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Excelsior vs Ajax Result & Analysis

Date: 29/01/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 1-4
Excelsior
Excelsior
Vs
21%
25%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Excelsior win✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied 9.4% · @ 9.98
Edge
+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 14.6% · @ 6.46
Edge
+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajax win✓ Hit
53.9%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
-22.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D17L21W13L01L15L10W01L20W01LA·NEC08/10A·AJA16/10H·AZ 23/10A·GO 29/10H·HEE05/11A·FEY13/11H·GRO08/01A·SPA14/01H·FC 20/01A·UTR25/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.131.311.540.942.59
vs Stronger (12)1.003.001.402.400.713.43
vs Similar (18)1.171.561.251.001.102.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W03L31W12L22D33D11D00D11D11DA·WAA22/10H·LIV26/10A·RAN01/11H·PSV06/11H·VIT09/11A·EMM12/11A·NEC08/01H·TWE14/01A·FEY22/01H·FC 26/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.372.801.202.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.602.301.502.751.672.00
vs Weaker (20)2.850.903.270.642.331.22
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.35-14.0%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 3.11+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
Excelsior goals ↓
Ajax goals →
01234
06.5%8.9%9.1%5.6%2.5%
14.8%12%9.9%6.0%2.8%
23.2%5.8%5.3%3.3%1.5%
31.1%2.1%1.9%1.2%0.5%
40.3%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Excelsior goals (down), columns = Ajax goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Feyenoord
2.41
PSV Eindhoven
2.21
Ajax
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.97
Twente
1.95
Almere City FC
1.83
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Willem II
1.50
NAC Breda
1.50
Heerenveen
1.28
VVV Venlo
1.25
Waalwijk
1.21
Vitesse
1.18
GO Ahead Eagles
1.18
NEC Nijmegen
1.15
FC Volendam
1.06
Fortuna Sittard
1.06
Excelsior
0.94
Emmen
0.89
Cambuur
0.56
Groningen
0.51
MVV
0.00
Excelsior is 1.12 points worse than Ajax in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.62
Ajax
2.54
Feyenoord
2.38
Willem II
2.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.00
Twente
1.95
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
NAC Breda
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.50
Waalwijk
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.35
Almere City FC
1.33
Vitesse
1.32
Heerenveen
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.24
FC Volendam
1.24
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
FC Eindhoven
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Groningen
0.94
Excelsior
0.94
Cambuur
0.76
MVV
0.50
Excelsior is 1.60 goals worse than Ajax in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 2.54).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Twente
0.76
Almere City FC
0.83
Feyenoord
0.88
FC Eindhoven
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.08
Ajax
1.14
PSV Eindhoven
1.18
NAC Breda
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.32
Utrecht
1.44
Vitesse
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.50
Heerenveen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.65
Fortuna Sittard
1.82
Emmen
1.84
Waalwijk
1.88
Willem II
2.00
Cambuur
2.03
FC Volendam
2.09
Excelsior
2.09
Groningen
2.23
MVV
2.50
Excelsior is 0.95 goals worse than Ajax in terms of goals conceded per game (2.09 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 5.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

170296494321766597961157111013581214161712H·AZ A·HERA·DENH·WILA·AJAA·GROH·NACA·HEEH·PECA·VVV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

7011113222432101500227H·AZ A·HERA·DENH·WILA·AJAA·GROH·NACA·HEEH·PECA·VVV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

2908711736109129141511128881113151518919212923161928H·AZ A·HERA·DENH·WILA·AJAA·GROH·NACA·HEEH·PECA·VVV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AjaxAjax

For 4.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

11065346244107265651011117881091111102A·RANH·LIVA·NAPH·NAPA·LIVH·RANA·VITH·HEEA·AZ H·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

9036351211413123963140403A·RANA·NAPH·NAPA·LIVH·RANA·VITH·HEEA·AZ H·PECA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.0 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

