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Esperança d'Andorra vs Carroi Result & Analysis

Date: 15/02/2026
Time: 10:00
Final 0-0
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
32%
29%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L04L13L01L03L07L02L02L12L01LA·CAR16/11H·UE 26/11A·RAN30/11H·ATL07/12A·ATL10/12A·UE 14/12A·INT21/12H·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.532.830.442.690.643.00
vs Stronger (18)0.283.780.203.500.384.12
vs Similar (10)0.901.601.001.400.801.80
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W05L00D02L07L21W31W00D14L03LH·ESP16/11H·UE 23/11A·UE 30/11A·INT06/12A·FC 14/12H·FC 17/12H·ORD20/12H·PEN18/01H·ATL31/01H·RAN08/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.601.441.251.792.00
vs Stronger (11)0.452.730.802.400.173.00
vs Similar (14)2.571.141.880.883.501.50
vs Weaker (5)1.400.401.330.331.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.5%
0-0 ✓
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
09.4%9.5%7.1%3.2%1.0%
18.3%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.7%7.6%5.0%2.2%0.7%
32.2%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.07 points worse than Carroi in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 0.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.17 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.35 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L01L00D02L03L00D02L11D00DA·CAR16/11H·UE 26/11A·RAN30/11H·ATL07/12A·ATL10/12A·UE 14/12A·INT21/12H·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.200.251.120.141.29
vs Stronger (18)0.111.670.201.500.001.88
vs Similar (10)0.300.600.400.600.200.60
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D01L03L01L00D00D01L02LH·ESP16/11H·UE 23/11A·UE 30/11A·INT06/12A·FC 14/12H·FC 17/12H·ORD20/12H·PEN18/01H·ATL31/01H·RAN08/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.710.710.880.81
vs Stronger (8)0.001.500.001.670.001.40
vs Similar (18)1.060.560.890.561.220.56
vs Weaker (4)1.250.251.000.001.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L12L01L01L04L02L00D01L01LA·CAR16/11H·UE 26/11A·RAN30/11H·ATL07/12A·ATL10/12A·UE 14/12A·INT21/12H·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.630.191.560.501.71
vs Stronger (18)0.172.110.002.000.382.25
vs Similar (10)0.601.000.600.800.601.20
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L00D01L04L20W31W00D13L01LH·ESP16/11H·UE 23/11A·UE 30/11A·INT06/12A·FC 14/12H·FC 17/12H·ORD20/12H·PEN18/01H·ATL31/01H·RAN08/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.790.640.940.94
vs Stronger (8)0.501.621.001.670.201.60
vs Similar (18)1.170.560.780.331.560.78
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
SE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
ED wins
0
Draws
3
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs Carroi · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/25ACarroi Vs ED2-1
27/04/24HED Vs Carroi2-0
20/01/24ACarroi Vs ED0-4
26/11/23HED Vs Carroi0-2
14/05/23ACarroi Vs ED2-0
05/03/23HED Vs Carroi1-0
06/11/22ACarroi Vs ED0-3

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs ED1-0
25/01/26HED Vs Ordino1-2
18/01/26HED Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
21/12/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED2-0
14/12/25AUE Santa Coloma Vs ED7-0
10/12/25AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ED3-0
07/12/25HED Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-1
30/11/25ARanger's Vs ED3-1
26/11/25HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-4
16/11/25ACarroi Vs ED2-1

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/26HCAR Vs Ranger's0-3
31/01/26HCAR Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1-4
18/01/26HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-0
20/12/25HCAR Vs Ordino3-1
17/12/25HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma2-1
14/12/25AFC Santa Coloma Vs CAR7-0
06/12/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR2-0
30/11/25AUE Santa Coloma Vs CAR0-0
23/11/25HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-5
16/11/25HCAR Vs Esperança d'Andorra2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.38
HomeLLLLL0.33
AwayLLLLL0.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%8%8%
AVG goals3.563.383.73
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %50%42%58%
Scored0.680.460.88
Conceded2.882.922.85
BTTS38%25%50%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.06
HomeWWDLL1.24
AwayLLDLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals3.202.763.64
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.201.001.40
Conceded2.001.762.24
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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