PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Vs
67%
21%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Esbjerg’s recent form has been a roller-coaster, but after a trio of losses the team is eager to rebound, and the model’s 67 % home-win probability reflects a strong home advantage against a Vendsyssel side that struggles away. The expected 3.1 goals and a 23 % chance of a 2-goal total suggest a moderate-scoring affair, yet the single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Esbjerg with an 11.2 % probability. Esbjerg averages four goals scored and two conceded at home against weaker opposition, while Vendsyssel averages just over one goal scored and 1.69 conceded on the road against stronger teams. The model’s picks reinforce the low-scoring expectation: Away under 3.5 goals (98.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Under 7.5 (98.6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.8 %), Under 6.5 (96.3 %), Home +2 handicap (95.8 %), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.2 %). The probabilities for the match outcome are 67 % home win, 21 % draw, and 13 % away win.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Vendsyssel FF snatched a 2-0 away win, ending Esbjerg’s string of defeats and extending Vendsyssel’s three-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 67% probability, but the model’s call proved wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 94.1%, while Home +2 handicap missed at 95.8%. The final score of 0-2 matched the actual result, confirming the surprise.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esbjerg win✗ Miss
66.6%
Avg Implied 47.6% · @ 1.95
Edge
+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Dafabet
2.09
10Bet
2.08
SBO
2.06
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.73
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.17
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Bet365
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Vendsyssel FF win✓ Hit
12.8%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.37
Edge
-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.20
BetVictor
3.80
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
Pinnacle
3.61

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D41W21W11D32W60W12L12L24L51WA·HIL16/05A·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08A·VEJ21/08A·SKI25/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.471.571.211.881.69
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.541.381.330.921.711.79
vs Weaker (2)5.001.004.002.006.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W13L11D22D12L40W11D03L10W21WH·HOB16/05A·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.001.121.291.64
vs Stronger (29)1.171.311.071.001.291.64
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
@ 1.16+1.8%
Under 1.5
17.9%
@ 4.72-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.01
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.55-0.9%
Under 2.5
40.7%
@ 2.35+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Unibet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
@ 2.38-2.2%
Under 3.5
63.1%
@ 1.52+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
BetVictor
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
@ 1.50-8.9%
No
47.2%
@ 2.40+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
No
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.42
William Hil
2.40

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%@ 10.38+6.9%
1-1
9.8%@ 6.89+3.4%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.70+4.1%
1-0
9.3%@ 9.21+4.5%
3-0
8.2%@ 16.87+5.6%
3-1
7.2%@ 12.50+3.7%
0-0
5.5%@ 13.79+2.3%
4-0
4.5%@ 34.20+3.2%
Esbjerg goals ↓
Vendsyssel FF goals →
01234
05.5%3.2%1.8%0.5%0.1%
19.3%9.8%3.9%1.1%0.2%
211%9.8%4.3%1.3%0.3%
38.2%7.2%3.1%0.9%0.2%
44.5%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esbjerg goals (down), columns = Vendsyssel FF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Esbjerg is 0.67 points worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Esbjerg is 0.17 goals better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Esbjerg is 0.83 goals worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Esbjerg or Draw✗ Miss
87.2%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.30
Edge
+15.6%
67%
21%
13%
covers Esbjerg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.30
Esbjerg or Vendsyssel FF✓ Hit
79.4%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+3.6%
67%
21%
13%
covers Esbjerg + Vendsyssel FF
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Draw or Vendsyssel FF✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied 52.6% · @ 1.77
Edge
-19.3%
67%
21%
13%
covers Draw + Vendsyssel FF
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.75

