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Esperança d'Andorra vs Carroi Prediction & Stats

Date: 21/11/2026
Time: 19:30
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
44%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Esperan ça d'Andorra are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model favouring a home win with a 44% chance, a draw 28% and an away win 27%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate-scoring affair, and the single most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability. In recent form, Esperan ça have won two of their last five matches, currently on a two-game winning streak, and they have scored an average of 1.0 goal while conceding 0.83 against similar opposition. Carroi, on the road, have scored 1.25 goals per game but have conceded 2.25, and they are coming off a win after a four-match losing run. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (95.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.8%), Home +2 handicap (88.8%) and Under 4.5 (88.0%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L41W20W01L04L03L22D31W20WH·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03H·PEN13/04A·FC 19/04H·UE 10/05A·ORD16/05A·SPO23/05H·SPO27/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.900.671.600.932.20
vs Stronger (17)0.412.650.252.380.562.89
vs Similar (10)1.001.101.000.831.001.50
vs Weaker (3)2.330.332.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L00D00D02L14L00D05L12L03L21WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.000.871.400.732.60
vs Stronger (14)0.432.500.712.000.143.00
vs Similar (14)1.211.791.171.171.252.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
08.8%7.2%4.7%1.7%0.5%
19.9%14%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.2%9.1%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.0%4.4%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.07 points worse than Carroi in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 0.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.17 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.35 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Esperança d'Andorra or Draw
72.5%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
27%
covers Esperança d'Andorra + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra or Carroi
71.5%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
27%
covers Esperança d'Andorra + Carroi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Carroi
55.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
27%
covers Draw + Carroi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5
Over
77.0%
Under
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5
Over
43.2%
Under
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5
Over
30.6%
Under
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Esperança d'Andorra, so a minus line means Esperança d'Andorra give that many goals of a start and Carroi receive them. At -1, Esperança d'Andorra must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Esperança d'Andorra win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Esperança d'Andorra)
Esperança d'Andorra -2
8.7%
Draw -2
13.6%
Carroi +2
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Esperança d'Andorra)
Esperança d'Andorra -1
22.3%
Draw -1
21.8%
Carroi +1
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Esperança d'Andorra)
Esperança d'Andorra +1
72.5%
Draw +1
16.2%
Carroi -1
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Esperança d'Andorra)
Esperança d'Andorra +2
88.8%
Draw +2
7.8%
Carroi -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L10W00D01L00D01L01L10WH·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03H·PEN13/04A·FC 19/04H·UE 10/05A·ORD16/05H·SPO27/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.900.330.870.130.93
vs Stronger (17)0.061.180.121.250.001.11
vs Similar (11)0.360.640.500.500.200.80
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L00D02L10W01L11DH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.400.530.530.93
vs Stronger (12)0.081.170.171.000.001.33
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.430.290.890.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W11D31W20W00D04L02L21W10WH·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03H·PEN13/04A·FC 19/04H·UE 10/05A·ORD16/05H·SPO27/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.100.330.730.671.47
vs Stronger (17)0.351.470.121.120.561.78
vs Similar (11)0.640.730.500.330.801.20
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L13L00D03L02L02L10WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.730.870.731.47
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.671.170.171.67
vs Similar (16)1.001.060.860.711.111.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.500.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.3%-------
Under 5.595.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.8%-------
Home +2 handicap88.8%-------
Under 4.588.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.6%-------
Away +2 handicap77.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.0%-------
Over 1.574.2%-------
Under 3.574.0%-------
Home or Draw72.5%-------
Home +1 handicap72.5%-------
Home or Away71.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ED wins
1
Draws
3
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs Carroi · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HED Vs Carroi4-1
15/02/26HED Vs Carroi0-0
16/11/25ACarroi Vs ED2-1
27/04/24HED Vs Carroi2-0
20/01/24ACarroi Vs ED0-4
26/11/23HED Vs Carroi0-2
14/05/23ACarroi Vs ED2-0
05/03/23HED Vs Carroi1-0

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/26HED Vs Sporting Escaldes2-0
23/05/26ASporting Escaldes Vs ED1-3
16/05/26AOrdino Vs ED2-2
10/05/26HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-3
19/04/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs ED4-0
13/04/26HED Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
22/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED0-2
08/03/26HED Vs Carroi4-1
28/02/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ED2-1
22/02/26HED Vs Ranger's1-1

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HCAR Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-1
26/04/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-0
19/04/26HCAR Vs Ranger's1-2
11/04/26AOrdino Vs CAR5-0
22/03/26HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-0
08/03/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR4-1
01/03/26HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
22/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs CAR0-0
15/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR0-0
08/02/26HCAR Vs Ranger's0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW0.54
HomeDWLLW0.52
AwayLWLDW0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%12%12%
AVG goals3.182.883.48
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored0.700.560.84
Conceded2.482.322.64
BTTS40%28%52%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.14
HomeLLDLW1.42
AwayDDLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals3.002.583.38
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.821.422.19
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.00.0
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2110.00.0
-
4Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
5Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
7RangerRanger's00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
8OrdinoOrdino00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
9CarroiCarroi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.00.0
-
10Casa de PortugalCasa de Portugal00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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