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Ermis vs Xylotympou Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 6-2
Ermis
Ermis
Vs
26%
26%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Xylotympou
Xylotympou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ermis win✓ Hit
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou win✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ErmisErmis

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W20W01L20W32W13L01L23L12LA·XYL11/02H·AYI18/02A·ANA25/02H·PAE10/03A·OLY19/03A·KRA01/04H·XYL09/04A·AYI22/04H·ANA29/04A·ENO16/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.211.171.001.331.431.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.401.301.221.671.551.00
vs Weaker (9)0.780.890.670.831.001.00
Clean sheet %31% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Xylotympou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

XylotympouXylotympou

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-801L32W22D01L31W00D31W10W80W20WH·ERM11/02A·KRA18/02H·OLY25/02A·AYI04/03H·ANA12/03H·PAE02/04A·ERM09/04H·KRA22/04A·OLY29/04H·DIG16/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.711.391.641.291.791.50
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (18)1.441.611.601.401.251.88
vs Weaker (9)2.221.111.671.332.501.00
Clean sheet %18% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
Ermis goals ↓
Xylotympou goals →
01234
06.6%8.2%8.0%4.5%1.9%
15.4%12%9.6%5.4%2.3%
23.9%6.7%5.7%3.3%1.4%
31.6%2.7%2.3%1.3%0.6%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ermis goals (down), columns = Xylotympou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
Ermis and Xylotympou are level in average points per game (both 0.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Akritas
1.21
Ayia Napa
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
Ermis and Xylotympou are level in goals scored per game (both 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Akritas
1.14
Enosis
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
Ermis is 0.52 goals worse than Xylotympou in terms of goals conceded per game (2.41 vs 1.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ErmisErmis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D20W20W00D00D01L02LA·XYL11/02H·AYI18/02A·ANA25/02H·PAE10/03A·OLY19/03A·KRA01/04H·XYL09/04A·AYI22/04H·ANA29/04A·ENO16/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.410.270.400.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.500.600.330.670.640.55
vs Weaker (9)0.330.000.170.000.670.00
Clean sheet %69% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Xylotympou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

XylotympouXylotympou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D20W01L11D00D00D00D20W00DH·ERM11/02A·KRA18/02H·OLY25/02A·AYI04/03H·ANA12/03H·PAE02/04A·ERM09/04H·KRA22/04A·OLY29/04H·DIG16/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.740.740.770.540.710.93
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.670.890.800.700.501.12
vs Weaker (8)1.000.501.000.001.000.67
Clean sheet %41% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ermis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ErmisErmis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W01L00D12L13L01L22D10WA·XYL11/02H·AYI18/02A·ANA25/02H·PAE10/03A·OLY19/03A·KRA01/04H·XYL09/04A·AYI22/04H·ANA29/04A·ENO16/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.760.730.930.790.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.900.700.891.000.910.45
vs Weaker (9)0.440.890.500.830.331.00
Clean sheet %52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Xylotympou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

XylotympouXylotympou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D21W02L00D20W00D31W10W60W20WH·ERM11/02A·KRA18/02H·OLY25/02A·AYI04/03H·ANA12/03H·PAE02/04A·ERM09/04H·KRA22/04A·OLY29/04H·DIG16/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.630.770.691.070.57
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.780.720.800.700.750.75
vs Weaker (8)1.120.500.001.001.500.33
Clean sheet %56% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ermis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
ERM wins
0
Draws
1
XYL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ermis vs Xylotympou · H/A from ERM
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/23HERM Vs Xylotympou1-3
11/02/23AXylotympou Vs ERM0-1
17/09/22AXylotympou Vs ERM2-3

ErmisErmis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23AEnosis Vs ERM2-1
29/04/23HERM Vs Anagennisi Deryneia2-3
22/04/23AAyia Napa Vs ERM1-0
09/04/23HERM Vs Xylotympou1-3
01/04/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs ERM2-3
19/03/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs ERM0-2
10/03/23HERM Vs PAEEK0-1
25/02/23AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs ERM0-2
18/02/23HERM Vs Ayia Napa2-0
11/02/23AXylotympou Vs ERM0-1

XylotympouXylotympou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23HXYL Vs Digenis Morphou2-0
29/04/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs XYL0-8
22/04/23HXYL Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-0
09/04/23AErmis Vs XYL1-3
02/04/23HXYL Vs PAEEK0-0
12/03/23HXYL Vs Anagennisi Deryneia3-1
04/03/23AAyia Napa Vs XYL1-0
25/02/23HXYL Vs Olympiada Lympion2-2
18/02/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs XYL2-3
11/02/23HXYL Vs Ermis0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.38
HomeDWLLL1.07
AwayWWWLL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%27%50%
AVG goals2.382.332.43
Over 1.5 %66%67%64%
Over 2.5 %45%40%50%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.211.001.43
Conceded1.171.331.00
BTTS48%47%50%
Clean Sheet31%27%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Xylotympou
Xylotympou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.50
HomeDWDWW1.79
AwayDWLWW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%50%36%
AVG goals3.112.933.29
Over 1.5 %75%79%71%
Over 2.5 %54%50%57%
Over 3.5 %39%36%43%
Scored1.711.641.79
Conceded1.391.291.50
BTTS61%64%57%
Clean Sheet18%21%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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