Eyüpspor vs Fenerbahçe Result & Analysis

The encounter between Eyüpspor and Fenerbahçe is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 32% and 40% respectively, while a draw is 27%. The expected total goals hover around 2.8, with the most probable total being two goals, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the match.

Eyüpspor, playing at home against a stronger opponent, has struggled to find the net, scoring an average of zero goals and conceding none in recent home fixtures. Fenerbahçe, on the road against a weaker side, has been prolific, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in away matches. Recent form shows Eyüpspor emerging from a win, while Fenerbahçe is on a three-game winning streak.

The model’s selections include a high likelihood of over 2.5 cards (92.5%), over 19.5 fouls (90.6%), over 3.5 cards (82.2%), over 21.5 fouls (81.3%), over 1.5 goals (78.3%) and an under 11.5 corners (76.8%). Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.

Eyüpspor’s win over Fenerbahçe was the headline, extending their recent form with a victory after a 2-1 win against Alanyaspor. The pre-match favourite was the away win, with a 40% probability, but the model’s call was wrong as the match finished 1-1, a draw. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards hit, as did Over 19.5 fouls, Over 3.5 cards, Over 21.5 fouls, and Over 1.5 goals, all with probabilities of 92.5%, 90.6%, 82.2%, 81.3% and 78.3% respectively. The only miss was Under 11.5 corners, which came in at 76.8%. The game’s final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 13% chance.