This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.00
2.25
0.56
1.93
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
2.00
1.50
1.33
1.00
4.00
3.00
vs Weaker (26)
2.12
0.92
2.46
0.46
1.77
1.38
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.69+0.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
@ 2.15-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
Erzurumspor FK goals ↓
Beşiktaş goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
9.6%
11%
7.0%
3.5%
1
4.0%
11%
9.9%
6.6%
3.3%
2
2.4%
4.7%
4.7%
3.1%
1.6%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzurumspor FK goals (down), columns = Beşiktaş goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beşiktaş
2.10
Galatasaray
2.10
Fenerbahçe
2.05
Trabzonspor
1.77
Sivasspor
1.62
Hatayspor
1.52
Alanyaspor
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Gaziantep FK
1.45
Göztepe
1.27
Konyaspor
1.25
Başakşehir
1.20
Rizespor
1.20
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.12
Antalyaspor
1.10
Kayserispor
1.02
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.95
Ankaragücü
0.95
Denizlispor
0.70
Erzurumspor FK is 1.10 points worse than Beşiktaş in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.23
Galatasaray
2.00
Fenerbahçe
1.80
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Hatayspor
1.55
Gaziantep FK
1.48
Göztepe
1.48
Alanyaspor
1.45
Sivasspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.32
Trabzonspor
1.25
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.23
Konyaspor
1.23
Kasımpaşa
1.18
Ankaragücü
1.15
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.10
Erzurumspor FK
1.10
Başakşehir
1.07
Antalyaspor
1.02
Denizlispor
0.95
Kayserispor
0.88
Erzurumspor FK is 1.12 goals worse than Beşiktaş in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 2.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.90
Trabzonspor
0.93
Fenerbahçe
1.02
Sivasspor
1.07
Beşiktaş
1.10
Alanyaspor
1.12
Konyaspor
1.20
Gaziantep FK
1.27
Fatih Karagümrük
1.30
Kayserispor
1.30
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.32
Hatayspor
1.32
Antalyaspor
1.38
Başakşehir
1.38
Kasımpaşa
1.43
Göztepe
1.48
Ankaragücü
1.62
Erzurumspor FK
1.70
Rizespor
1.73
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.90
Denizlispor
1.93
Erzurumspor FK is 0.60 goals worse than Beşiktaş in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
For 4.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beşiktaş
For 5.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.5
10.0
4.9
5.2
4.6
27.6
25.8
29.4
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
10.5
11.0
4.6
4.0
5.2
25.6
22.5
28.7
vs Similar (32)
10.1
10.4
9.7
4.6
4.9
4.1
27.2
26.1
28.5
vs Weaker (6)
10.5
11.5
10.0
7.3
10.5
5.8
33.2
32.5
33.5
% over line
54%
60%
48%
66%
68%
64%
84%
80%
88%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
34%
32%
36%
16%
20%
12%
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.8
8.9
5.0
5.4
4.6
27.1
27.6
26.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
11.9
13.4
10.0
6.2
6.2
6.2
29.4
30.2
28.5
vs Weaker (41)
9.4
10.1
8.7
4.7
5.2
4.3
26.6
26.9
26.2
% over line
46%
52%
40%
72%
80%
64%
82%
80%
84%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
28%
20%
36%
18%
20%
16%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Galatasaray
11.0
Fatih Karagümrük
10.6
Denizlispor
10.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
10.4
Fenerbahçe
10.3
Erzurumspor FK
10.3
Trabzonspor
10.2
Gaziantep FK
10.2
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.9
Alanyaspor
9.8
Beşiktaş
9.8
Ankaragücü
9.5
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.5
Kayserispor
9.3
Kasımpaşa
9.3
Başakşehir
9.3
Göztepe
9.3
Konyaspor
9.1
Hatayspor
9.0
Rizespor
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fenerbahçe
5.9
Hatayspor
5.6
Galatasaray
5.5
Ankaragücü
5.5
Gaziantep FK
5.4
Alanyaspor
5.2
Antalyaspor
5.2
Trabzonspor
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Erzurumspor FK
4.9
Rizespor
4.9
Fatih Karagümrük
4.9
Sivasspor
4.7
Konyaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.6
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Kasımpaşa
4.2
Göztepe
4.2
Denizlispor
4.1
Başakşehir
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ankaragücü
29.3
Fenerbahçe
28.9
Denizlispor
28.4
Rizespor
27.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
27.7
Hatayspor
27.6
Erzurumspor FK
27.6
Sivasspor
27.1
Beşiktaş
27.1
Kasımpaşa
27.1
Antalyaspor
26.8
Alanyaspor
26.8
Galatasaray
26.8
Fatih Karagümrük
26.5
Göztepe
26.3
Gaziantep FK
26.3
Kayserispor
26.0
Trabzonspor
25.3
Konyaspor
25.2
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.6
Başakşehir
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.7%
Under 21.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.86
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.65
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.81
0.19
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.73
0.35
0.92
0.15
0.54
0.54
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.47
0.80
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.80
0.70
1.20
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.63
1.44
0.38
1.29
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.67
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.38
0.58
1.54
0.31
1.23
0.85
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Erzurumspor FK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nihad Mujakić33%
Nariman Akhundzade33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Beşiktaş · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Václav Černý67%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Olaitan67%
Emmanuel Agbadou33%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý33%
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
EF (26)
€26m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
HAT (16)
€2m
Erzurumspor FK's squad is €177m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€26m vs €202m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
HAT (4)
€0m
Erzurumspor FK's attack is €60m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€10m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
FK (3)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
HAT (3)
€0m
Erzurumspor FK's midfield is €43m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€7m vs €50m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
FK (11)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
HAT (9)
€1m
Erzurumspor FK's defence is €74m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€8m vs €82m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Yeni Malatyaspor
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Denizlispor