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Fafe vs Torreense Result & Analysis

Date: 04/02/2026
Time: 20:15
Final 1-1
Fafe
Fafe
Vs
33%
28%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torreense
Torreense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Fafe and Torreense is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 33% and 39%, while a draw is 28%. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.1% chance. Fafe, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, whereas Torreense, on the road, nets 1.67 and concedes 1.08. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Over 19.5 fouls (96.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.0%), Under 5.5 (93.6%), Over 21.5 fouls (91.2%) and Over 2.5 cards (90.1%). Both sides have recently struggled: Fafe’s last five feature a loss, and Torreense’s last five include a draw. The match remains a tight contest with no clear favourite.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Torreense, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The game was a tight affair, with both sides scoring once, and the final score confirmed the unexpected outcome. The model had highlighted the away win with a 39% probability, but the result was a draw. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 97.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.0%, and Under 5.5 at 93.6%. Fafe had been coming off a defeat, while Torreense had just drawn, yet neither side managed to secure a win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fafe win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torreense win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FafeFafe

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L10W10W21W10W21WH·AMA08/09A·ORI21/09H·MOR19/10H·ARO23/11A·LUS27/12H·SC 14/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.001.501.501.000.00
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (4)1.250.251.500.501.000.00
vs Weaker (1)1.004.001.004.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TorreenseTorreense

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L23L21W01L01L10W31W21W21W01LA·MAR06/12H·FEI12/12A·CAS17/12A·PEN21/12H·LUS30/12A·VIZ05/01H·UNI11/01A·SPO19/01H·FAR25/01A·ACA31/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.131.541.311.291.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.631.051.571.001.671.08
vs Weaker (11)1.001.271.501.670.400.80
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
Fafe goals ↓
Torreense goals →
01234
07.3%7.8%6.5%3.2%1.2%
17.0%13%8.7%4.2%1.5%
25.5%7.9%5.8%2.8%1.0%
32.4%3.5%2.6%1.2%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fafe goals (down), columns = Torreense goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
3.00
Benfica
2.57
Rebordosa
2.40
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
Cinfães
2.25
Lusitânia
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Farense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Anadia
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
O Elvas
2.00
Santa Clara
2.00
Operário
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Brito
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Rio Ave
1.67
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Academica
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
AVS
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Atlético CP
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Alpendorada
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Estrela
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estoril
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Nacional
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Fafe is 1.50 points worse than Torreense in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Sporting CP
2.57
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Cinfães
2.50
Farense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
FC Porto
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Rio Ave
1.83
Lusitânia
1.75
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Estrela
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
O Elvas
1.40
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.29
Vila Meã
1.29
Portalegrense
1.29
Correlhã
1.29
Florgrade
1.29
Nazarenos
1.29
Vitória de Sernache
1.29
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.29
Valenciano
1.29
Castro Daire
1.29
Rebordelo
1.29
Espinho
1.29
Uniao Nogueirense
1.29
Naval 1893
1.29
Portimonense B
1.29
Ançã
1.29
Resende
1.29
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.29
Sourense
1.29
Silves
1.29
Vidago
1.29
Vila Caíz
1.29
Charneca Caparica
1.29
Oriental Lisboa
1.29
AD Fornos Algodres
1.29
Angrense
1.29
Celoricense
1.29
AD Portomosense
1.29
Alcochetense
1.29
Fayal
1.29
Gouveia
1.29
Samora Correir
1.29
Ribeira Brava
1.29
Aparecida GO
1.29
Mirandela
1.29
Estrela Calheta
1.29
SC Celoricense
1.29
Almodôvar
1.29
Mosteirense
1.29
Águias do Moradal
1.29
Urzelinense
1.29
Celeirós
1.29
Quarteirense
1.29
AR São Martinho
1.29
Carregal
1.29
Juventude Évora
1.29
Fazendense
1.29
Pontassolense
1.29
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Tirsense
1.14
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Academica
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Fafe is 0.50 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Academica
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Brito
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Benfica
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
Santa Clara
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Academico Viseu
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Feirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Machico
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Alpendorada
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Arouca
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Atlético CP
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Anadia
1.67
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.82
Vila Meã
1.82
Portalegrense
1.82
Correlhã
1.82
Florgrade
1.82
Nazarenos
1.82
Vitória de Sernache
1.82
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.82
Valenciano
1.82
Castro Daire
1.82
Rebordelo
1.82
Espinho
1.82
Uniao Nogueirense
1.82
Naval 1893
1.82
Portimonense B
1.82
Ançã
1.82
Resende
1.82
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.82
Sourense
1.82
Silves
1.82
Vidago
1.82
Vila Caíz
1.82
Charneca Caparica
1.82
Oriental Lisboa
1.82
AD Fornos Algodres
1.82
Angrense
1.82
Celoricense
1.82
AD Portomosense
1.82
Alcochetense
1.82
Fayal
1.82
Gouveia
1.82
Samora Correir
1.82
Ribeira Brava
1.82
Aparecida GO
1.82
Mirandela
1.82
Estrela Calheta
1.82
SC Celoricense
1.82
Almodôvar
1.82
Mosteirense
1.82
Águias do Moradal
1.82
Urzelinense
1.82
Celeirós
1.82
Quarteirense
1.82
AR São Martinho
1.82
Carregal
1.82
Juventude Évora
1.82
Fazendense
1.82
Pontassolense
1.82
Amarante
2.00
Farense
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
Fafe is 2.50 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FafeFafe

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

TorreenseTorreense

For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1503569269542747815899911H·UNIA·PENA·MARA·LEIH·SPOA·PENH·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.3

🟨 Cards

11032333212133832374375651361151110A·ACAH·FARA·SPOH·UNIA·VIZH·LUSA·PENH·FEIA·MARH·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

3401614171717121051463215141217213034291520529293H·UNIA·PENA·MARA·LEIH·SPOH·LEIA·PENH·MARA·ACA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FafeFafe

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TorreenseTorreense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.24.34.34.313.613.813.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)9.09.28.04.44.24.615.518.79.8
vs Weaker (19)11.0-11.04.14.43.711.12.316.4
% over line33%40%25%58%61%56%32%30%33%
% under line67%60%75%42%39%44%68%70%67%
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
12.5
Portimonense
11.9
Farense
11.0
Vizela
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
União de Leiria
10.7
Chaves
10.7
Academico Viseu
10.7
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Nacional
10.4
Famalicao
10.4
Oliveirense
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.0
Benfica
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Rio Ave
9.8
Torreense
9.7
Sporting CP
9.5
Casa Pia
9.5
Guimaraes
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
GIL Vicente
9.3
Tondela
9.3
Estrela
9.1
Pacos Ferreira
9.0
Estoril
8.9
Maritimo
8.8
Leixoes
8.8
AVS
8.7
Santa Clara
8.7
Feirense
8.6
FC Porto
8.6
SC Braga
8.5
Mafra
8.5
Moreirense
8.1
Alverca
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.6
Felgueiras 1932
6.5
Pacos Ferreira
6.4
Chaves
6.3
Vizela
6.2
Leixoes
6.1
Oliveirense
5.9
Farense
5.9
Feirense
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Maritimo
5.8
Torreense
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
FC Porto
5.7
Casa Pia
5.7
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.7
Academico Viseu
5.7
Portimonense
5.6
União de Leiria
5.6
Arouca
5.5
Famalicao
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
Estrela
5.4
AVS
5.3
Nacional
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Benfica
5.2
Rio Ave
5.1
GIL Vicente
5.1
Penafiel
5.1
Tondela
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Estoril
4.6
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
SC Braga
4.4
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
31.9
Estrela
31.4
Lusitânia Lourosa
31.4
Moreirense
30.7
Santa Clara
30.6
Farense
29.6
Guimaraes
28.9
Vilaverdense
28.5
Estoril
28.4
Casa Pia
28.2
SC Covilha
28.2
GIL Vicente
28.2
Rio Ave
28.0
Nacional
27.3
Arouca
27.1
AVS
27.1
FC Porto
26.8
Sporting CP
26.8
Benfica
25.5
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
SC Braga
24.7
Tondela
20.5
Leixoes
20.1
Pacos Ferreira
18.4
Alverca
18.2
União de Leiria
18.2
Academico Viseu
17.8
Oliveirense
16.9
Maritimo
15.8
Vizela
15.5
Felgueiras 1932
15.0
Feirense
14.9
Portimonense
14.9
Mafra
14.9
Penafiel
14.1
Chaves
13.5
Torreense
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
65.5%
Under 9.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.9%
Under 3.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
91.2%
Under 21.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fafe or Draw✓ Hit
61.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
28%
39%
covers Fafe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fafe or Torreense✗ Miss
72.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
28%
39%
covers Fafe + Torreense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Torreense✓ Hit
66.7%
Avg Implied -
33%
28%
39%
covers Draw + Torreense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fafe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.6%
Under
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.8%
Under
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Fafe, so a minus line means Fafe give that many goals of a start and Torreense receive them. At -1, Fafe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fafe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fafe)Actual: Torreense
Fafe -2
5.4%
Draw -2
10.0%
Torreense +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fafe)Actual: Torreense
Fafe -1
15.3%
Draw -1
18.0%
Torreense +1
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fafe)Actual: Fafe
Fafe +1
61.0%
Draw +1
19.8%
Torreense -1
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fafe)Actual: Fafe
Fafe +2
80.8%
Draw +2
11.9%
Torreense -2
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FafeFafe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L00D10WA·ORI21/09H·MOR19/10H·ARO23/11A·LUS27/12H·SC 14/01
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.200.330.330.500.00
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (4)0.250.250.000.500.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TorreenseTorreense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D10W00D01L00D11D10W10W01LA·MAR06/12H·FEI12/12A·CAS17/12A·PEN21/12H·LUS30/12A·VIZ05/01H·UNI11/01A·SPO19/01H·FAR25/01A·ACA31/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.540.770.410.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.530.710.570.500.50
vs Weaker (11)0.270.640.331.000.200.20
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fafe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FafeFafe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W10W11DA·ORI21/09H·MOR19/10H·ARO23/11A·LUS27/12H·SC 14/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.201.330.330.500.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (4)1.000.001.500.000.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TorreenseTorreense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D01L00D10W20W11D11D00DA·MAR06/12H·FEI12/12A·CAS17/12A·PEN21/12H·LUS30/12A·VIZ05/01H·UNI11/01A·SPO19/01H·FAR25/01A·ACA31/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.000.540.880.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.050.530.860.431.170.58
vs Weaker (11)0.730.641.170.670.200.60
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fafe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls96.2%--------
Home under 3.5 goals95.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls91.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards90.1%--------
Home under 2.5 goals85.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.585.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap84.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls82.9%--------
Away under 2.5 goals82.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards77.9%--------
Over 1.577.9%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.4%--------
Home over 0.5 goals73.6%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away72.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls71.2%--------

