This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.97
1.88
1.19
1.79
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.40
2.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.90
1.05
1.82
1.27
2.00
0.78
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
0.20
2.00
0.50
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1 â
10.5%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
Ethnikos Achna goals ↓
Anorthosis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
10%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
1
7.8%
14%
8.9%
4.1%
1.4%
2
4.9%
6.8%
4.8%
2.2%
0.8%
3
1.8%
2.5%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ethnikos Achna goals (down), columns = Anorthosis goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Larnaca
2.03
Apoel Nicosia
2.03
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.72
Apollon Limassol
1.65
Anorthosis
1.47
AEL
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.27
Ethnikos Achna
1.25
Karmiotissa
1.00
Doxa
0.88
Othellos
0.82
AE Zakakiou
0.45
Ethnikos Achna is 0.22 points worse than Anorthosis in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.47).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Apoel Nicosia
1.75
Aris
1.75
Ethnikos Achna
1.75
Omonia Nicosia
1.72
Pafos
1.67
Apollon Limassol
1.60
AEK Larnaca
1.58
AEL
1.52
Karmiotissa
1.45
Nea Salamis
1.30
Anorthosis
1.28
Othellos
1.20
AE Zakakiou
1.00
Doxa
0.85
Ethnikos Achna is 0.47 goals better than Anorthosis in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.28).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.86
Pafos
0.92
Aris
0.94
Apollon Limassol
0.95
Omonia Nicosia
1.03
Anorthosis
1.17
Nea Salamis
1.52
AEL
1.70
Doxa
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.93
Othellos
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.98
AE Zakakiou
2.50
Ethnikos Achna is 0.81 goals worse than Anorthosis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.98 vs 1.17).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
56%
Aris
56%
Apollon Limassol
55%
Anorthosis
54%
Karmiotissa
53%
AEK Larnaca
52%
Nea Salamis
52%
Apoel Nicosia
51%
AEL
49%
AE Zakakiou
48%
Othellos
44%
Omonia Nicosia
44%
Ethnikos Achna
42%
Doxa
40%
Ethnikos Achna is 12.6 percentage points worse than Anorthosis in terms of average possession (42% vs 54%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Ethnikos Achna
For 3.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anorthosis
For 6.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ethnikos Achna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
7.9
6.3
9.3
1.7
1.9
1.6
25.9
29.0
23.3
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
6.0
11.0
4.6
3.0
5.0
22.6
23.0
22.5
vs Similar (32)
7.0
7.0
7.0
1.3
1.6
0.9
26.6
28.2
24.3
vs Weaker (5)
4.0
4.0
-
1.8
3.0
0.0
38.0
38.0
-
% over line
23%
0%
43%
24%
24%
24%
69%
100%
43%
% under line
77%
100%
57%
76%
76%
76%
31%
0%
57%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.2
4.7
3.6
28.0
28.7
27.1
vs Stronger (9)
9.0
8.8
9.3
4.6
6.2
2.5
30.3
32.8
24.0
vs Similar (32)
10.0
10.4
9.5
4.2
4.5
3.9
26.6
27.3
25.8
vs Weaker (9)
8.9
8.3
9.2
3.6
3.8
3.4
31.4
29.3
33.0
% over line
48%
52%
43%
52%
62%
42%
88%
87%
90%
% under line
52%
48%
57%
48%
38%
58%
12%
13%
10%
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Othellos
10.8
Anorthosis
9.6
Karmiotissa
9.6
Nea Salamis
9.5
Aris
9.4
AEL
9.3
Omonia Nicosia
9.1
Apollon Limassol
9.1
AEK Larnaca
9.0
Pafos
8.9
AE Zakakiou
8.9
Doxa
8.7
Apoel Nicosia
8.6
Ethnikos Achna
7.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AE Zakakiou
5.6
Ethnikos Achna
5.6
Apoel Nicosia
5.5
Pafos
5.2
Aris
5.2
Nea Salamis
5.2
Othellos
5.0
Apollon Limassol
5.0
Doxa
4.9
AEK Larnaca
4.9
Anorthosis
4.8
AEL
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.7
AE Zakakiou
28.4
Doxa
28.1
Anorthosis
28.0
AEL
27.5
AEK Larnaca
27.0
Nea Salamis
26.6
Karmiotissa
26.6
Othellos
26.4
Aris
26.3
Ethnikos Achna
25.9
Apollon Limassol
25.8
Pafos
25.7
Omonia Nicosia
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.0%
Under 9.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.7%
Under 3.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.6%
Under 21.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ethnikos Achna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.79
0.21
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.40
1.00
2.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.26
0.75
0.08
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.14
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.10
0.64
0.18
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
0.00
0.50
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ethnikos Achna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
1.07
0.64
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.60
0.00
2.00
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.65
1.17
0.58
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.25
0.81
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.95
1.18
1.09
1.00
0.78
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Ethnikos Achna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enzo Cabrera75%
Kire Ristevski33%
Marios Stylianou0%
Manuel De Iriondo0%
Diego Becker0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Dimitris Christofi0%
Marios Ilia0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Patryk Lipski0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Dejan DraÅūiÄ0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Petros Ioannou33%
Constantinos Panagi33%
Kire Ristevski33%
Dejan DraÅūiÄ33%
Enzo Cabrera25%
Marios Stylianou0%
Manuel De Iriondo0%
Diego Becker0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Dimitris Christofi0%
Marios Ilia0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Patryk Lipski0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patryk Lipski25%
Marios Stylianou0%
Manuel De Iriondo0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Diego Becker0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Dimitris Christofi0%
Marios Ilia0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Kire Ristevski0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Dejan DraÅūiÄ0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marios Ilia50%
Dejan DraÅūiÄ33%
Enzo Cabrera25%
Marios Stylianou0%
Manuel De Iriondo0%
Diego Becker0%
Lucas Bijker0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Dimitris Christofi0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Kire Ristevski0%
Patryk Lipski0%
Nikos Ioannidis0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Anorthosis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Castel MartÃnez67%
Chico Banza25%
Sekou Gassama25%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
IvÃĄn Arboleda0%
Majeed Waris0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
IvÃĄn Arboleda50%
Chico Banza50%
Minas Antoniou50%
Nabil Marmouk40%
Majeed Waris33%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou33%
Christian Makoun25%
Anderson Correia20%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Sekou Gassama0%
Sergio Castel MartÃnez0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Majeed Waris33%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
IvÃĄn Arboleda0%
Chico Banza0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Sekou Gassama0%
Sergio Castel MartÃnez0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chico Banza50%
Sekou Gassama25%
Danil Paroutis25%
HÃĐlder Ferreira20%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
IvÃĄn Arboleda0%
Majeed Waris0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Sergio Castel MartÃnez0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Ethnikos Achna's squad is €6m less valuable than Anorthosis's (€0m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Ethnikos Achna's attack is €2m less valuable than Anorthosis's (€0m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Ethnikos Achna's midfield is €1m less valuable than Anorthosis's (€0m vs €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Ethnikos Achna's defence is €3m less valuable than Anorthosis's (€0m vs €3m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Nea Salamis
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Othellos
AE Zakakiou