This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.93
2.81
0.75
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
2.83
0.83
3.25
0.50
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
1.92
0.96
2.67
0.83
1.17
1.08
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.21
Marseille
1.92
Rennes
1.79
Lille
1.76
Monaco
1.71
Lyon
1.63
Clermont Foot
1.55
Nice
1.53
Lorient
1.45
Reims
1.34
Montpellier
1.32
Toulouse
1.26
Stade Brestois 29
1.16
Strasbourg
1.05
Nantes
0.95
Auxerre
0.92
Ajaccio
0.68
Estac Troyes
0.63
Angers
0.47
Estac Troyes is 0.63 points worse than Toulouse in terms of average points per game (0.63 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.34
Monaco
1.84
Rennes
1.82
Lens
1.79
Marseille
1.76
Lille
1.71
Montpellier
1.71
Lyon
1.71
Lorient
1.37
Strasbourg
1.34
Toulouse
1.34
Nice
1.26
Estac Troyes
1.18
Clermont Foot
1.18
Reims
1.18
Stade Brestois 29
1.16
Nantes
0.97
Auxerre
0.92
Angers
0.87
Ajaccio
0.61
Estac Troyes is 0.16 goals worse than Toulouse in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lens
0.76
Nice
0.97
Rennes
1.03
Paris Saint Germain
1.05
Marseille
1.05
Lille
1.16
Reims
1.18
Lyon
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.29
Lorient
1.39
Stade Brestois 29
1.42
Nantes
1.45
Toulouse
1.50
Monaco
1.53
Strasbourg
1.55
Montpellier
1.63
Auxerre
1.66
Ajaccio
1.95
Estac Troyes
2.13
Angers
2.13
Estac Troyes is 0.63 goals worse than Toulouse in terms of goals conceded per game (2.13 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Estac Troyes
For 3.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Toulouse
For 6.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Estac Troyes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.7
8.8
4.4
4.6
4.3
25.8
24.8
26.8
vs Stronger (18)
10.5
10.6
10.4
3.9
3.9
3.9
23.9
22.9
24.9
vs Similar (26)
8.4
9.2
7.6
4.5
5.0
4.1
25.8
25.6
26.1
vs Weaker (6)
8.8
9.0
8.8
5.5
5.0
5.8
31.7
28.5
33.2
% over line
49%
46%
52%
60%
50%
69%
82%
79%
84%
% under line
51%
54%
48%
40%
50%
31%
18%
21%
16%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.4
3.8
3.6
4.0
27.5
26.8
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
9.8
8.3
10.6
3.4
1.5
5.0
24.9
18.7
28.6
vs Weaker (41)
10.0
10.9
9.1
3.8
4.0
3.7
28.0
27.9
28.1
% over line
49%
58%
40%
48%
48%
48%
82%
88%
76%
% under line
51%
42%
60%
52%
52%
52%
18%
12%
24%
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nantes
10.3
Lens
10.2
Montpellier
10.1
Toulouse
10.0
Rennes
9.9
Lille
9.9
Marseille
9.8
Reims
9.8
Strasbourg
9.8
Nice
9.7
Stade Brestois 29
9.7
Monaco
9.5
Paris Saint Germain
9.4
Lyon
9.4
Estac Troyes
9.3
Lorient
9.1
Angers
9.0
Auxerre
9.0
Clermont Foot
9.0
Ajaccio
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lille
5.0
Lens
4.7
Estac Troyes
4.5
Montpellier
4.4
Monaco
4.3
Paris Saint Germain
4.3
Ajaccio
4.1
Stade Brestois 29
4.1
Marseille
4.1
Angers
4.0
Reims
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Nantes
4.0
Strasbourg
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Rennes
3.9
Toulouse
3.8
Nice
3.6
Lyon
3.5
Auxerre
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ajaccio
28.2
Toulouse
27.4
Estac Troyes
25.9
Angers
25.1
Monaco
24.8
Nantes
24.4
Montpellier
24.4
Lorient
24.3
Strasbourg
24.0
Lyon
23.8
Reims
23.7
Lille
23.7
Stade Brestois 29
23.5
Clermont Foot
23.5
Auxerre
22.7
Nice
22.7
Rennes
22.4
Marseille
22.4
Lens
22.0
Paris Saint Germain
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.1%
Under 9.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.5%
Under 21.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Estac Troyes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.60
0.47
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.93
0.71
0.71
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.57
0.43
0.14
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.19
0.50
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.25
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.71
0.54
1.08
0.58
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estac Troyes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Estac Troyes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.79
0.57
0.43
0.14
1.14
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.57
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.40
1.62
0.25
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.50
0.33
1.75
0.25
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (24)
1.21
0.42
1.58
0.25
0.83
0.58
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estac Troyes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Estac Troyes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mama Baldé29%
Rony Lopes22%
Florian Tardieu20%
Renaud Ripart15%
Wilson Odobert12%
Xavier Chavalerin12%
Jackson Porozo9%
Ike Ugbo8%
Abdu Conté5%
Yasser Larouci3%
Yoann Salmier3%
Rominigue Kouamé3%
Adil Rami0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Gauthier Gallon0%
Lucien Agoumé0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Tristan Dingomé0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Thierno Baldé0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Alexis Tibidi0%
Kyliane Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucien Agoumé40%
Rominigue Kouamé28%
Yoann Salmier16%
Renaud Ripart15%
Mama Baldé15%
Jackson Porozo14%
Florian Tardieu13%
Erik Palmer-Brown13%
Mateusz Lis11%
Adil Rami10%
Gauthier Gallon10%
Xavier Chavalerin9%
Andreas Bruus7%
Papa Ndiaga Yade7%
Rony Lopes6%
Yasser Larouci3%
Thierno Baldé3%
Abdu Conté0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Tristan Dingomé0%
Ike Ugbo0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Alexis Tibidi0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde17%
Rony Lopes16%
Papa Ndiaga Yade14%
Abdu Conté11%
Mama Baldé9%
Andreas Bruus7%
Lucien Agoumé7%
Wilson Odobert6%
Xavier Chavalerin6%
Adil Rami5%
Ike Ugbo4%
Renaud Ripart4%
Yasser Larouci3%
Thierno Baldé3%
Rominigue Kouamé3%
Jackson Porozo0%
Florian Tardieu0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Gauthier Gallon0%
Tristan Dingomé0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Alexis Tibidi0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mama Baldé29%
Rony Lopes16%
Renaud Ripart15%
Jackson Porozo9%
Rominigue Kouamé3%
Wilson Odobert3%
Xavier Chavalerin3%
Abdu Conté0%
Adil Rami0%
Florian Tardieu0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Gauthier Gallon0%
Lucien Agoumé0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Tristan Dingomé0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Ike Ugbo0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Thierno Baldé0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Alexis Tibidi0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rhys Healey50%
Thijs Dallinga31%
Zakaria Aboukhlal27%
Rafael Ratão17%
Branco Van den Boomen14%
Farès Chaïbi14%
Brecht Dejaegere13%
Ado Onaiwu6%
Stijn Spierings6%
Anthony Rouault5%
Mikkel Desler4%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Rasmus Nicolaisen0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Logan Costa0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Denis Genreau0%
Veljko Birmančević0%
Vincent Sierro0%
Moussa Diarra0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Waren Kamanzi0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Said Hamulic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rhys Healey25%
Vincent Sierro20%
Rasmus Nicolaisen18%
Issiaga Sylla18%
Branco Van den Boomen17%
Brecht Dejaegere17%
Stijn Spierings17%
Said Hamulic17%
Mikkel Desler15%
Thijs Dallinga11%
Zakaria Aboukhlal11%
Denis Genreau10%
Waren Kamanzi9%
Kévin Keben Biakolo9%
Anthony Rouault8%
Rafael Ratão7%
Gabriel Suazo6%
Farès Chaïbi6%
Maxime Dupé5%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Logan Costa0%
Ado Onaiwu0%
Veljko Birmančević0%
Moussa Diarra0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Branco Van den Boomen17%
Zakaria Aboukhlal14%
Rafael Ratão13%
Farès Chaïbi11%
Mikkel Desler7%
Rasmus Nicolaisen6%
Gabriel Suazo6%
Denis Genreau5%
Moussa Diarra4%
Brecht Dejaegere3%
Ado Onaiwu3%
Thijs Dallinga3%
Anthony Rouault3%
Rhys Healey0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Logan Costa0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Veljko Birmančević0%
Vincent Sierro0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Waren Kamanzi0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Said Hamulic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Farès Chaïbi28%
Zakaria Aboukhlal22%
Branco Van den Boomen20%
Thijs Dallinga19%
Anthony Rouault5%
Brecht Dejaegere3%
Rafael Ratão3%
Stijn Spierings3%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Rasmus Nicolaisen0%
Rhys Healey0%
Yanis Begraoui0%
Maxime Dupé0%
Logan Costa0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Ado Onaiwu0%
Denis Genreau0%
Mikkel Desler0%
Veljko Birmančević0%
Vincent Sierro0%
Moussa Diarra0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Waren Kamanzi0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Said Hamulic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
ET (23)
€36m
MON (24)
€29m
CF (21)
€15m
Estac Troyes's squad is €79m less valuable than Toulouse's (€36m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MON (9)
€11m
ET (7)
€7m
CF (5)
€2m
Estac Troyes's attack is €22m less valuable than Toulouse's (€7m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
SB2 (6)
€20m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
CF (4)
€3m
Estac Troyes's midfield is €28m less valuable than Toulouse's (€11m vs €39m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
Estac Troyes's defence is €29m less valuable than Toulouse's (€17m vs €46m).
France: Ligue 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Marseille
Rennes
Lille
Monaco
Lyon
Clermont Foot
Nice
Lorient
Reims
Montpellier
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Nantes
Auxerre
Ajaccio
Angers