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Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-1
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
29%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-707L02L02L12L01L00D11D12L41W20WA·UE 14/12A·INT21/12H·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02H·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.672.130.601.930.732.33
vs Stronger (18)0.442.780.332.670.562.89
vs Similar (10)1.001.301.200.800.801.80
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L04L00D04L10W21W01L00D12L01LA·ATL14/12A·INT17/12A·CAR18/01A·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.701.271.531.001.87
vs Stronger (14)0.572.000.672.170.501.88
vs Similar (14)1.641.641.751.251.502.17
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1 ✓
9.8%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
09.0%9.8%7.9%3.8%1.4%
17.5%14%8.9%4.3%1.5%
24.9%7.1%5.1%2.4%0.9%
31.9%2.7%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.8%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.35 points worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.02 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 0.14 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D02L11D00D00D01L01L10W00DA·UE 14/12A·INT21/12H·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02H·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.930.330.870.131.00
vs Stronger (18)0.111.280.221.220.001.33
vs Similar (10)0.400.500.600.400.200.60
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D00D00D01L00D00D00DA·ATL14/12A·INT17/12A·CAR18/01A·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.400.470.400.60
vs Stronger (14)0.210.710.170.670.250.75
vs Similar (14)0.570.430.500.380.670.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L00D01L01L00D10W11D31W20WA·UE 14/12A·INT21/12H·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02H·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.200.271.070.601.33
vs Stronger (18)0.331.500.111.440.561.56
vs Similar (10)0.600.800.600.400.601.20
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L00D04L10W21W00D00D12L01LA·ATL14/12A·INT17/12A·CAR18/01A·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.871.070.601.27
vs Stronger (14)0.361.290.501.500.251.12
vs Similar (14)1.071.211.250.880.831.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
SE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra's squad is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Penya Encarnada have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra and Penya Encarnada have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra's defence is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
ED wins
0
Draws
8
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs ED1-0
09/11/25HED Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
27/04/25APenya Encarnada Vs ED4-1
16/02/25HED Vs Penya Encarnada1-2
29/09/24APenya Encarnada Vs ED4-1
05/05/24APenya Encarnada Vs ED3-2
03/12/23HED Vs Penya Encarnada0-3
17/09/23APenya Encarnada Vs ED1-0

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED0-2
08/03/26HED Vs Carroi4-1
28/02/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ED2-1
22/02/26HED Vs Ranger's1-1
15/02/26HED Vs Carroi0-0
01/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs ED1-0
25/01/26HED Vs Ordino1-2
18/01/26HED Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
21/12/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED2-0
14/12/25AUE Santa Coloma Vs ED7-0

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
01/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs Carroi0-0
14/02/26HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-1
07/02/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma2-1
01/02/26HPE Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-0
24/01/26ARanger's Vs PE4-0
18/01/26ACarroi Vs PE0-0
17/12/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE4-0
14/12/25AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW0.42
HomeLLDDW0.40
AwayLLLLW0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%8%8%
AVG goals3.363.203.52
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored0.660.560.76
Conceded2.702.642.76
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.22
HomeWWLDL1.36
AwayLLDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.842.643.04
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.161.161.16
Conceded1.681.481.88
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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