisey over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.7%
@ 10.50-4.1%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.3%
@ 2.30+0.2%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.54-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.35
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.9%
@ 8.30-2.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home +2 handicap
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.7%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.1%
1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
+2.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+1.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.7%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
-
+11.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+2.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.10
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+0.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
84.3%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-
+7.1%
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.7%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
+7.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
83.3%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-
+5.3%
Home or Draw
82.4%
1.17
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
SBO
1.14
-
+3.8%
Home +1 handicap
82.4%
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+15.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.20
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-
+2.7%
Under 10.5 corners
76.1%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.43
-
-
-
+12.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
75.4%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
-
-1.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
-
-
+1.6%
Over 23.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.2%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.1%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
SBO
1.22
-
-3.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Enisey and FK Neftekhimik have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Enisey and FK Neftekhimik have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Enisey and FK Neftekhimik have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Enisey and FK Neftekhimik have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →