This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rizespor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.47
1.73
1.07
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.25
1.75
1.50
1.25
3.00
vs Similar (16)
1.38
1.25
1.67
0.89
1.00
1.71
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1 ✓
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
Erzurumspor FK goals ↓
Rizespor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
8.0%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.9%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.7%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.5%
4.0%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzurumspor FK goals (down), columns = Rizespor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.03
Başakşehir
1.97
Beşiktaş
1.91
Trabzonspor
1.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.35
Antalyaspor
1.32
Konyaspor
1.29
Alanyaspor
1.29
Sivasspor
1.21
Rizespor
1.21
Kayserispor
1.21
Ankaragücü
1.18
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Göztepe
1.12
Bursaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
0.79
Erzurumspor FK is 0.18 points worse than Rizespor in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.12
Galatasaray
2.12
Trabzonspor
1.88
Kasımpaşa
1.56
Sivasspor
1.44
Başakşehir
1.44
Rizespor
1.41
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.15
Ankaragücü
1.12
Göztepe
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Kayserispor
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.00
Bursaspor
0.82
Erzurumspor FK is 0.35 goals worse than Rizespor in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.41).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.65
Galatasaray
1.06
Bursaspor
1.09
Konyaspor
1.12
Göztepe
1.24
Erzurumspor FK
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.26
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Trabzonspor
1.35
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.35
Beşiktaş
1.38
Rizespor
1.47
Kayserispor
1.47
Ankaragücü
1.56
Sivasspor
1.59
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.82
Erzurumspor FK is 0.21 goals better than Rizespor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rizespor
For 5.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
10.7
11.8
9.6
4.3
4.8
3.8
25.4
24.0
26.9
vs Stronger (6)
12.8
14.0
12.2
4.7
3.5
5.2
24.5
21.0
26.2
vs Similar (11)
9.1
10.5
7.4
4.1
5.3
2.6
26.2
25.2
27.4
vs Weaker (2)
13.5
13.5
-
4.5
4.5
-
23.5
23.5
-
% over line
68%
80%
56%
53%
70%
33%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
32%
20%
44%
47%
30%
67%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rizespor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
9.6
12.6
1.6
1.3
2.0
28.1
30.4
26.0
vs Stronger (15)
10.2
10.0
10.3
1.4
0.7
2.0
24.8
25.0
24.7
vs Similar (25)
12.5
10.0
15.0
1.8
1.4
2.1
29.9
35.4
24.4
vs Weaker (10)
9.0
8.0
10.0
1.7
1.8
1.6
27.8
23.5
32.0
% over line
63%
44%
80%
20%
12%
27%
84%
89%
80%
% under line
37%
56%
20%
80%
88%
73%
16%
11%
20%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beşiktaş
11.2
Rizespor
11.2
Erzurumspor FK
10.7
Kasımpaşa
10.2
Göztepe
10.0
Fenerbahçe
9.9
Ankaragücü
9.9
Antalyaspor
9.7
Konyaspor
9.6
Sivasspor
9.6
Alanyaspor
9.5
Bursaspor
9.5
Kayserispor
9.2
Trabzonspor
9.2
Galatasaray
9.2
Yeni Malatyaspor
8.9
Başakşehir
8.8
Akhisar Belediyespor
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beşiktaş
5.9
Alanyaspor
5.6
Sivasspor
5.3
Fenerbahçe
5.3
Konyaspor
5.3
Ankaragücü
5.2
Galatasaray
5.2
Trabzonspor
5.2
Göztepe
5.0
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.0
Antalyaspor
5.0
Kayserispor
4.9
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.6
Kasımpaşa
4.6
Başakşehir
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Erzurumspor FK
4.3
Rizespor
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alanyaspor
29.8
Beşiktaş
29.6
Trabzonspor
29.4
Bursaspor
29.3
Ankaragücü
29.2
Yeni Malatyaspor
29.2
Fenerbahçe
28.5
Antalyaspor
28.2
Akhisar Belediyespor
28.2
Rizespor
28.1
Sivasspor
27.7
Göztepe
27.3
Galatasaray
27.2
Kasımpaşa
26.8
Konyaspor
26.1
Kayserispor
25.9
Başakşehir
25.8
Erzurumspor FK
25.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
70.9%
Under 9.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.3%
Under 3.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.2%
Under 21.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.50
0.30
0.44
0.78
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.50
0.33
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rizespor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.80
0.53
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.31
0.89
0.44
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.79
0.40
1.00
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.00
1.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.55
0.67
0.50
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rizespor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
0.93
0.53
0.73
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.38
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.94
0.78
0.44
0.57
1.57
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Erzurumspor FK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nihad Mujakić33%
Nariman Akhundzade33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Rizespor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Sowe33%
Qazim Laci33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Attila Mocsi33%
Ali Sowe33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Qazim Laci33%
Dal Varešanović33%
Mithat Pala33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mithat Pala33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmed Kutucu33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
EF (26)
€26m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Erzurumspor FK's squad is €18m less valuable than Rizespor's (€26m vs €44m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
Erzurumspor FK's attack is €2m less valuable than Rizespor's (€10m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Erzurumspor FK and Rizespor have a similar midfield value (both €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Erzurumspor FK's defence is €16m less valuable than Rizespor's (€8m vs €25m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Sivasspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Kasımpaşa
Göztepe
Bursaspor