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Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:15
Final 2-1
Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Vs
39%
27%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Étoile Carouge face Rapperswil in a match where the model favours a home win, with a 38 % chance of victory, a 27 % chance of a draw, and a 35 % chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.9, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 24 % probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.8 % chance. In recent form, Étoile Carouge come off a 0-0 draw against Stade Nyonnais, while Rapperswil return after a 0-2 loss to FC Winterthur. Home side scoring averages 1.13 goals and concedes 1.27 against similar opposition; the away side averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %, edge 7 %), Under 6.5 (97.2 %, edge 7 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6 %, edge 7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 %, edge 8 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9 %, edge 7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.5 %, edge 5 %), and Home under 3.5 goals (93.7 %, edge 7 %).

Results analysis

The win extends Étoile Carouge’s recent run, ending a mixed sequence with a 2-1 triumph over Rapperswil. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, reflecting the 39% probability it had assigned. The match also fulfilled the most likely 2-goal total, with the scoreline matching the 24% favourite of 2 goals. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 at 99%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Under 6.5 at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.7%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.4%. The model’s selections proved accurate across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Étoile Carouge win✓ Hit
38.9%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.88
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
SBO
1.94
Unibet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.71
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.96
BetVictor
3.90
Bet365
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Dafabet
3.75
Rapperswil win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.41
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.68
Bet365
3.60
1xBet
3.52
BetVictor
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W12L53W12L03L22D30W11D01L00DH·FC 17/04A·RAP24/04A·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.401.131.271.601.53
vs Stronger (4)2.002.002.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.271.311.071.211.501.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L21W42W23L13L21W45L21W02L02LA·FC 19/04H·ÉTO24/04A·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07A·STA31/07A·STA07/08H·FC 21/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.901.642.071.561.75
vs Stronger (6)1.673.332.504.501.252.75
vs Similar (24)1.581.541.501.671.671.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.12-3.2%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 5.41+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Under
Pinnacle
6.04
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.44-9.0%
Under 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.59+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
@ 2.10-11.2%
Under 3.5
67.0%
@ 1.66+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.66
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.6%
@ 1.42-5.3%
No
40.4%
@ 2.63+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
No
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Betano
2.67
William Hil
2.62
1xBet
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.43+6.8%
2-1 ✓
8.7%@ 7.88+3.1%
1-2
8.1%@ 11.18+4.1%
1-0
7.1%@ 10.62+3.0%
0-0
6.7%@ 16.14+3.9%
0-1
6.5%@ 15.11+3.6%
2-0
6.2%@ 11.53+2.4%
2-2
6.1%@ 10.23+1.7%
Étoile Carouge goals ↓
Rapperswil goals →
01234
06.7%6.5%5.4%2.5%0.9%
17.1%13%8.1%3.7%1.3%
26.2%8.7%6.1%2.8%1.0%
33.1%4.3%3.0%1.4%0.5%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Étoile Carouge goals (down), columns = Rapperswil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Étoile Carouge is 0.67 points better than Rapperswil in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Étoile Carouge is 0.33 goals worse than Rapperswil in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Étoile Carouge is 1.17 goals better than Rapperswil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Étoile Carouge or Draw✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
-7.5%
39%
27%
34%
covers Étoile Carouge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Étoile Carouge or Rapperswil✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.0%
39%
27%
34%
covers Étoile Carouge + Rapperswil
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Draw or Rapperswil✗ Miss
61.1%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.82
Edge
+10.5%
39%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Rapperswil
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.90
William Hil
1.85
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.83

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.7%
@ 1.11-5.4%
Under
22.3%
@ 5.50+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.3%
@ 1.60-13.6%
Under
55.7%
@ 2.20+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.38
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
@ 2.84-13.5%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.38+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Betano
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Étoile Carouge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 5.62-10.0%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.12+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Rapperswil over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.2%
@ 1.25+1.2%
Under
24.8%
@ 3.56-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.88
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Rapperswil over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.6%
@ 2.22-0.8%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.57+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Under
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Rapperswil over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
@ 4.86-2.6%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.15+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Betano
4.65
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Rapperswil over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 9.42-4.6%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Étoile Carouge, so a minus line means Étoile Carouge give that many goals of a start and Rapperswil receive them. At -1, Étoile Carouge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Étoile Carouge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Étoile Carouge)Actual: Rapperswil
Étoile Carouge -2
7.5%
@ 5.95-7.6%
Draw -2
11.9%
@ 5.43-4.6%
Rapperswil +2
80.6%
@ 1.31+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.35
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Handicap -1 (Étoile Carouge)Actual: Draw
Étoile Carouge -1
19.4%
@ 3.06-8.9%
Draw -1
19.4%
@ 3.74-3.8%
Rapperswil +1
61.1%
@ 1.79+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
2.92
Unibet
2.85
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.68
Handicap +1 (Étoile Carouge)Actual: Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge +1
65.9%
@ 1.26-4.6%
Draw +1
18.0%
@ 5.45+1.7%
Rapperswil -1
16.1%
@ 6.78+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Handicap +2 (Étoile Carouge)Actual: Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge +2
83.9%
@ 1.10-0.6%
Draw +2
10.2%
@ 10.00+1.0%
Rapperswil -2
5.9%
@ 15.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
15.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D22D12L02L01L00D11D01L00DH·FC 17/04A·RAP24/04A·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.330.600.730.73
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.620.360.570.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D31W20W00D11D23L10W01L01LA·FC 19/04H·ÉTO24/04A·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07A·STA31/07A·STA07/08H·FC 21/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.871.141.000.690.75
vs Stronger (6)1.171.172.002.500.750.50
vs Similar (24)0.830.791.000.750.670.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.7%
@ 1.23-3.6%
Under 0.5
28.3%
@ 3.74+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 2.09-9.0%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.66+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 4.47-8.4%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.16+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.45
1xBet
4.40
William Hil
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.1%
@ 1.62-5.2%
Under
47.9%
@ 2.17+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.01
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 3.88-8.1%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.21+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 8.50-7.1%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.04+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.5%
@ 2.01-7.6%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.72+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 6.02-5.6%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.08+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.15
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 10.75-6.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L31W00D01L21W30W00D00D00DH·FC 17/04A·RAP24/04A·YVE03/05H·FC 08/05A·NEU11/05H·BEL15/05H·FC 24/07A·YVE31/07H·NEU07/08A·STA21/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.730.800.670.870.80
vs Stronger (4)1.251.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.690.710.640.830.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D03L13L10W22D11D01L01LA·FC 19/04H·ÉTO24/04A·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07A·STA31/07A·STA07/08H·FC 21/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.030.501.070.881.00
vs Stronger (6)0.502.170.502.000.502.25
vs Similar (24)0.750.750.500.921.000.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Étoile Carouge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.12-6.8%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 5.23+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Betano
5.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.7%
@ 1.67-10.9%
Under 1.5
55.3%
@ 2.08+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 2.94-13.2%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.34+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.81
Betano
2.77
Under
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Étoile Carouge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.4%
@ 1.41-10.1%
Under
44.6%
@ 2.68+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.60
Étoile Carouge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 2.81-12.2%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.37+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.79
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Étoile Carouge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 6.75-8.4%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.06+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 1.69-8.6%
Under
54.0%
@ 2.04+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.98
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 4.30-7.1%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.17+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.35
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 8.75-7.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.04+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+6.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.1%1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
--+7.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.0%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.2%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+7.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.8%1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
---+8.4%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
--+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.4%1.12
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
-+10.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.6%1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+7.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.3%1.08
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
--+5.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.8%1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+8.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.7%1.17
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
--+7.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.4%1.21
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
--+8.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap83.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----0.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals83.5%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.2%1.26
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+9.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals81.9%1.34
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+13.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.8%1.38
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
+13.5%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.6%1.31
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
--+12.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.7%1.12
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
-3.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.5%1.37
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
--+12.2%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.7%1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-5.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals75.6%1.12
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-6.8%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.2%1.25
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+1.2%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.9%1.21
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
-3.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.7%1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-3.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Étoile Carouge and Rapperswil have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
ÉC wins
0
Draws
3
RAP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil · H/A from ÉC
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26ARapperswil Vs ÉC2-1
30/01/26HÉC Vs Rapperswil2-1
21/11/25HÉC Vs Rapperswil0-2
25/07/25ARapperswil Vs ÉC1-0

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AStade Nyonnais Vs ÉC0-0
07/08/26HÉC Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC0-1
31/07/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC1-1
24/07/26HÉC Vs FC Aarau3-0
15/05/26HÉC Vs Bellinzona2-2
11/05/26ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs ÉC3-0
08/05/26HÉC Vs FC Vaduz1-2
03/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs ÉC3-5
24/04/26ARapperswil Vs ÉC2-1
17/04/26HÉC Vs FC WIL 19002-0

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HRAP Vs FC Winterthur0-2
07/08/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs RAP2-0
31/07/26AStade Nyonnais Vs RAP1-2
24/07/26HRAP Vs FC WIL 19004-5
15/05/26HRAP Vs Stade Nyonnais2-1
11/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs RAP3-1
08/05/26HRAP Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-3
03/05/26ABellinzona Vs RAP2-4
24/04/26HRAP Vs Étoile Carouge2-1
19/04/26AFC Vaduz Vs RAP2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Étoile Carouge
Étoile Carouge
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLD1.12
HomeWLDWL1.12
AwayLWLDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.762.722.80
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.341.321.36
Conceded1.421.401.44
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.18
HomeWLWLL1.25
AwayLWLWL1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%35%
AVG goals3.253.253.25
Over 1.5 %82%75%90%
Over 2.5 %65%65%65%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.451.351.55
Conceded1.801.901.70
BTTS62%55%70%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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