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Esperança d'Andorra vs UE Santa Coloma Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2026
Time: 09:00
Final 0-3
Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Vs
9%
19%
72%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UE Santa Coloma
UE Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Esperança d'Andorra a 9% win probability against UE Santa Coloma in the Andorra: 1a Divisió on 2026-05-10, with 19% for the draw and 72% for UE Santa Coloma. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 0-2 the most likely scoreline (14.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (78%), Away win (72%).

Results analysis

Esperança d'Andorra finished 0-3 against UE Santa Coloma (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 9% home win, 19% draw and 72% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (78%), Away win (72%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esperança d'Andorra win✗ Miss
8.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma win✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L01L00D11D12L41W20W01L04LH·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02H·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03H·PEN13/04A·FC 19/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.632.130.531.930.732.33
vs Stronger (24)0.542.460.502.170.582.75
vs Similar (6)1.000.830.671.001.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W12L21W21W00D00D11D20W00DA·FC 25/01H·ORD01/02A·PEN07/02H·ORD22/02A·RAN01/03H·ATL08/03A·CAR22/03H·INT12/04A·PEN18/04H·FC 25/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.632.000.501.940.75
vs Stronger (3)2.001.332.501.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)1.080.751.000.501.171.00
vs Weaker (15)2.670.402.830.332.560.44
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%015%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.4%
No
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-3 ✓
10.1%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
5.5%
Esperança d'Andorra goals ↓
UE Santa Coloma goals →
01234
06.7%12%14%10%5.5%
13.0%9.2%9.1%6.6%3.6%
21.3%2.8%3.0%2.2%1.2%
30.3%0.6%0.7%0.5%0.3%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Esperança d'Andorra goals (down), columns = UE Santa Coloma goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 1.51 points worse than UE Santa Coloma in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 2.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Esperança d'Andorra is 1.15 goals worse than UE Santa Coloma in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 1.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Esperança d'Andorra is 1.33 goals worse than UE Santa Coloma in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 0.52).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D00D01L01L10W00D01L00DH·FC 18/01H·ORD25/01A·PEN01/02H·CAR15/02H·RAN22/02A·ATL28/02H·CAR08/03A·INT22/03H·PEN13/04A·FC 19/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.900.270.930.130.87
vs Stronger (24)0.081.040.171.080.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.670.330.670.330.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D10W01L00D00D11D10W00DA·FC 25/01H·ORD01/02A·PEN07/02H·ORD22/02A·RAN01/03H·ATL08/03A·CAR22/03H·INT12/04A·PEN18/04H·FC 25/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.231.070.140.940.31
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.000.500.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.250.670.170.330.33
vs Weaker (15)1.470.071.500.001.440.11
Clean sheet %80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Esperança d'Andorra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esperança d'Andorra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Away win71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (42)
€7m
USC (42)
€5m
PE (27)
€3m
ORD (45)
€3m
CAR (29)
€3m
ED (26)
€3m
SE (29)
€0m
PDL (36)
€0m
Esperança d'Andorra's squad is €2m less valuable than UE Santa Coloma's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
ED wins
0
Draws
8
USC wins

Head-to-head

Esperança d'Andorra vs UE Santa Coloma · H/A from ED
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/25AUE Santa Coloma Vs ED7-0
26/11/25HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-4
18/05/25HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-4
15/12/24AUE Santa Coloma Vs ED4-0
24/11/24HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-5
10/03/24AUE Santa Coloma Vs ED2-0
04/02/24AUE Santa Coloma Vs ED6-0
24/09/23HED Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2

Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs ED4-0
13/04/26HED Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
22/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ED0-2
08/03/26HED Vs Carroi4-1
28/02/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ED2-1
22/02/26HED Vs Ranger's1-1
15/02/26HED Vs Carroi0-0
01/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs ED1-0
25/01/26HED Vs Ordino1-2
18/01/26HED Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HUSC Vs FC Santa Coloma0-0
18/04/26APenya Encarnada Vs USC0-2
12/04/26HUSC Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes1-1
22/03/26ACarroi Vs USC0-0
08/03/26HUSC Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-0
01/03/26ARanger's Vs USC1-2
22/02/26HUSC Vs Ordino2-1
07/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs USC2-1
01/02/26HUSC Vs Ordino1-0
25/01/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs USC1-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Esperança d
Esperança d'Andorra
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL0.40
HomeLDDWL0.40
AwayLLLWL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%8%8%
AVG goals3.263.003.52
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %42%36%48%
Scored0.580.480.68
Conceded2.682.522.84
BTTS38%28%48%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---
UE Santa Coloma
UE Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD2.00
HomeWWDDD2.08
AwayWLWDW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%58%58%
AVG goals2.742.502.96
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %56%46%65%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored2.021.962.08
Conceded0.720.540.88
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet50%54%46%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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