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Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 18:15
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Vs
39%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Étoile Carouge’s recent 0-3 loss to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy signals a fragile start, yet their home form shows an average of 1.07 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against similarly ranked opponents. FC WIL 1900, after a 2-2 draw with FC Aarau, averages 1.46 goals for and 1.62 against on the road. The model therefore favours a home win, assigning a 39% chance to Étoile Carouge, a 27% chance to a draw and a 33% chance to FC WIL 1900. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high scoring match, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 13%. The model’s edge lies in the under-goals selections, where the Under 7.5 carries a 99.1% probability and the Under 6.5 a 97.5% chance, both well above market consensus. Additional picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8% with a 8% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.2% with a 9% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.2% with a 4% edge, and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.7% with an 11% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Étoile Carouge win
39.2%
Avg Implied 53.2% · @ 1.72
Edge
-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
Dafabet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
BetVictor
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Draw
27.4%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.81
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.17
Superbet
3.90
Betfair
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
FC WIL 1900 win
33.4%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.99
Edge
+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.21
1xBet
4.11
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-553W12L03L22D30W11D01L00D21W03LA·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08A·STA01/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.131.331.531.53
vs Stronger (4)2.002.002.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.231.351.071.291.421.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L42W13L54W12L05L02L11D22DA·STA01/05H·YVE08/05A·BEL11/05H·FC 15/05A·RAP24/07H·NEU31/07A·FC 07/08H·SC 22/08A·YVE28/08H·FC 31/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.601.271.731.331.47
vs Stronger (4)0.751.501.002.500.500.50
vs Similar (26)1.381.621.311.621.461.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.15-2.3%
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 4.83+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Pinnacle
4.93
Superbet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.53-6.9%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.35+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Superbet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.4%
@ 2.32-8.7%
Under 3.5
68.6%
@ 1.55+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Both teams to score
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.52-2.3%
No
41.7%
@ 2.34+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
No
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.35

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 7.27+6.9%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.49+2.9%
1-2
8.0%@ 12.31+4.4%
1-0
7.6%@ 9.06+2.7%
0-0
7.1%@ 14.54+4.1%
0-1
6.8%@ 14.49+3.8%
2-0
6.5%@ 9.42+1.8%
2-2
5.9%@ 11.48+2.1%
Étoile Carouge goals ↓
FC WIL 1900 goals →
01234
07.1%6.8%5.4%2.4%0.8%
17.6%13%8.0%3.6%1.2%
26.5%8.7%5.9%2.6%0.9%
33.2%4.3%2.9%1.3%0.4%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Étoile Carouge goals (down), columns = FC WIL 1900 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Étoile Carouge is 0.50 points better than FC WIL 1900 in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Étoile Carouge is 0.50 goals worse than FC WIL 1900 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Étoile Carouge is 1.67 goals better than FC WIL 1900 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Étoile Carouge or Draw
66.6%
Avg Implied 77.4% · @ 1.19
Edge
-10.8%
39%
27%
33%
covers Étoile Carouge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Étoile Carouge or FC WIL 1900
72.6%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.20
Edge
-4.2%
39%
27%
33%
covers Étoile Carouge + FC WIL 1900
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Draw or FC WIL 1900
60.8%
Avg Implied 45.9% · @ 2.00
Edge
+14.9%
39%
27%
33%
covers Draw + FC WIL 1900
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.09
William Hil
2.05
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
@ 1.11-6.5%
Under
22.8%
@ 5.68+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Under
1xBet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5
Over
43.5%
@ 1.60-14.4%
Under
56.5%
@ 2.20+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
@ 2.84-14.1%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.38+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.80
Under
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Étoile Carouge over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
@ 5.65-10.2%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.11+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5
Over
74.0%
@ 1.34+4.9%
Under
26.0%
@ 3.00-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.09
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5
Over
39.0%
@ 2.65+4.0%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.43-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.68
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5
Over
15.4%
@ 6.25+0.6%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.09-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
FC WIL 1900 over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
@ 10.88-3.8%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Étoile Carouge, so a minus line means Étoile Carouge give that many goals of a start and FC WIL 1900 receive them. At -1, Étoile Carouge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Étoile Carouge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Étoile Carouge)
Étoile Carouge -2
7.5%
@ 5.45-9.0%
Draw -2
12.0%
@ 5.07-5.7%
FC WIL 1900 +2
80.5%
@ 1.36+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Étoile Carouge)
Étoile Carouge -1
19.5%
@ 2.79-12.4%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 3.79-3.8%
FC WIL 1900 +1
60.8%
@ 2.00+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Away
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Handicap +1 (Étoile Carouge)
Étoile Carouge +1
66.6%
@ 1.19-8.8%
Draw +1
17.9%
@ 6.12+3.2%
FC WIL 1900 -1
15.5%
@ 9.10+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Away
Marathonbet
9.20
Bet365
9.00
Handicap +2 (Étoile Carouge)
Étoile Carouge +2
84.5%
@ 1.07-3.7%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 13.00+2.7%
FC WIL 1900 -2
5.5%
@ 21.00+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D12L02L01L00D11D01L00D11D01LA·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08A·STA01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.400.670.730.73
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.650.430.640.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D02L32W11D03L01L11D02LA·STA01/05H·YVE08/05A·BEL11/05H·FC 15/05A·RAP24/07H·NEU31/07A·FC 07/08H·SC 22/08A·YVE28/08H·FC 31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.730.870.670.87
vs Stronger (4)0.750.501.000.500.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.690.920.690.920.690.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.2%
@ 1.25-3.7%
Under 0.5
29.8%
@ 3.54+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.24-8.1%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.59+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
William Hil
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 4.98-6.5%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.14+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.40
Betfair
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
William Hil
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.8%
@ 1.61-3.9%
Under
46.2%
@ 2.19+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.07
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.5%
@ 3.97-8.7%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.20+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.2%
@ 8.50-7.7%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.04+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.7%
@ 2.24-4.7%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.58+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.55
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.1%
@ 7.40-3.4%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.05+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D01L21W30W00D00D00D10W02LA·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08H·RAP28/08A·STA01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.730.670.800.80
vs Stronger (4)1.251.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.690.640.640.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D31W11D22D01L02L01L00D20WA·STA01/05H·YVE08/05A·BEL11/05H·FC 15/05A·RAP24/07H·NEU31/07A·FC 07/08H·SC 22/08A·YVE28/08H·FC 31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.530.870.670.60
vs Stronger (4)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.690.620.690.770.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.13-5.4%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 4.98+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Superbet
4.85
Betano
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 1.73-9.9%
Under 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.99+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.2%
@ 3.26-10.1%
Under 2.5
81.8%
@ 1.28+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.2%
@ 1.41-8.4%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.70+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Under
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.5%
@ 2.87-11.5%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.35+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.91
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.8%
@ 6.85-8.7%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.07+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.0%
@ 1.85-3.8%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.84+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.4%
@ 5.28-4.0%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.12+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
@ 9.75-7.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.1%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+7.1%
Under 6.597.5%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
--+6.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.8%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+7.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.2%1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
---+8.7%
Away under 3.5 goals95.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+3.8%
Home under 3.5 goals93.7%1.11
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-+10.2%
Under 5.593.3%1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
+5.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.9%1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
--+3.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals88.0%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
+6.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.6%1.12
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
--+4.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.5%1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
--+8.7%
Away under 2.5 goals84.6%1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-0.6%
Home +2 handicap84.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----3.7%
Under 4.584.4%1.20
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+7.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals81.8%1.28
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+10.1%
Home under 2.5 goals81.4%1.38
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
+14.1%
Away +2 handicap80.5%1.36
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
--+14.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.5%1.35
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
--+11.5%
Over 1.578.5%1.15
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
-2.3%
Home over 0.5 goals77.2%1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
-6.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals76.1%1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-5.4%
Away over 0.5 goals74.0%1.34
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
+4.9%
Home or Away72.6%1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-4.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals70.2%1.25
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-3.7%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Étoile Carouge and FC WIL 1900 have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ÉC wins
3
Draws
2
FW1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 · H/A from ÉC
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/26HÉC Vs FC WIL 19002-0
22/03/26AFC WIL 1900 Vs ÉC1-3
05/12/25HÉC Vs FC WIL 19000-0
08/08/25AFC WIL 1900 Vs ÉC1-0
13/04/25AFC WIL 1900 Vs ÉC2-2
24/01/25HÉC Vs FC WIL 19001-1
30/11/24AFC WIL 1900 Vs ÉC2-1
30/08/24HÉC Vs FC WIL 19003-1

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs ÉC3-0
28/08/26HÉC Vs Rapperswil2-1
21/08/26AStade Nyonnais Vs ÉC0-0
07/08/26HÉC Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC0-1
31/07/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC1-1
24/07/26HÉC Vs FC Aarau3-0
15/05/26HÉC Vs Bellinzona2-2
11/05/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs ÉC3-0
08/05/26HÉC Vs FC Vaduz1-2
03/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC3-5

FC WIL 1900FC WIL 1900

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HFW1 Vs FC Aarau2-2
28/08/26AYverdon Sport Vs FW11-1
22/08/26HFW1 Vs SC Kriens0-2
07/08/26AFC Winterthur Vs FW15-0
31/07/26HFW1 Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC1-2
24/07/26ARapperswil Vs FW14-5
15/05/26HFW1 Vs FC Vaduz1-3
11/05/26ABellinzona Vs FW12-4
08/05/26HFW1 Vs Yverdon Sport0-1
01/05/26AStade Nyonnais Vs FW10-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.10
HomeLDWLW1.12
AwayWLDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.742.722.76
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.301.321.28
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.18
HomeLLLLD1.04
AwayWWWLD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%24%36%
AVG goals3.062.923.20
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored1.281.241.32
Conceded1.781.681.88
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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