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Everton vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 0-0
Everton
Everton
Vs
27%
26%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 47% chance for Newcastle, 26% for a draw and 27% for Everton. The expected total of goals is 3.0, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11.9%. Newcastle’s away form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.73 conceded against similar opposition, while Everton’s home form is 1.2 for and 1.2 against. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 84%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.1%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 71.9% and Over 1.5 at 81.6%. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides likely to score but the edge leaning toward Newcastle.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Newcastle, fell short in a 0-0 stalemate, leaving the model’s pick of an away win incorrect. Everton’s two-game winning run at home was halted, while Newcastle’s recent win over West Brom did not translate into a victory. The final score of 0-0 produced a draw, contrary to the model’s 47% probability for an away win. The model’s other selections performed variably: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 84%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 79.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.1%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 75.1%, and Under 23.5 fouls hit at 71.9%. Over 1.5 goals missed at 81.6%. The predicted 2-goal total was not achieved.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Everton win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.67
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.74
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.98
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EvertonEverton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L03L04L30W23L23L11D11D21WH·SHE11/05A·ARS19/05H·BRI17/08A·TOT24/08H·DON27/08H·BOU31/08A·AST14/09H·SOU17/09A·LEI21/09H·CRY28/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.571.331.130.732.00
vs Stronger (11)0.822.361.251.250.573.00
vs Similar (18)1.061.171.201.200.881.12
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L42W10W11D11D21W21W13L11D10WA·MAN15/05A·BRE19/05H·SOU17/08A·BOU25/08A·NOT28/08H·TOT01/09A·WOL15/09A·FUL21/09H·MAN28/09H·AFC01/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.632.331.331.801.93
vs Stronger (4)1.503.001.502.001.504.00
vs Similar (19)2.111.582.251.382.001.73
vs Weaker (7)2.291.002.801.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.67+1.2%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.23-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
0-0 ✓
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
Everton goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
05.9%7.3%7.4%4.3%1.9%
15.1%12%9.5%5.5%2.4%
24.0%7.0%6.1%3.5%1.5%
31.7%3.0%2.6%1.5%0.7%
40.5%1.0%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Everton goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Everton is 0.47 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Everton is 0.68 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Everton is 0.08 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Everton is 10.2 percentage points worse than Newcastle in terms of average possession (41% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EvertonEverton

For 3.9 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

170581626845121518367866137812176991512H·CRYA·LEIA·ASTH·BOUA·TOTH·BRIA·ARSH·SHEA·LUTH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

702121412121341231123353037343H·CRYA·LEIA·ASTH·BOUA·TOTH·BRIA·ARSH·SHEA·LUTH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

26013111211121061151188118611121410122423227261619172622H·CRYA·LEIA·ASTH·BOUA·TOTH·BRIA·ARSH·SHEA·LUTH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 5.9 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.7

🚩 Corners

190566747129831239984114116111917153181215H·MANA·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·BOUH·SOUA·BREA·MANH·BRIA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.4

🟨 Cards

8044633442234443334228668478674H·MANA·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·BOUH·SOUA·BREA·MANH·BRIA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 14.6 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

31014108166171613819151611157169168824242329273126232516H·MANA·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·BOUH·SOUA·BREA·MANH·BRIA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EvertonEverton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.210.811.53.53.24.021.620.522.8
vs Stronger (17)12.312.612.03.83.44.121.320.821.8
vs Similar (32)10.59.911.33.53.23.921.820.423.3
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line60%58%62%42%31%54%58%50%67%
% under line40%42%38%58%69%46%42%50%33%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.310.24.64.64.623.323.623.0
vs Stronger (8)11.012.29.05.85.66.023.122.424.3
vs Similar (33)10.611.210.14.75.14.423.423.823.1
vs Weaker (9)11.110.511.83.22.44.223.124.521.8
% over line54%62%46%64%64%64%62%62%62%
% under line46%38%54%36%36%36%38%38%38%
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.7
Southampton
11.4
Everton
11.3
Liverpool
11.1
Brentford
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Newcastle
10.6
Ipswich
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Aston Villa
9.9
Leicester
9.8
West Ham
9.6
Brighton
9.6
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Brighton
5.0
Wolves
5.0
Tottenham
4.9
Newcastle
4.9
Southampton
4.8
Manchester United
4.4
Bournemouth
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Liverpool
4.2
Brentford
4.2
West Ham
4.1
Ipswich
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Arsenal
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Everton
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.7
Wolves
24.1
Crystal Palace
23.6
Newcastle
23.4
Aston Villa
23.4
Ipswich
23.3
Bournemouth
23.2
Chelsea
23.0
Southampton
22.7
Brighton
22.6
Liverpool
22.0
Nottingham Forest
22.0
Arsenal
21.8
Leicester
21.5
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.5
West Ham
21.0
Brentford
20.7
Manchester United
19.9
Manchester City
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.9%
Under 9.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.9%
Under 21.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EvertonEverton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L02L00D00D21W11D10W01LH·SHE11/05A·ARS19/05H·BRI17/08A·TOT24/08H·DON27/08H·BOU31/08A·AST14/09H·SOU17/09A·LEI21/09H·CRY28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.470.330.471.00
vs Stronger (11)0.551.270.750.500.431.71
vs Similar (18)0.440.330.400.300.500.38
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W01L10W10W01L02L01L10WA·MAN15/05A·BRE19/05H·SOU17/08A·BOU25/08A·NOT28/08H·TOT01/09A·WOL15/09A·FUL21/09H·MAN28/09H·AFC01/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.070.600.800.73
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.000.580.880.501.090.64
vs Weaker (7)1.000.711.400.600.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Everton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EvertonEverton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L02L02L30W23L02L00D01L20WH·SHE11/05A·ARS19/05H·BRI17/08A·TOT24/08H·DON27/08H·BOU31/08A·AST14/09H·SOU17/09A·LEI21/09H·CRY28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.870.800.271.00
vs Stronger (11)0.271.090.500.750.141.29
vs Similar (18)0.610.830.800.900.380.75
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D12L00D10W01L11D20W11D10W00DA·MAN15/05A·BRE19/05H·SOU17/08A·BOU25/08A·NOT28/08H·TOT01/09A·WOL15/09A·FUL21/09H·MAN28/09H·AFC01/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.971.270.731.001.20
vs Stronger (4)1.002.000.501.001.503.00
vs Similar (19)1.111.001.380.880.911.09
vs Weaker (7)1.290.291.400.401.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Everton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Everton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iliman Ndiaye27%
Beto26%
Dwight McNeil17%
Michael Keane17%
Carlos Alcaraz12%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin12%
Abdoulaye Doucouré11%
Jake O'Brien8%
Orel Mangala5%
James Tarkowski3%
Ashley Young3%
Vitaliy Mykolenko3%
Jack Harrison3%
James Garner0%
Jordan Pickford0%
Idrissa Gueye0%
Jesper Lindstrøm0%
Jarrad Branthwaite0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Nathan Patterson0%
Armando Broja0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Youssef Chermiti0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Keane28%
Carlos Alcaraz25%
Youssef Chermiti25%
Tim Iroegbunam24%
Idrissa Gueye22%
Ashley Young22%
James Garner22%
Jake O'Brien21%
James Tarkowski18%
Jordan Pickford18%
Séamus Coleman17%
Harrison Armstrong17%
Jarrad Branthwaite12%
Abdoulaye Doucouré11%
Vitaliy Mykolenko11%
Iliman Ndiaye11%
Jesper Lindstrøm10%
Orel Mangala10%
Nathan Patterson9%
Armando Broja9%
Beto9%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Dwight McNeil4%
Jack Harrison3%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dwight McNeil26%
Carlos Alcaraz19%
Harrison Armstrong17%
Tim Iroegbunam10%
Nathan Patterson9%
Ashley Young8%
Vitaliy Mykolenko8%
Michael Keane6%
Abdoulaye Doucouré6%
Idrissa Gueye5%
James Garner4%
Jake O'Brien4%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin4%
Jesper Lindstrøm3%
Jarrad Branthwaite3%
James Tarkowski3%
Jordan Pickford2%
Iliman Ndiaye0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Jack Harrison0%
Orel Mangala0%
Beto0%
Armando Broja0%
Youssef Chermiti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin23%
Beto21%
Carlos Alcaraz19%
Dwight McNeil17%
Armando Broja9%
Jesper Lindstrøm7%
Michael Keane6%
Iliman Ndiaye5%
Idrissa Gueye5%
Ashley Young0%
James Garner0%
Vitaliy Mykolenko0%
Jordan Pickford0%
James Tarkowski0%
Jarrad Branthwaite0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Abdoulaye Doucouré0%
Jack Harrison0%
Orel Mangala0%
Nathan Patterson0%
Jake O'Brien0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Youssef Chermiti0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WOL (29)
€311m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Everton's squad is €109m less valuable than Newcastle's (€459m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WOL (10)
€86m
WHU (7)
€84m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Everton's attack is €60m less valuable than Newcastle's (€174m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
WOL (5)
€111m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Everton's midfield is €38m more valuable than Newcastle's (€162m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€115m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Everton's defence is €87m less valuable than Newcastle's (€123m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
EVE wins
1
Draws
5
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Everton vs Newcastle · H/A from EVE
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/24ANewcastle Vs EVE1-1
07/12/23HEVE Vs Newcastle3-0
27/04/23HEVE Vs Newcastle1-4
19/10/22ANewcastle Vs EVE1-0
17/03/22HEVE Vs Newcastle1-0
08/02/22ANewcastle Vs EVE3-1
30/01/21HEVE Vs Newcastle0-2
01/11/20ANewcastle Vs EVE2-1

EvertonEverton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HEVE Vs Crystal Palace2-1
21/09/24ALeicester Vs EVE1-1
17/09/24HEVE Vs Southampton1-1
14/09/24AAston Villa Vs EVE3-2
31/08/24HEVE Vs Bournemouth2-3
27/08/24HEVE Vs Doncaster3-0
24/08/24ATottenham Vs EVE4-0
17/08/24HEVE Vs Brighton0-3
19/05/24AArsenal Vs EVE2-1
11/05/24HEVE Vs Sheffield United1-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/24HNEW Vs AFC Wimbledon1-0
28/09/24HNEW Vs Manchester City1-1
21/09/24AFulham Vs NEW3-1
15/09/24AWolves Vs NEW1-2
01/09/24HNEW Vs Tottenham2-1
28/08/24ANottingham Forest Vs NEW1-1
25/08/24ABournemouth Vs NEW1-1
17/08/24HNEW Vs Southampton1-0
19/05/24ABrentford Vs NEW2-4
15/05/24AManchester United Vs NEW3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Everton
Everton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.26
HomeLWLDW1.46
AwayDLLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.602.312.92
Over 1.5 %78%69%88%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.161.191.12
Conceded1.441.121.79
BTTS44%35%54%
Clean Sheet30%42%17%
Corners11.1710.7911.54
Cards3.693.423.96
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.54
HomeDWWDW2.00
AwayWDDWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%60%28%
AVG goals3.423.243.60
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.922.161.68
Conceded1.501.081.92
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners10.7511.2910.21
Cards4.794.834.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
311
861111151.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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