Erzurumspor FK, fresh from a 1-1 draw against Gençlerbirliği, will host Konyaspor, who have suffered five straight defeats. The model’s strongest edge lies in the “Away under 2.5 HT goals” pick, with a 98.7% chance and a 6% advantage over the market. The overall forecast favours a home win, with a 50% probability, a draw at 27%, and an away win at 23%. The expected total goals is 2.7, but the most likely total is 2, with a 26% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% probability.
Erzurumspor’s home form shows an average of 3.17 goals scored and only 0.58 conceded against similar opponents, while Konyaspor’s away record yields 1.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s suggested picks include: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.7%, Under 7.598.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals96.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals96.1%, Away under 3.5 goals96.0%, Under 6.594.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals93.8%, and Home +2 handicap90.4%. Each selection is listed with its probability, and where an edge is noted, the edge percentage is mentioned.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Erzurumspor FK win
49.1%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.28
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.35
Unibet
2.32
Dafabet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.30
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.31
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.45
1xBet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Konyaspor win
24.0%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 3.00
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.17
Pinnacle
3.14
Dafabet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Betano
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.00
3.00
0.79
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.50
0.00
4.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
2.15
0.85
3.17
0.58
1.33
1.07
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.23
1.27
0.73
1.27
1.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.80
1.00
1.00
0.83
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.45
0.95
1.36
0.64
1.56
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.30+4.9%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 3.30-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
10Bet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.98+3.4%
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.81-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.02
SBO
2.02
Under
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.0%
@ 3.40+1.7%
Under 3.5
71.0%
@ 1.28-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Betano
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Under
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
54.5%
@ 1.75+1.3%
No
45.5%
@ 1.99-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.75
No
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 5.95+5.3%
1-0
9.6%@ 7.29+3.5%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.57+4.3%
2-0
8.8%@ 10.51+4.6%
0-0
7.8%@ 9.07+2.8%
1-2
6.3%@ 9.96+1.8%
0-1
6.0%@ 8.68+0.8%
3-1
5.2%@ 17.20+2.6%
Erzurumspor FK goals ↓
Konyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
6.0%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.6%
13%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.6%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.8%
5.2%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzurumspor FK goals (down), columns = Konyaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Erzurumspor FK is 0.22 points worse than Konyaspor in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Erzurumspor FK is 0.33 goals worse than Konyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Erzurumspor FK is 0.41 goals worse than Konyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
For 3.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Konyaspor
For 3.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.3
8.5
3.8
3.4
4.1
23.1
21.3
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
4.0
4.0
-
0.5
1.0
0.0
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (45)
8.8
8.8
8.7
4.0
3.6
4.3
23.2
21.5
24.7
vs Weaker (3)
5.3
3.0
6.5
3.3
2.0
4.0
21.0
16.0
23.5
% over line
36%
33%
38%
56%
43%
67%
56%
48%
62%
% under line
64%
67%
62%
44%
57%
33%
44%
52%
38%
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.3
4.4
4.2
25.2
24.0
26.5
vs Stronger (15)
11.1
12.3
10.1
4.2
4.8
3.8
24.7
23.0
26.0
vs Similar (34)
9.0
8.0
10.2
4.5
4.5
4.5
25.5
24.4
26.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
36%
62%
62%
64%
60%
79%
77%
81%
% under line
51%
64%
38%
38%
36%
40%
21%
23%
19%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Başakşehir
9.7
Samsunspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Konyaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Çorum FK
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.3
Alanyaspor
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Beşiktaş
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Konyaspor
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Çorum FK
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Alanyaspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Trabzonspor
4.7
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
28.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Kocaelispor
27.4
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.5
Samsunspor
26.2
Rizespor
26.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.2
Konyaspor
24.8
Galatasaray
23.5
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
22.9
Amed
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.1%
@ 2.04-2.2%
Under 9.5
56.9%
@ 1.69+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.7%
Under 21.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Erzurumspor FK or Draw
75.3%
Avg Implied 68.8% · @ 1.36
Edge
+6.6%
49%
27%
24%
covers Erzurumspor FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Erzurumspor FK or Konyaspor
76.1%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
+4.0%
49%
27%
24%
covers Erzurumspor FK + Konyaspor
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw or Konyaspor
48.5%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.58
Edge
-10.6%
49%
27%
24%
covers Draw + Konyaspor
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5
Over
85.9%
@ 1.25+11.8%
Under
14.1%
@ 3.59-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5
Over
58.3%
@ 2.24+16.8%
Under
41.7%
@ 1.59-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Marathonbet
2.29
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5
Over
31.3%
@ 5.05+12.9%
Under
68.7%
@ 1.14-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Erzurumspor FK over/under 3.5
Over
13.6%
@ 12.12+5.7%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.03-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Konyaspor over/under 0.5
Over
73.2%
@ 1.35+4.6%
Under
26.8%
@ 2.96-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
10Bet
2.95
Konyaspor over/under 1.5
Over
37.9%
@ 2.73+3.9%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.41-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
Marathonbet
2.82
BetVictor
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Konyaspor over/under 2.5
Over
14.7%
@ 6.86+1.1%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.08-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Konyaspor over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
@ 16.00-1.5%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Erzurumspor FK, so a minus line means Erzurumspor FK give that many goals of a start and Konyaspor receive them. At -1, Erzurumspor FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Erzurumspor FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Erzurumspor FK)
Erzurumspor FK -2
14.5%
@ 8.97+4.7%
Draw -2
15.9%
@ 5.86+0.9%
Konyaspor +2
69.6%
@ 1.17-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
9.50
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
6.10
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Erzurumspor FK)
Erzurumspor FK -1
30.4%
@ 4.35+9.9%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 3.88-1.9%
Konyaspor +1
48.5%
@ 1.58-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
Handicap +1 (Erzurumspor FK)
Erzurumspor FK +1
75.3%
@ 1.38+10.1%
Draw +1
13.8%
@ 4.43-6.4%
Konyaspor -1
10.8%
@ 6.16-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Erzurumspor FK)
Erzurumspor FK +2
89.2%
@ 1.10+6.7%
Draw +2
7.2%
@ 8.00-4.1%
Konyaspor -2
3.6%
@ 14.67-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
10Bet
15.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
1.29
0.50
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.37
1.33
0.33
0.27
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.67
0.20
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.90
0.50
0.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.30
0.73
0.18
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.1%
@ 1.39+3.5%
Under 0.5
29.9%
@ 2.78-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
William Hil
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.7%
@ 2.84+4.0%
Under 1.5
63.3%
@ 1.38-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.89
Under
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 7.29+2.1%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.06-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.4%
@ 1.98+3.6%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.74-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
Unibet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.1%
@ 6.20-0.8%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.08+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
@ 11.75-4.2%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.7%
@ 2.24-1.6%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.58+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
10Bet
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
@ 7.65-4.7%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.05+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
10Bet
7.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 12.50-6.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.57
1.71
0.29
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.41
0.48
1.83
0.25
1.07
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.53
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.65
0.64
0.45
1.11
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.24+4.3%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 3.67-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Betano
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.2%
@ 2.15+3.8%
Under 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.64-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 4.70+0.0%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.16-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.6%
@ 1.70+2.2%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.03-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.0%
@ 4.41-0.0%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.17+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.2%
@ 9.50-3.7%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.9%
@ 1.91+0.3%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.80-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.76
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.3%
@ 5.59+2.7%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.11-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
@ 11.00-4.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.5%
Under 6.5
95.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.8%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+4.7%
Home +2 handicap
89.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
-
-
+6.7%
Under 5.5
88.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-4.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-5.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
85.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+11.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+0.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
85.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
-1.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-2.1%
Over 2.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-2.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-0.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+4.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+0.0%
Under 11.5 corners
78.9%
1.22
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
+4.0%
Over 1.5
76.7%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+4.9%
Under 4.5
76.7%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-9.6%
Home or Away
76.1%
1.30
1xBet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+4.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+6.6%
Home +1 handicap
75.3%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+10.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
73.2%
1.35
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+4.6%
Under 3.5
71.0%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
-1.7%
Under 5.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.39
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+3.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Erzurumspor FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nihad Mujakić33%
Nariman Akhundzade33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Konyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ebrima Colley33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Bardhi33%
Chidozie Awaziem33%
Deniz Türüç33%
Adil Demirbağ33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yhoan Andzouana33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Melih İbrahimoğlu33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Erzurumspor FK's squad is €7m less valuable than Konyaspor's (€26m vs €33m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Erzurumspor FK's attack is €2m less valuable than Konyaspor's (€10m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Erzurumspor FK's midfield is €3m more valuable than Konyaspor's (€7m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Erzurumspor FK's defence is €8m less valuable than Konyaspor's (€8m vs €16m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK