This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.83
2.07
1.73
1.33
1.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.75
1.00
2.20
0.33
3.67
vs Similar (20)
2.15
1.55
2.89
1.67
1.55
1.45
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0 â
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
Enosis goals ↓
AEL goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.8%
6.9%
2.9%
0.9%
1
9.1%
14%
8.1%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.1%
7.6%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.4%
3.0%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Enosis goals (down), columns = AEL goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Pafos
2.28
Aris
2.08
AEK Larnaca
1.89
Omonia Nicosia
1.89
Anorthosis
1.58
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.28
AEL
1.18
Ethnikos Achna
1.18
Enosis
1.06
Omonia Aradippou
1.06
Karmiotissa
1.03
Nea Salamis
0.79
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.42
Enosis is 0.12 points worse than AEL in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.18).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Pafos
1.86
Aris
1.83
Apoel Nicosia
1.64
AEK Larnaca
1.61
Anorthosis
1.52
Ethnikos Achna
1.33
AEL
1.15
Apollon Limassol
1.03
Omonia Aradippou
0.97
Enosis
0.94
Nea Salamis
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.91
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.70
Enosis is 0.21 goals worse than AEL in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.15).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Pafos
0.58
AEK Larnaca
0.83
Aris
0.86
Apoel Nicosia
1.00
Apollon Limassol
1.08
Omonia Nicosia
1.11
Anorthosis
1.27
Enosis
1.45
AEL
1.61
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Karmiotissa
1.73
Omonia Aradippou
1.76
Nea Salamis
1.88
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.97
Enosis is 0.15 goals better than AEL in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.61).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Apoel Nicosia
58%
Ethnikos Achna
58%
Pafos
56%
AEK Larnaca
53%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Anorthosis
50%
Omonia Nicosia
49%
Omonia Aradippou
46%
Nea Salamis
46%
Aris
46%
Omonia 29is Maiou
45%
AEL
44%
Enosis
40%
Karmiotissa
39%
Enosis is 4.2 percentage points worse than AEL in terms of average possession (40% vs 44%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Enosis
For 4.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 13.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 15.0 · Total 31.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEL
For 5.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 25.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Enosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.8
10.2
1.2
0.8
1.7
28.7
27.2
30.2
vs Stronger (14)
9.4
9.5
9.3
1.8
0.7
2.9
30.0
29.5
30.3
vs Similar (32)
9.5
8.5
11.5
0.8
0.9
0.6
26.5
26.0
27.5
vs Weaker (4)
10.0
-
10.0
2.8
0.0
5.5
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
42%
33%
50%
20%
19%
22%
83%
67%
100%
% under line
58%
67%
50%
80%
81%
78%
17%
33%
0%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.1
3.0
3.2
26.7
26.3
27.1
vs Stronger (15)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.8
2.9
4.9
26.0
25.8
26.2
vs Similar (32)
10.3
10.8
9.7
3.0
3.3
2.8
27.1
26.5
27.7
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
11.0
-
1.0
1.5
0.0
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
61%
56%
67%
48%
44%
52%
84%
81%
87%
% under line
39%
44%
33%
52%
56%
48%
16%
19%
13%
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.5
Nea Salamis
10.1
AEL
9.8
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Apoel Nicosia
9.5
Omonia 29is Maiou
9.5
Aris
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Karmiotissa
9.3
Enosis
9.1
Anorthosis
8.9
Pafos
8.5
Ethnikos Achna
8.3
Omonia Aradippou
8.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
8.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
7.5
Apoel Nicosia
5.5
Aris
5.5
Pafos
5.2
Apollon Limassol
5.2
Anorthosis
5.2
Ethnikos Achna
5.1
Enosis
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.6
AEL
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.6
Anorthosis
28.9
Enosis
28.7
Omonia 29is Maiou
27.5
Karmiotissa
26.8
AEL
26.7
Omonia Aradippou
26.7
Ethnikos Achna
26.1
Pafos
25.8
Aris
25.7
AEK Larnaca
25.4
Apollon Limassol
25.3
Nea Salamis
25.1
Omonia Nicosia
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Enosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.44
0.62
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.56
0.25
0.75
0.80
0.40
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.60
0.60
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.94
0.62
0.71
1.14
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.38
0.40
0.80
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.75
1.30
0.60
0.90
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Enosis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Enosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.50
0.94
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.22
0.25
1.25
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.50
0.70
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEL
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
1.06
1.06
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.38
0.60
1.40
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.70
1.40
1.00
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Enosis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Enosis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcel Äanadi33%
Piotr Janczukowicz29%
Simranjit Thandi25%
Dimitris Solomou25%
Zurab Museliani20%
JÃĐrÃĐmy Corinus14%
Niv Gotlieb12%
Marco Krainz0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Elisha Sam0%
Michalis Charalambous0%
Ruben Hoogenhout0%
Bassala Sambou0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Thierno Barry0%
Ilija MiliÄeviÄ0%
Edson Silva0%
Evangelos Andreou0%
Niv Fliter0%
Andreas Christofi0%
Rodrigo Souza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zurab Museliani60%
Simranjit Thandi50%
Edson Silva50%
Sean Ioannou43%
Loizos Kosmas33%
Ruben Hoogenhout29%
Elisha Sam25%
Niv Gotlieb25%
Niv Fliter20%
Rodrigo Souza20%
Marco Krainz17%
Evangelos Andreou17%
JÃĐrÃĐmy Corinus14%
Andreas Christofi14%
Adebayo Adeleye12%
Marcel Äanadi0%
Michalis Charalambous0%
Bassala Sambou0%
Piotr Janczukowicz0%
Thierno Barry0%
Ilija MiliÄeviÄ0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcel Äanadi67%
Zurab Museliani20%
Rodrigo Souza20%
Marco Krainz17%
Evangelos Andreou17%
Piotr Janczukowicz14%
Sean Ioannou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
JÃĐrÃĐmy Corinus0%
Elisha Sam0%
Michalis Charalambous0%
Ruben Hoogenhout0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Bassala Sambou0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Thierno Barry0%
Ilija MiliÄeviÄ0%
Edson Silva0%
Niv Gotlieb0%
Niv Fliter0%
Andreas Christofi0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Janczukowicz14%
Marco Krainz0%
Marcel Äanadi0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
JÃĐrÃĐmy Corinus0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Elisha Sam0%
Michalis Charalambous0%
Ruben Hoogenhout0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Bassala Sambou0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Thierno Barry0%
Ilija MiliÄeviÄ0%
Edson Silva0%
Evangelos Andreou0%
Niv Gotlieb0%
Niv Fliter0%
Andreas Christofi0%
Rodrigo Souza0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
AEL
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Toku33%
Andreas Makris0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Victor Braga0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Facundo Constantini0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Constantini33%
Andreas Makris0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Victor Braga0%
Emmanuel Toku0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Makris0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Victor Braga0%
Emmanuel Toku0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Facundo Constantini0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniil Lesovoy33%
Andreas Makris0%
Victor Braga0%
Emmanuel Toku0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Facundo Constantini0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Enosis's squad is €8m less valuable than AEL's (€1m vs €9m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Enosis's attack is €3m less valuable than AEL's (€0m vs €4m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Enosis's midfield is €2m less valuable than AEL's (€0m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Enosis's defence is €3m less valuable than AEL's (€1m vs €3m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Pafos
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
Omonia Aradippou
Karmiotissa
Nea Salamis
Omonia 29is Maiou