3101396911112141912846685111561522152225311212132621A·RANH·LIVA·NAPH·NAPA·LIVH·RANA·VITH·HEEA·AZ H·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.911.612.21.81.52.020.519.621.4
vs Stronger (17)12.211.413.21.82.01.717.916.619.5
vs Similar (33)11.811.711.91.71.22.221.520.922.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line75%75%75%24%12%35%38%38%38%
% under line25%25%25%76%88%65%62%62%62%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.69.91.91.62.319.517.621.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.08.39.73.22.63.823.119.726.5
vs Weaker (35)10.210.410.11.41.21.617.316.218.2
% over line59%47%71%26%21%31%41%33%47%
% under line41%53%29%74%79%69%59%67%53%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.2
Cambuur
10.6
Heerenveen
10.3
Utrecht
10.2
Almere City FC
10.1
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
Ajax
9.9
NAC Breda
9.9
PSV Eindhoven
9.9
VVV Venlo
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
Waalwijk
9.6
Emmen
9.6
Fortuna Sittard
9.6
Willem II
9.5
MVV
9.4
Sparta Rotterdam
9.2
Vitesse
9.1
GO Ahead Eagles
9.1
AZ Alkmaar
8.9
Groningen
8.8
FC Eindhoven
8.8
Twente
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Eindhoven
4.3
Almere City FC
4.0
Twente
3.8
Vitesse
3.7
MVV
3.6
Feyenoord
3.5
NEC Nijmegen
3.4
NAC Breda
3.3
Emmen
3.3
Willem II
3.3
Cambuur
3.2
PSV Eindhoven
3.2
VVV Venlo
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
Groningen
3.1
AZ Alkmaar
3.1
Excelsior
2.9
Fortuna Sittard
2.9
GO Ahead Eagles
2.9
Ajax
2.8
Sparta Rotterdam
2.7
Waalwijk
2.7
Heerenveen
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Eindhoven
24.4
Almere City FC
24.0
Vitesse
23.1
VVV Venlo
22.6
Twente
22.5
Emmen
22.4
Groningen
22.3
NAC Breda
22.1
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
Utrecht
21.4
Excelsior
21.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.2
Waalwijk
20.6
Cambuur
20.6
Feyenoord
20.1
MVV
19.8
Ajax
19.7
AZ Alkmaar
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
19.0
Willem II
18.8
GO Ahead Eagles
18.8
Heerenveen
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
39.0%
Under 21.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L20W02L00D12L00D00D10W01LA·NEC08/10A·AJA16/10H·AZ 23/10A·GO 29/10H·HEE05/11A·FEY13/11H·GRO08/01A·SPA14/01H·FC 20/01A·UTR25/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.540.690.531.06
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.601.200.291.57
vs Similar (18)0.610.560.500.380.700.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W01L11D31W10W00D01L00DA·WAA22/10H·LIV26/10A·RAN01/11H·PSV06/11H·VIT09/11A·EMM12/11A·NEC08/01H·TWE14/01A·FEY22/01H·FC 26/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.571.330.531.070.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.901.101.001.250.831.00
vs Weaker (20)1.350.301.450.271.220.33
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D14L01L11D01L03L10W01L10W00DA·NEC08/10A·AJA16/10H·AZ 23/10A·GO 29/10H·HEE05/11A·FEY13/11H·GRO08/01A·SPA14/01H·FC 20/01A·UTR25/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.230.770.850.411.53
vs Stronger (12)0.581.580.801.200.431.86
vs Similar (18)0.561.000.750.620.401.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L11D11D11D02L01L00D10W11DA·WAA22/10H·LIV26/10A·RAN01/11H·PSV06/11H·VIT09/11A·EMM12/11A·NEC08/01H·TWE14/01A·FEY22/01H·FC 26/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.801.470.671.000.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.200.501.500.831.00
vs Weaker (20)1.500.601.820.361.110.89
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards92.4%--------
Under 25.5 fouls86.9%--------
Under 4.5 cards82.9%--------
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.0%--------
Under 11.5 corners71.6%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kik Pierie14%
Lazaros Lamprou14%
Kenzo Goudmijn12%
Nikolas Agrafiotis12%
Marouan Azarkan11%
Redouan El Yaakoubi9%
Julian Baas9%
Couhaib Driouech9%
Siebe Horemans9%
Serano Seymor5%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yassin Ayoub20%
Jacky Donkor17%
Joshua Eijgenraam15%
Couhaib Driouech15%
Marouan Azarkan15%
