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Esperança d'Andorra vs Pas de la Casa Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
11%
19%
70%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pas de la Casa
Pas de la Casa
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
11.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa win✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L20W23L24L22D04L03L14L05L11DA·INT21/04H·CAR27/04A·PEN05/05H·ORD12/05A·PAS19/05A·RAN15/09H·INT22/09A·PEN29/09H·ATL05/10A·LA 19/10
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.973.170.502.931.383.38
vs Stronger (17)0.763.880.383.621.114.11
vs Similar (10)1.202.400.802.401.602.40
vs Weaker (3)1.331.670.000.002.002.50
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Pas de la Casa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L02L30W22D12L23L22D40W00DH·ATL21/04A·UE 28/04H·FC 04/05A·ATL12/05H·ESP19/05H·ORD14/09A·ATL22/09H·UE 28/09A·LA 06/10H·RAN20/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.700.942.121.231.15
vs Stronger (30)1.071.700.942.121.231.15
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
Pas de la Casa goals →
01234
04.6%8.4%11%8.8%5.3%
12.5%8.8%9.5%7.6%4.6%
21.4%3.4%4.1%3.3%2.0%
30.4%1.0%1.2%1.0%0.6%
40.1%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = Pas de la Casa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.30
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.07
FC Santa Coloma
1.93
UE Santa Coloma
1.81
Ranger's
1.78
Penya Encarnada
1.26
Ordino
1.22
Pas de la Casa
1.07
Esperança d'Andorra
0.36
La Massana
0.19
City Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.72 points worse than Pas de la Casa in terms of average points per game (0.36 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3.11
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.59
Ranger's
2.19
UE Santa Coloma
2.07
FC Santa Coloma
1.56
Pas de la Casa
1.30
Ordino
1.19
Penya Encarnada
1.19
Esperança d'Andorra
0.57
La Massana
0.37
City Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.72 goals worse than Pas de la Casa in terms of goals scored per game (0.57 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.70
Ranger's
0.74
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.81
UE Santa Coloma
0.89
FC Santa Coloma
1.04
Pas de la Casa
1.33
Penya Encarnada
1.59
Ordino
1.78
City Escaldes
2.00
Esperança d'Andorra
3.29
La Massana
3.78
Esperança d'Andorra is 1.95 goals worse than Pas de la Casa in terms of goals conceded per game (3.29 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D12L10W03L01L13L03L01LA·INT21/04H·CAR27/04A·PEN05/05H·ORD12/05A·PAS19/05A·RAN15/09H·INT22/09A·PEN29/09H·ATL05/10A·LA 19/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.430.141.210.691.62
vs Stronger (17)0.291.820.001.750.561.89
vs Similar (10)0.501.000.400.600.601.40
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Pas de la Casa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L10W01L10W01L12L30W00DH·ATL21/04A·UE 28/04H·FC 04/05A·ATL12/05H·ESP19/05H·ORD14/09A·ATL22/09H·UE 28/09A·LA 06/10H·RAN20/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.410.940.540.46
vs Stronger (30)0.470.730.410.940.540.46
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W23L12L12L01L02L01L02L10WA·INT21/04H·CAR27/04A·PEN05/05H·ORD12/05A·PAS19/05A·RAN15/09H·INT22/09A·PEN29/09H·ATL05/10A·LA 19/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.730.361.710.691.75
vs Stronger (17)0.472.060.381.880.562.22
vs Similar (10)0.701.400.401.801.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pas de la Casa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L20W21W02L22D10W10W00DH·ATL21/04A·UE 28/04H·FC 04/05A·ATL12/05H·ESP19/05H·ORD14/09A·ATL22/09H·UE 28/09A·LA 06/10H·RAN20/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.531.180.690.69
vs Stronger (30)0.600.970.531.180.690.69
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pas de la Casa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.5%-------✓ Hit
Away win70.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
CE (3)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra's squad is €1m more valuable than Pas de la Casa's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
PDL (1)
€0m
CE (2)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Pas de la Casa have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
CE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Pas de la Casa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
CE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Pas de la Casa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
ED wins
3
Draws
3
PDL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs Pas de la Casa · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24APas de la Casa Vs ED2-2
18/02/24HED Vs Pas de la Casa0-0
07/10/23APas de la Casa Vs ED3-2
22/04/23APas de la Casa Vs ED2-0
10/12/22HED Vs Pas de la Casa0-5
25/09/22APas de la Casa Vs ED0-0

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24ALa Massana Vs ED1-1
05/10/24HED Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-5
29/09/24APenya Encarnada Vs ED4-1
22/09/24HED Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-3
15/09/24ARanger's Vs ED4-0
19/05/24APas de la Casa Vs ED2-2
12/05/24HED Vs Ordino2-4
05/05/24APenya Encarnada Vs ED3-2
27/04/24HED Vs Carroi2-0
21/04/24AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED4-0

Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HPDL Vs Ranger's0-0
06/10/24ALa Massana Vs PDL0-4
28/09/24HPDL Vs UE Santa Coloma2-2
22/09/24AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PDL3-2
14/09/24HPDL Vs Ordino1-2
19/05/24HPDL Vs Esperança d'Andorra2-2
12/05/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs PDL0-3
04/05/24HPDL Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
28/04/24AUE Santa Coloma Vs PDL2-1
21/04/24HPDL Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.04
HomeLWLLL1.13
AwayLDLLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%26%
AVG goals3.803.434.11
Over 1.5 %92%91%93%
Over 2.5 %70%65%74%
Over 3.5 %56%43%67%
Scored1.461.131.74
Conceded2.342.302.37
BTTS36%26%44%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Pas de la Casa
Pas de la Casa
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.38
HomeLDLDD1.19
AwayDLWLW1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%30%43%
AVG goals3.623.673.57
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %64%67%61%
Over 3.5 %44%48%39%
Scored2.342.112.61
Conceded1.281.560.96
BTTS48%52%43%
Clean Sheet32%22%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2762
67%
2.3
8419+65
3.8
81%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2123.10.7
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2756
59%
2.1
7022+48
3.4
74%
67%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.60.8
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2752
59%
1.9
4228+14
2.6
67%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.61.0
-
4UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2749
52%
1.8
5624+32
3.0
78%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.9
-
5RangerRanger's2748
48%
1.8
5920+39
2.9
70%
48%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.20.7
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2734
33%
1.3
3243-11
2.8
63%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.6
-
7OrdinoOrdino2733
33%
1.2
3248-16
3.0
85%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2729
30%
1.1
3536-1
2.6
70%
56%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2810
7%
0.4
1692-76
3.9
89%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.63.3
-
10La MassanaLa Massana275
4%
0.2
10102-92
4.1
93%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.43.8
-
11City EscaldesCity Escaldes10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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