Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II Result & Analysis

The contest between Etar Veliko Tarnovo and CSKA Sofia II is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 32% for a home victory, 28% for a draw and 40% for an away win, making CSKA Sofia II the most likely outcome. The expected total of goals is 2.7, with the most probable total being two goals at 25%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% chance. Etar, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded, while CSKA Sofia II, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 3.0 scored and none conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 77.1% probability, which it hit, and Under 3.5 with a 70.5% probability, which it missed. The match remains finely balanced, and the predicted result is an away win.

The upset came as Etar Veliko Tarnovo, fresh from a draw, edged CSKA Sofia II 3-2, overturning the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped an away win with a 40% probability, but the result was a home victory, so the call was wrong. The match saw the model’s Over 1.5 selection hit with a 77.1% chance, while its Under 3.5 miss came with 70.5%. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.3%, yet the game produced a higher tally, with Etar’s 3-2 win extending their recent form streak. The final score of 3-2 confirms the home side’s resilience, despite the model’s prediction.