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.9%
@ 1.14+7.3%
Under
11.1%
@ 5.06-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.70
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Esbjerg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
64.5%
@ 1.73+10.8%
Under
35.5%
@ 2.01-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
BetVictor
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Esbjerg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.7%
@ 3.27+9.3%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.30-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.40
Pinnacle
3.25
Under
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Esbjerg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 7.10+4.9%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.08-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.70
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.4%
@ 1.28-14.3%
Under
41.6%
@ 3.39+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.9%
@ 2.36-17.5%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.53+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
10Bet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 5.29-11.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.13+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
BetVictor
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Vendsyssel FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 11.56-6.9%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Esbjerg, so a minus line means Esbjerg give that many goals of a start and Vendsyssel FF receive them. At -1, Esbjerg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Esbjerg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Esbjerg)Actual: Vendsyssel FF
Esbjerg -2
23.6%
@ 6.81+10.4%
Draw -2
20.3%
@ 5.65+4.5%
Vendsyssel FF +2
56.1%
@ 1.26-14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Unibet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (Esbjerg)Actual: Vendsyssel FF
Esbjerg -1
43.9%
@ 3.52+18.3%
Draw -1
22.7%
@ 3.97+0.1%
Vendsyssel FF +1
33.4%
@ 1.74-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Away
Marathonbet
1.88
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Handicap +1 (Esbjerg)Actual: Vendsyssel FF
Esbjerg +1
87.2%
@ 1.31+18.3%
Draw +1
8.5%
@ 5.23-8.7%
Vendsyssel FF -1
4.2%
@ 6.55-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Superbet
4.90
Unibet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.70
Handicap +2 (Esbjerg)Actual: Draw
Esbjerg +2
95.8%
@ 1.09+11.8%
Draw +2
3.2%
@ 9.45-6.5%
Vendsyssel FF -2
1.0%
@ 14.50-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
7.90
Away
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
12.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EsbjergEsbjerg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L11D20W40W00D00D11D30WA·HIL16/05A·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08A·VEJ21/08A·SKI25/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.640.641.060.50
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.460.500.420.930.50
vs Weaker (2)3.000.502.001.004.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D02L12L30W10W03L10W20WH·HOB16/05A·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.500.560.641.00
vs Stronger (29)0.590.690.530.400.641.00
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.25-4.8%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 3.53+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
William Hil
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.52
Marathonbet
3.52
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.25-10.5%
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.58+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 5.12-7.7%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.13+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.8%
@ 1.68-3.5%
Under
48.2%
@ 2.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.07
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 4.32-6.1%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.18+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 11.50-5.1%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.8%
@ 2.04-7.7%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.71+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 6.38-6.7%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.08+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
6.70
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 17.50-4.1%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EsbjergEsbjerg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W20W00D12L20W12L12L13L21WA·HIL16/05A·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08A·VEJ21/08A·SKI25/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.900.930.570.811.19
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.920.830.500.791.29
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L11D20W00D10W01L00D00D01LH·HOB16/05A·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.500.560.640.64
vs Stronger (29)0.590.620.530.600.640.64
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.15-2.1%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 4.77+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.0%
@ 1.78-6.3%
Under 1.5
54.0%
@ 1.95+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
Under
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 3.44-9.1%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.26+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.60
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Under
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.1%
@ 1.50-3.6%
Under
41.9%
@ 2.42+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.4%
@ 3.34-6.3%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.28+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 8.47-4.8%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.90
1xBet
8.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.2%
@ 1.75-5.8%
Under
52.8%
@ 1.97+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.87
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 4.70-7.2%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.16+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 11.67-5.9%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-+6.9%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+1.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+4.1%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.9%1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
--+5.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.9%1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
--+5.1%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.3%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-+2.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.8%1.09
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.08
---+11.8%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals94.1%1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+11.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.8%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
-+4.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2%1.08
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.590.8%1.06
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+3.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.6%1.13
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+7.7%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals88.9%1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+7.3%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.5%1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+7.2%✓ Hit
Home or Draw87.2%1.30
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.30
+15.6%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap87.2%1.31
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+18.3%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.6%1.18
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
+6.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.3%1.26
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+9.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.582.1%1.16
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+1.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals82.0%1.08
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-4.9%✓ Hit
Under 4.580.3%1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+2.6%✓ Hit
Home or Away79.4%1.23
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Unibet
1.23
+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.6%1.28
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+6.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.4%1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
-2.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals78.1%1.53
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.57
+17.5%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Esbjerg's squad is €6m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€7m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Esbjerg's attack is €2m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Esbjerg's midfield is €1m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Esbjerg's defence is €3m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€3m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ESB wins
0
Draws
1
VF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel FF · H/A from ESB
DateH/AGameScore
01/12/24AVendsyssel FF Vs ESB2-0
17/08/24HESB Vs Vendsyssel FF3-1

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/26ASkive Vs ESB1-5
21/08/26AVejle Vs ESB4-2
15/08/26HESB Vs Hobro1-2
09/08/26AHvidovre Vs ESB2-1
06/08/26ABogense Vs ESB0-6
01/08/26AHillerød Vs ESB2-3
25/07/26HESB Vs Kolding IF1-1
31/05/26HESB Vs Lyngby2-1
25/05/26AHvidovre Vs ESB1-4
16/05/26AHillerød Vs ESB1-1

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/26AFuglebakken KFUM Vs VF1-2
20/08/26HVF Vs Hillerød1-0
16/08/26HVF Vs AB Copenhagen0-3
09/08/26AFC Fredericia Vs VF1-1
05/08/26AHobro Vs VF0-4
02/08/26HVF Vs Hobro1-2
25/07/26AHvidovre Vs VF2-2
06/08/25HVF Vs Aalborg1-1
22/05/25AHillerød Vs VF3-1
16/05/25HVF Vs Hobro2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.52
HomeLWWDL1.64
AwayWWLLW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%45%43%
AVG goals2.962.593.25
Over 1.5 %78%73%82%
Over 2.5 %52%45%57%
Over 3.5 %30%23%36%
Scored1.541.411.64
Conceded1.421.181.61
BTTS58%55%61%
Clean Sheet22%27%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.06
HomeWDLLW1.08
AwayLDWDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.802.642.96
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored1.161.081.24
Conceded1.641.561.72
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches