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Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 0-5
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
6%
14%
79%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
6.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win✓ Hit
79.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L50W04L20W23L24L22D04L03L14LH·FC 07/04A·ATL14/04A·INT21/04H·CAR27/04A·PEN05/05H·ORD12/05A·PAS19/05A·RAN15/09H·INT22/09A·PEN29/09
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.933.070.502.711.313.38
vs Stronger (17)0.763.710.383.251.114.11
vs Similar (10)1.102.400.802.401.402.40
vs Weaker (3)1.331.670.000.002.002.50
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W20W02L10W80W01L02L00D32W31WA·PAS21/04H·INT28/04H·UE 05/05A·FC 11/05H·ATL19/05H·F9111/07A·F9118/07A·PEN15/09H·PAS22/09H·LA 29/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.530.832.800.872.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.461.082.571.002.331.17
vs Weaker (17)2.590.653.000.752.220.56
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.4%
Under 1.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.8%
Under 2.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.0%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
5.3%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals →
01234
03.8%8.2%12%11%7.5%
11.6%6.8%8.5%7.7%5.3%
20.8%2.2%3.0%2.7%1.9%
30.2%0.5%0.7%0.6%0.4%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.30
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.07
FC Santa Coloma
1.93
UE Santa Coloma
1.81
Ranger's
1.78
Penya Encarnada
1.26
Ordino
1.22
Pas de la Casa
1.07
Esperança d'Andorra
0.36
La Massana
0.19
City Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 1.72 points worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.36 vs 2.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3.11
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.59
Ranger's
2.19
UE Santa Coloma
2.07
FC Santa Coloma
1.56
Pas de la Casa
1.30
Ordino
1.19
Penya Encarnada
1.19
Esperança d'Andorra
0.57
La Massana
0.37
City Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 2.02 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (0.57 vs 2.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.70
Ranger's
0.74
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.81
UE Santa Coloma
0.89
FC Santa Coloma
1.04
Pas de la Casa
1.33
Penya Encarnada
1.59
Ordino
1.78
City Escaldes
2.00
Esperança d'Andorra
3.29
La Massana
3.78
Esperança d'Andorra is 2.47 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (3.29 vs 0.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L20W02L10W00D12L10W03L01L13LH·FC 07/04A·ATL14/04A·INT21/04H·CAR27/04A·PEN05/05H·ORD12/05A·PAS19/05A·RAN15/09H·INT22/09A·PEN29/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.370.141.070.691.62
vs Stronger (17)0.291.710.001.500.561.89
vs Similar (10)0.501.000.400.600.601.40
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W10W10W02L10W60W01L00D10W10WH·ORD14/04A·PAS21/04H·INT28/04H·UE 05/05A·FC 11/05H·ATL19/05H·F9111/07A·F9118/07H·PAS22/09H·LA 29/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.331.470.400.870.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.140.571.430.570.860.57
vs Weaker (16)1.190.121.500.250.880.00
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W02L10W23L12L12L01L02L01LH·FC 07/04A·ATL14/04A·INT21/04H·CAR27/04A·PEN05/05H·ORD12/05A·PAS19/05A·RAN15/09H·INT22/09A·PEN29/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.700.361.640.621.75
vs Stronger (17)0.472.000.381.750.562.22
vs Similar (10)0.601.400.401.800.801.00
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W00D00D20W00D02L22D21WH·ORD14/04A·PAS21/04H·INT28/04H·UE 05/05A·FC 11/05H·ATL19/05H·F9111/07A·F9118/07H·PAS22/09H·LA 29/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.531.330.471.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.140.501.140.431.140.57
vs Weaker (16)1.560.561.500.501.620.62
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.4%-------✓ Hit
Away win79.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
CE (3)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra's squad is €1m less valuable than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
PDL (1)
€0m
CE (2)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
CE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
ED wins
0
Draws
3
ACD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/24HED Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1-3
28/01/24HED Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-5
12/11/23AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ED3-1

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24APenya Encarnada Vs ED4-1
22/09/24HED Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-3
15/09/24ARanger's Vs ED4-0
19/05/24APas de la Casa Vs ED2-2
12/05/24HED Vs Ordino2-4
05/05/24APenya Encarnada Vs ED3-2
27/04/24HED Vs Carroi2-0
21/04/24AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED4-0
14/04/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs ED0-5
07/04/24HED Vs FC Santa Coloma0-6

Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24HACD Vs La Massana3-1
22/09/24HACD Vs Pas de la Casa3-2
15/09/24APenya Encarnada Vs ACD0-0
18/07/24AF91 Dudelange Vs ACD2-0
11/07/24HACD Vs F91 Dudelange0-1
19/05/24HACD Vs Atlètic Amèrica8-0
11/05/24AFC Santa Coloma Vs ACD0-1
05/05/24HACD Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
28/04/24HACD Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-0
21/04/24APas de la Casa Vs ACD1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.14
HomeLLWLL1.26
AwayLLDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%39%30%
AVG goals3.783.354.15
Over 1.5 %92%91%93%
Over 2.5 %72%65%78%
Over 3.5 %54%39%67%
Scored1.541.221.81
Conceded2.242.132.33
BTTS36%30%41%
Clean Sheet26%26%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Atlètic Club d
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.98
HomeLWLWW2.00
AwayWWWLD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%64%60%
AVG goals3.223.482.96
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored2.302.482.12
Conceded0.921.000.84
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet34%28%40%
Corners7.6710.003.00
Cards5.005.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2762
67%
2.3
8419+65
3.8
81%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2123.10.7
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2756
59%
2.1
7022+48
3.4
74%
67%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.60.8
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2752
59%
1.9
4228+14
2.6
67%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.61.0
-
4UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2749
52%
1.8
5624+32
3.0
78%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.9
-
5RangerRanger's2748
48%
1.8
5920+39
2.9
70%
48%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.20.7
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2734
33%
1.3
3243-11
2.8
63%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.6
-
7OrdinoOrdino2733
33%
1.2
3248-16
3.0
85%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2729
30%
1.1
3536-1
2.6
70%
56%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2810
7%
0.4
1692-76
3.9
89%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.63.3
-
10La MassanaLa Massana275
4%
0.2
10102-92
4.1
93%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.43.8
-
11City EscaldesCity Escaldes10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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