Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, with Enisey’s home form showing a low 0.4 goals conceded per game while Shinnik Yaroslavl’s away record allows 1.31. The model favours a home win, assigning 44 % to Enisey, 32 % to a draw and 24 % to Shinnik. The average goal output is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3 % probability. Enisey averages 1.2 goals scored at home against similar opposition, while Shinnik averages 1.25 away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Under 5.5 (98.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %) and Home under 3.5 goals (96.2 %). Each pick is presented with its exact probability.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Home win, did not materialise as Enisey and Shinnik Yaroslavl finished 0-0, a draw that extends both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model’s call was wrong, with a 45% probability for a home win. The final score of 0-0 matches the actual result of a draw. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.9%) hit, Under 6.5 (99.4%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (98.9%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%) hit, Under 5.5 (98.0%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%) hit, and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.3%) hit. The model’s predictions on total goals and half-time figures proved remarkably reliable, even as the expected 2-goal outcome fell short.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Enisey win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied 43.9% · @ 2.10
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.07
Dafabet
2.07
Draw✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.05
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.10
Dafabet
3.10
1xBet
3.09
Marathonbet
3.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.57
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.74
1xBet
3.73
Dafabet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
Superbet
3.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Enisey
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.07
1.20
0.40
1.60
1.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
1.38
1.07
1.20
0.40
1.57
1.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.00
1.43
0.64
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.33
1.00
1.43
0.64
1.25
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.9%
@ 1.41-2.3%
Under 1.5
37.1%
@ 2.64+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.77
Pinnacle
2.75
Marathonbet
2.52
1xBet
2.52
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.6%
@ 2.38-5.1%
Under 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.56+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.42
Superbet
2.15
Under
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.8%
@ 4.36-5.2%
Under 3.5
84.2%
@ 1.16+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.77
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
3.65
Under
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.7%
@ 1.99-4.6%
No
58.3%
@ 1.72+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
1.92
No
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.50+6.5%
1-0
14.2%@ 5.52+6.5%
0-0 ✓
13.8%@ 6.69+7.4%
2-0
9.7%@ 8.53+4.6%
0-1
9.1%@ 7.81+3.7%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.86+3.3%
1-2
5.4%@ 12.59+2.0%
0-2
4.4%@ 17.02+1.9%
Enisey goals ↓
Shinnik Yaroslavl goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.1%
4.4%
1.2%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
2
9.7%
8.1%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
4.0%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Enisey goals (down), columns = Shinnik Yaroslavl goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Enisey is 0.33 points worse than Shinnik Yaroslavl in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Enisey is 0.17 goals better than Shinnik Yaroslavl in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Enisey is 0.17 goals worse than Shinnik Yaroslavl in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Enisey
For 2.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shinnik Yaroslavl
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Enisey
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.0
6.0
-
2.3
2.2
2.3
32.0
32.0
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
6.0
6.0
-
2.2
2.2
2.2
32.0
32.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
-
32%
32%
32%
100%
100%
-
% under line
100%
100%
-
68%
68%
68%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
1.8
1.8
1.8
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
-
-
-
1.8
1.8
1.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
20%
17%
22%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
80%
83%
78%
-
-
-
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.7%
@ 1.89-8.3%
Under 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.82+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.9%
Under 3.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Enisey or Draw✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
+2.2%
45%
32%
24%
covers Enisey + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
SBO
1.21
Enisey or Shinnik Yaroslavl✗ Miss
68.1%
Avg Implied 69.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
-1.6%
45%
32%
24%
covers Enisey + Shinnik Yaroslavl
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.30
SBO
1.27
Draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl✓ Hit
55.5%
Avg Implied 56.1% · @ 1.65
Edge
-0.6%
45%
32%
24%
covers Draw + Shinnik Yaroslavl
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
SBO
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Enisey over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.2%
@ 1.27-1.2%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.33+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.51
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.26
Enisey over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.4%
@ 2.39-3.6%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.52+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
Enisey over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 5.37-4.0%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
4.65
Under
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Enisey over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.7%
@ 1.52-4.2%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.36+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.43
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 3.54-5.6%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.25+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.87
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 9.42-4.4%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
7.50
Under
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Enisey, so a minus line means Enisey give that many goals of a start and Shinnik Yaroslavl receive them. At -1, Enisey must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Enisey win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Enisey)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Enisey -2
7.2%
@ 6.20-5.6%
Draw -2
13.5%
@ 4.33-4.8%
Shinnik Yaroslavl +2
79.3%
@ 1.15+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Enisey)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Enisey -1
20.7%
@ 4.30-0.2%
Draw -1
23.8%
@ 3.64-0.8%
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1
55.5%
@ 1.65+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.30
Draw
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Marathonbet
1.65
Handicap +1 (Enisey)Actual: Enisey
Enisey +1
76.4%
@ 1.25+4.1%
Draw +1
15.6%
@ 5.15-1.9%
Shinnik Yaroslavl -1
8.0%
@ 8.90-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Marathonbet
8.90
Handicap +2 (Enisey)Actual: Enisey
Enisey +2
92.0%
Draw +2
6.1%
Shinnik Yaroslavl -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Enisey
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.33
0.60
0.13
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.55
0.34
0.60
0.13
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
1.07
0.07
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.87
0.30
1.07
0.07
0.69
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
65.6%
@ 1.50+4.0%
Under 0.5
34.4%
@ 2.41-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.1%
@ 3.32+1.3%
Under 1.5
70.9%
@ 1.28-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.34
Superbet
2.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.5%
@ 8.33-1.4%
Under 2.5
90.5%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
8.80
Superbet
6.90
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Enisey over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 2.08+0.8%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.68-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.62
Enisey over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 7.05-0.6%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.06+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Enisey over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.8%
@ 2.67+4.1%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.42-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 10.78+0.4%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Enisey
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.60
0.27
1.13
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.72
0.60
0.27
1.07
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.36
0.57
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.47
0.70
0.36
0.57
0.56
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.30+3.0%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.12-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.4%
@ 2.46+0.0%
Under 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.47-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.53
Superbet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 5.67-1.5%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.07+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Superbet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Enisey over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.0%
@ 1.76+0.6%
Under
47.0%
@ 1.94-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.73
Under
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Enisey over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 5.20+2.2%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.12-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Enisey over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 2.19+2.6%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.59-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 8.40-0.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.04+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.40
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.7%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.0%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.0%
1.10
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.07
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
84.2%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
1.25
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
+8.6%
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
79.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.3%
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.4%
1.25
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
SBO
1.21
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.4%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.6%
1.30
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.27
-
-
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.24
-
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
1.48
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.45
-
-
+8.9%
-
Over 2.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Enisey and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Enisey and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Enisey and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Enisey and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →