This Premier League match between Everton and Crystal Palace is finely balanced, with Everton having suffered two consecutive defeats, including a 0-1 loss to Tottenham, while Crystal Palace is coming off a win against Rayo Vallecano. The model's selection for the match result is a home win, with a 40% probability of Everton taking all three points and a 33% chance of Crystal Palace securing a victory.
The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13%. Everton's home form against similar opponents sees them scoring an average of 1.83 goals and conceding 1, while Crystal Palace's away form against similar opponents sees them scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.56.
The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with a probability of 78.4% and an edge of 5%. The home win probability is 40%, the draw probability is 27%, and the away win probability is 33%. The model's selections are a Home win (40%), an Over 1.5 goals selection (78.4%), and a Draw (27%).
Results analysis
Everton’s victory extended their recent run, ending a win-loss-loss-draw-draw streak with a 2-0 triumph over Crystal Palace. The model had correctly called a home win, assigning a 40 % probability to the outcome. The final score matched the predicted 2-0 result, confirming the favoured result. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit, Under 6.5 hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit, Away under 3.5 goals hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit, and Home under 3.5 goals hit. Each pick’s probability was noted: 99.2 %, 98.3 %, 97.7 %, 97.5 %, 96.0 %, 95.4 %, 95.0 %, and 93.5 % respectively. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, with all selections settled in the match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Everton winâś“ Hit
40.0%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.23
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
Dafabet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
Drawâś— Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Pinnacle
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
Crystal Palace winâś— Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.26
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.36
Marathonbet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Everton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.30
1.47
1.53
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.22
1.40
1.40
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.33
1.50
1.60
1.36
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.20
0.87
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.75
1.00
2.50
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.20
1.30
0.80
1.30
1.60
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
@ 1.29+5.8%
Under 1.5
21.6%
@ 3.43-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.31
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.67
Unibet
3.65
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.95+4.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.87-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.01
SBO
2.01
Pinnacle
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
@ 3.29+2.6%
Under 3.5
68.8%
@ 1.32-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.43
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
@ 1.73+3.9%
No
41.9%
@ 2.05-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.74
No
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.09+5.3%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.37+3.2%
1-2
7.8%@ 10.78+3.5%
1-0
7.7%@ 7.60+1.6%
0-0
7.1%@ 10.33+2.6%
0-1
6.7%@ 9.67+1.9%
2-0 âś“
6.6%@ 10.45+2.2%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.81+2.2%
Everton goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.7%
5.2%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.7%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.6%
8.8%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.3%
4.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Everton goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Everton is 0.11 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Everton is 0.16 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Everton is 0.03 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Everton is 1.7 percentage points worse than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (44% vs 45%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Everton or Drawâś“ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.33
Edge
-3.4%
40%
27%
33%
covers Everton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
888Sport
1.33
Everton or Crystal Palaceâś“ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
+0.4%
40%
27%
33%
covers Everton + Crystal Palace
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Draw or Crystal Palaceâś— Miss
60.0%
Avg Implied 56.9% · @ 1.66
Edge
+3.0%
40%
27%
33%
covers Draw + Crystal Palace
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
SBO
1.68
10Bet
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Everton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.5%
@ 1.23+1.9%
Under
22.5%
@ 3.82-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.11
10Bet
3.85
Unibet
3.85
1xBet
3.82
888Sport
3.80
Everton over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.0%
@ 2.16+0.5%
Under
56.0%
@ 1.66-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Everton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.9%
@ 4.72-0.8%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.16+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
BetVictor
4.80
888Sport
4.80
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Everton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 11.34-1.8%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.5%
@ 1.36+5.1%
Under
26.5%
@ 2.95-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Superbet
2.95
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.3%
@ 2.77+4.5%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.41-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.89
888Sport
2.80
10Bet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 7.06+1.7%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.08-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
888Sport
7.50
1xBet
7.30
Betfair
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Crystal Palace over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 18.25-0.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Everton, so a minus line means Everton give that many goals of a start and Crystal Palace receive them. At -1, Everton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Everton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Everton)Actual: Draw
Everton -2
7.8%
@ 9.43-1.8%
Draw -2
12.3%
@ 6.32-2.0%
Crystal Palace +2
79.9%
@ 1.19+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
9.30
Superbet
9.30
Unibet
9.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.00
Away
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Everton)Actual: Everton
Everton -1
20.1%
@ 4.20-1.6%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 3.86-3.6%
Crystal Palace +1
60.0%
@ 1.66+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Unibet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Unibet
1.64
Handicap +1 (Everton)Actual: Everton
Everton +1
67.5%
@ 1.33-0.7%
Draw +1
17.6%
@ 4.81-1.2%
Crystal Palace -1
14.9%
@ 6.95+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Everton)Actual: Everton
Everton +2
85.1%
@ 1.07+0.5%
Draw +2
9.7%
@ 9.12-0.2%
Crystal Palace -2
5.2%
@ 16.50-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Unibet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Away
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
17.00
10Bet
17.00
Unibet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Everton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.56
0.20
0.60
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.52
0.70
0.60
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.53
0.53
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.65
0.70
0.60
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.5%
@ 1.39+0.0%
Under 0.5
32.5%
@ 2.89-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.06
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.2%
@ 2.80+0.7%
Under 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.41-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.93
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 7.28-1.7%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.50
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
Under
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Everton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.9%
@ 1.93+0.7%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.79-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.78
Everton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 5.85-4.1%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
5.70
Unibet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Everton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 15.25-3.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.29-2.0%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.57+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Unibet
2.28
Under
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 7.96-2.4%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
8.90
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 20.00-3.1%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
13.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Everton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.93
0.93
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.67
1.20
0.80
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.81
0.80
1.00
0.82
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.67
0.33
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.20
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.5%
Under 0.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.0%
Under 1.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.1%
Under 2.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Everton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.1%
Under
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.1%
Under
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.7%
Under
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.4%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.7%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+1.8%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+0.8%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+2.4%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
+1.7%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.1%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.09
Unibet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
+0.5%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
-1.7%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5
84.5%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
-1.2%
âś“ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.3%
1.22
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.21
-
-
-
+6.5%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+0.8%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.9%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
+3.8%
âś— Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
78.4%
1.29
BetVictor
1.31
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
+5.8%
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.5%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+1.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
1.35
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
+5.6%
âś“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.5%
1.36
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
+5.1%
âś— Miss
Home or Away
72.6%
1.31
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
+0.4%
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.2%
1.33
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.29
-
+2.7%
âś— Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
71.9%
1.48
1xBet
1.48
-
-
-
-
+10.6%
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Everton's squad is €46m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€459m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Everton's attack is €55m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€174m vs €229m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Everton's midfield is €69m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€162m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Everton's defence is €59m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€123m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Hull
Chelsea
Brentford
Newcastle
Leeds
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Ipswich
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Fulham
Coventry
Aston Villa
Tottenham