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Ethnikos Latsion vs APEA Result & Analysis

Date: 28/02/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Ethnikos Latsion
Ethnikos Latsion
Vs
25%
30%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
APEA
APEA
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ethnikos Latsion win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
APEA win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L03L02L32W03L12L11D11D02LA·AYI13/12H·NEA19/12A·APE03/01H·DOX11/01A·HAL17/01H·SPA24/01A·IRA01/02A·AHI07/02H·AE 14/02A·DIG21/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.811.860.561.891.001.83
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.003.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.791.640.711.710.861.57
vs Weaker (5)1.202.200.002.001.502.25
Clean sheet %14% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

APEAAPEA

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W30W02L23L11D31W01L02L01LH·SPA13/12A·KAR20/12H·ETH03/01A·NEA10/01H·AE 17/01A·DIG25/01H·AHI31/01H·HAL07/02A·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.191.521.331.671.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.381.331.561.001.14
vs Weaker (5)1.202.001.332.001.002.00
Clean sheet %19% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Latsion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.7%
Under 2.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1 ✓
12.2%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
Ethnikos Latsion goals ↓
APEA goals →
01234
011%12%9.2%4.2%1.4%
18.1%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
24.4%6.1%4.1%1.9%0.6%
31.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ethnikos Latsion goals (down), columns = APEA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Ethnikos Latsion is 0.31 points worse than APEA in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Ethnikos Latsion is 0.34 goals worse than APEA in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Ethnikos Latsion is 0.28 goals worse than APEA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L02L22D02L01L10W01L01LA·AYI13/12H·NEA19/12A·APE03/01H·DOX11/01A·HAL17/01H·SPA24/01A·IRA01/02A·AHI07/02H·AE 14/02A·DIG21/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.140.221.330.581.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.291.070.291.140.291.00
vs Weaker (5)1.001.200.002.001.251.00
Clean sheet %24% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

APEAAPEA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W10W01L11D01L01L01L01L00DH·SPA13/12A·KAR20/12H·ETH03/01A·NEA10/01H·AE 17/01A·DIG25/01H·AHI31/01H·HAL07/02A·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.810.500.750.330.89
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.440.750.440.780.430.71
vs Weaker (5)0.401.000.670.670.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Latsion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L02L00D10W01L11D01L10W01LA·AYI13/12H·NEA19/12A·APE03/01H·DOX11/01A·HAL17/01H·SPA24/01A·IRA01/02A·AHI07/02H·AE 14/02A·DIG21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.710.330.560.420.83
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.570.430.570.570.57
vs Weaker (5)0.201.000.000.000.251.25
Clean sheet %52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

APEAAPEA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D20W01L12L10W30W00D01L01LH·SPA13/12A·KAR20/12H·ETH03/01A·NEA10/01H·AE 17/01A·DIG25/01H·AHI31/01H·HAL07/02A·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.710.830.920.670.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.620.890.780.570.43
vs Weaker (5)0.801.000.671.331.000.50
Clean sheet %48% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Latsion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
EL wins
0
Draws
1
APE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ethnikos Latsion vs APEA · H/A from EL
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/26AAPEA Vs EL3-0

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26ADigenis Morphou Vs EL2-0
14/02/26HEL Vs AE Zakakiou1-1
07/02/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs EL1-1
01/02/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs EL2-1
24/01/26HEL Vs Spartakos Kitiou0-3
17/01/26AHalkanoras Vs EL2-3
11/01/26HEL Vs Doxa0-2
03/01/26AAPEA Vs EL3-0
19/12/25HEL Vs Nea Salamis0-2
13/12/25AAyia Napa Vs EL2-0

APEAAPEA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HAPE Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou0-1
14/02/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs APE2-0
07/02/26HAPE Vs Halkanoras0-1
31/01/26HAPE Vs Ahironas / Onisilos3-1
25/01/26ADigenis Morphou Vs APE1-1
17/01/26HAPE Vs AE Zakakiou2-3
10/01/26ANea Salamis Vs APE2-0
03/01/26HAPE Vs Ethnikos Latsion3-0
20/12/25AKarmiotissa Vs APE1-2
13/12/25HAPE Vs Spartakos Kitiou0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ethnikos Latsion
Ethnikos Latsion
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL0.81
HomeDLLLD0.67
AwayLWLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%11%25%
AVG goals2.672.442.83
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %38%33%42%
Over 3.5 %19%11%25%
Scored0.810.561.00
Conceded1.861.891.83
BTTS48%44%50%
Clean Sheet14%11%17%
Corners---
Cards---
APEA
APEA
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.05
HomeWLWLL0.92
AwayLWLDL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%25%33%
AVG goals2.713.002.33
Over 1.5 %76%75%78%
Over 2.5 %57%75%33%
Over 3.5 %24%33%11%
Scored1.191.331.00
Conceded1.521.671.33
BTTS48%42%56%
Clean Sheet19%25%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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