Adrian Fein14%
Mike van Duinen14%
Nathan Markelo14%
Redouan El Yaakoubi12%
Julian Baas12%
Siebe Horemans12%
Nikolas Agrafiotis12%
Arthur Zagre11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Noah Naujoks10%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Peer Koopmeiners5%
Serano Seymor5%
Sven Nieuwpoort4%
Lazaros Lamprou4%
Kik Pierie0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marouan Azarkan26%
Julian Baas15%
Kik Pierie14%
Couhaib Driouech9%
Lazaros Lamprou7%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Siebe Horemans3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Couhaib Driouech12%
Lazaros Lamprou11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Noah Naujoks10%
Mike van Duinen7%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Kik Pierie0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Marouan Azarkan0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Julian Baas0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohammed Kudus39%
Steven Bergwijn28%
Brian Brobbey26%
Dušan Tadić24%
Davy Klaassen22%
Steven Berghuis22%
Kenneth Taylor18%
Lorenzo Lucca13%
Edson Álvarez10%
Devyne Rensch9%
Jorge Sánchez9%
Jurriën Timber5%
Francisco Conceição4%
Calvin Bassey3%
Daley Blind0%
Florian Grillitsch0%
Lucas Ocampos0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Youri Regeer0%
Youri Baas0%
Mika Godts0%
Jorrel Hato0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edson Álvarez33%
Steven Berghuis19%
Jorge Sánchez18%
Francisco Conceição17%
Kenneth Taylor15%
Florian Grillitsch13%
Dušan Tadić12%
Jurriën Timber12%
Davy Klaassen10%
Devyne Rensch9%
Jorrel Hato9%
Owen Wijndal9%
Mohammed Kudus8%
Lorenzo Lucca7%
Calvin Bassey6%
Daley Blind6%
Gerónimo Rulli5%
Brian Brobbey3%
Steven Bergwijn2%
Lucas Ocampos0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Youri Regeer0%
Youri Baas0%
Mika Godts0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dušan Tadić37%
Mika Godts33%
Steven Berghuis27%
Calvin Bassey15%
Steven Bergwijn15%
Jorge Sánchez14%
Mohammed Kudus13%
Owen Wijndal13%
Francisco Conceição13%
Daley Blind11%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Edson Álvarez8%
Brian Brobbey8%
Davy Klaassen8%
Lorenzo Lucca7%
Jurriën Timber5%
Devyne Rensch3%
Florian Grillitsch0%
Lucas Ocampos0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Youri Regeer0%
Youri Baas0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohammed Kudus29%
Steven Bergwijn28%
Edson Álvarez18%
Steven Berghuis16%
Brian Brobbey13%
Jorge Sánchez9%
Dušan Tadić7%
Kenneth Taylor5%
Jurriën Timber5%
Davy Klaassen2%
Daley Blind0%
Florian Grillitsch0%
Lucas Ocampos0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Calvin Bassey0%
Francisco Conceição0%
Youri Regeer0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Youri Baas0%
Mika Godts0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Excelsior's squad is €157m less valuable than Ajax's (€16m vs €173m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
Excelsior's attack is €88m less valuable than Ajax's (€7m vs €95m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Excelsior's midfield is €12m less valuable than Ajax's (€3m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Excelsior's defence is €57m less valuable than Ajax's (€6m vs €63m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
EXC wins
1
Draws
7
AJA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Excelsior vs Ajax · H/A from EXC
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22AAjax Vs EXC7-1
13/04/19AAjax Vs EXC6-2
11/11/18HEXC Vs Ajax1-7
06/05/18HEXC Vs Ajax1-2
14/12/17AAjax Vs EXC3-1
19/03/17HEXC Vs Ajax1-1
29/10/16AAjax Vs EXC1-0
21/02/16AAjax Vs EXC3-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/23AUtrecht Vs EXC1-0
20/01/23HEXC Vs FC Volendam2-0
14/01/23ASparta Rotterdam Vs EXC1-0
08/01/23HEXC Vs Groningen1-0
13/11/22AFeyenoord Vs EXC5-1
05/11/22HEXC Vs Heerenveen0-1
29/10/22AGO Ahead Eagles Vs EXC3-1
23/10/22HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar2-1
16/10/22AAjax Vs EXC7-1
08/10/22ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC1-1

AjaxAjax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/01/23HAJA Vs FC Volendam1-1
22/01/23AFeyenoord Vs AJA1-1
14/01/23HAJA Vs Twente0-0
08/01/23ANEC Nijmegen Vs AJA1-1
12/11/22AEmmen Vs AJA3-3
09/11/22HAJA Vs Vitesse2-2
06/11/22HAJA Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
01/11/22ARangers Vs AJA1-3
26/10/22HAJA Vs Liverpool0-3
22/10/22AWaalwijk Vs AJA1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.02
HomeLWLWW1.50
AwayLLLLL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%46%15%
AVG goals3.563.463.65
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored1.281.541.04
Conceded2.281.922.62
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners11.9411.6212.25
Cards2.752.193.31
Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDD2.08
HomeLLDDD2.08
AwayWWDDD2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%62%62%
AVG goals3.584.003.19
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %72%83%62%
Over 3.5 %50%58%42%
Scored2.523.002.08
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet44%50%38%
Corners9.789.609.94
Cards3.132.713.47

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FeyenoordFeyenoord3482
74%
2.4
8130+51
3.3
85%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
229
9343932.40.9
-
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3475
68%
2.2
8940+49
3.8
76%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
280
106601152.61.2
-
3TwenteTwente3874
55%
1.9
7429+45
2.7
82%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
87
3413391.90.8
-
4AjaxAjax3572
60%
2.1
8940+49
3.7
86%
71%
60%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
17.0
0%
173
9515632.51.1
-
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3467
59%
2.0
6835+33
3.0
82%
62%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
136
6121542.01.0
-
6Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3863
47%
1.7
6341+22
2.7
71%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
142121.71.1
-
7UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5752+5
3.0
75%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
61
3314151.61.4
-
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3646
33%
1.3
4556-11
2.8
75%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
50
246201.21.6
-
9WaalwijkWaalwijk3441
32%
1.2
5064-14
3.4
76%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3131.51.9
-
10VitesseVitesse3440
29%
1.2
4550-5
2.8
76%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4121.31.5
-
11GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3440
29%
1.2
4656-10
3.0
85%
50%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
9481.41.6
-
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3439
24%
1.1
4245-3
2.6
71%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
54
225261.21.3
-
13Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3436
29%
1.1
3962-23
3.0
85%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
6471.11.8
-
14FC VolendamFC Volendam3436
29%
1.1
4271-29
3.3
94%
68%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.22.1
-
15EmmenEmmen3834
21%
0.9
3870-32
2.8
82%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1211.01.8
-
16ExcelsiorExcelsior3432
26%
0.9
3271-39
3.0
71%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7360.92.1
-
17CambuurCambuur3419
15%
0.6
2669-43
2.8
71%
62%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
3180.82.0
-
18GroningenGroningen3518
11%
0.5
3378-45
3.2
74%
60%
40%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
17.0
0%
32
126140.92.2
-
19Almere City FCAlmere City FC611
50%
1.8
85+3
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.30.8
-
20NAC BredaNAC Breda46
50%
1.5
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.2
-
21VVV VenloVVV Venlo45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.51.5
-
22Willem IIWillem II23
50%
1.5
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4452.02.0
-
23FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
24MVVMVV20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.52.5
-
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches