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Ethnikos Latsion vs Digenis Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Ethnikos Latsion
Ethnikos Latsion
Vs
24%
27%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Ethnikos Latsion a 24% win probability against Digenis Morphou in the Cyprus: 2. Division on 2026-04-21, with 27% for the draw and 50% for Digenis Morphou. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (78%).

Results analysis

Ethnikos Latsion finished 2-1 against Digenis Morphou (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 24% home win, 27% draw and 50% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (78%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ethnikos Latsion win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou win✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D11D02L01L31W20W00D31W01LA·IRA01/02A·AHI07/02H·AE 14/02A·DIG21/02H·APE28/02H·HAL07/03A·SPA14/03H·IRA18/03H·AHI21/03A·AE 04/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.590.851.541.001.64
vs Stronger (6)0.171.830.251.500.002.50
vs Similar (16)1.001.311.001.571.001.11
vs Weaker (5)1.602.201.501.501.672.67
Clean sheet %19% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D15L12L20W32W40W01L00D03L10WA·HAL31/01H·SPA07/02A·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.371.621.561.711.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.671.890.672.670.671.50
vs Weaker (21)2.101.141.851.312.500.88
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Latsion) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.4%
2-1 ✓
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
Ethnikos Latsion goals ↓
Digenis Morphou goals →
01234
07.4%9.4%8.8%4.9%2.1%
15.7%13%9.6%5.4%2.2%
23.8%6.3%5.3%2.9%1.2%
31.4%2.3%1.9%1.1%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ethnikos Latsion goals (down), columns = Digenis Morphou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Ethnikos Latsion is 0.31 points worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Ethnikos Latsion is 0.59 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Ethnikos Latsion is 0.28 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L01L01L10W10W00D10W00DA·IRA01/02A·AHI07/02H·AE 14/02A·DIG21/02H·APE28/02H·HAL07/03A·SPA14/03H·IRA18/03H·AHI21/03A·AE 04/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.930.311.000.570.86
vs Stronger (6)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.440.880.431.000.440.78
vs Weaker (5)1.001.000.501.001.331.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W04L11D10W01L20W00D00D02L00DA·HAL31/01H·SPA07/02A·IRA14/02H·ETH21/02A·AE 28/02A·AHI07/03A·APE14/03H·HAL18/03A·SPA21/03H·IRA04/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.500.880.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.331.670.330.67
vs Weaker (21)0.670.520.540.690.880.25
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Latsion) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Latsion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (26)
€4m
O2M (28)
€2m
KAR (27)
€2m
PAE (34)
€0m
DOX (32)
€0m
AN (40)
€0m
HAL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
EL wins
0
Draws
2
DM wins

Head-to-head

Ethnikos Latsion vs Digenis Morphou · H/A from EL
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26ADigenis Morphou Vs EL2-0
19/09/25HEL Vs Digenis Morphou0-3

Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AAE Zakakiou Vs EL1-0
21/03/26HEL Vs Ahironas / Onisilos3-1
18/03/26HEL Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou0-0
14/03/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs EL0-2
07/03/26HEL Vs Halkanoras3-1
28/02/26HEL Vs APEA0-1
21/02/26ADigenis Morphou Vs EL2-0
14/02/26HEL Vs AE Zakakiou1-1
07/02/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs EL1-1
01/02/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs EL2-1

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HDM Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou1-0
21/03/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DM3-0
18/03/26HDM Vs Halkanoras0-0
14/03/26AAPEA Vs DM1-0
07/03/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs DM0-4
28/02/26AAE Zakakiou Vs DM2-3
21/02/26HDM Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-0
14/02/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs DM2-1
07/02/26HDM Vs Spartakos Kitiou1-5
31/01/26AHalkanoras Vs DM2-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Ethnikos Latsion
Ethnikos Latsion
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.00
HomeDLWDW1.00
AwayLDLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%23%29%
AVG goals2.522.382.64
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %37%38%36%
Over 3.5 %22%23%21%
Scored0.930.851.00
Conceded1.591.541.64
BTTS44%46%43%
Clean Sheet19%15%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.60
HomeDLWDW1.72
AwayLWWLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.142.963.32
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.741.681.80
Conceded1.401.281.52
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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