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (22)
€460m
BEN (19)
€288m
SB (35)
€215m
FAM (27)
€109m
GUI (34)
€73m
GV (30)
€61m
EST (26)
€57m
RA (36)
€53m
ALV (32)
€52m
SC (31)
€46m
CP (34)
€34m
ARO (33)
€32m
EST (39)
€29m
MOR (25)
€28m
NAC (32)
€27m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
AV (35)
€18m
MAR (26)
€15m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
OLI (30)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
PF (24)
€6m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (7)
€190m
BEN (6)
€105m
SB (13)
€100m
FAM (11)
€51m
GV (14)
€37m
GUI (12)
€34m
EST (8)
€25m
RA (12)
€21m
ALV (11)
€18m
SC (11)
€17m
NAC (11)
€12m
ARO (11)
€12m
MOR (8)
€10m
CP (11)
€9m
AV (15)
€8m
TON (12)
€7m
EST (15)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
MAR (10)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
OLI (11)
€3m
PF (10)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
ACA (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€93m
SC (4)
€72m
SB (9)
€46m
GUI (8)
€26m
FAM (5)
€17m
ALV (9)
€13m
CP (7)
€10m
EST (5)
€10m
SC (6)
€10m
ARO (7)
€9m
MOR (6)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
EST (7)
€7m
RA (7)
€5m
GV (4)
€5m
TOR (6)
€5m
NAC (8)
€4m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
AV (6)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
OLI (6)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (11)
€198m
BEN (7)
€90m
SB (13)
€69m
FAM (11)
€41m
RA (17)
€26m
ALV (12)
€22m
EST (13)
€22m
GV (12)
€19m
SC (14)
€19m
EST (17)
€15m
CP (16)
€15m
TON (14)
€15m
GUI (14)
€13m
ARO (15)
€11m
MOR (11)
€10m
NAC (13)
€10m
TOR (13)
€9m
AV (14)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
OLI (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
PF (12)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FAF wins
0
Draws
0
TOR wins

Head-to-head

Fafe vs Torreense · H/A from FAF
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FafeFafe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/26HFAF Vs SC Braga2-1
27/12/25ALusitano Évora 1911 Vs FAF0-1
23/11/25HFAF Vs Arouca2-1
19/10/25HFAF Vs Moreirense1-0
21/09/25AOriental Lisboa Vs FAF0-1
08/09/24HFAF Vs Amarante1-4

TorreenseTorreense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26AAcademico Viseu Vs TOR1-0
25/01/26HTOR Vs Farense2-1
19/01/26ASporting CP B Vs TOR1-2
11/01/26HTOR Vs União de Leiria3-1
05/01/26AVizela Vs TOR0-1
30/12/25HTOR Vs Lusitânia Lourosa0-1
21/12/25APenafiel Vs TOR1-0
17/12/25ACasa Pia Vs TOR1-2
12/12/25HTOR Vs Feirense2-3
06/12/25AMaritimo Vs TOR2-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Fafe
Fafe
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.50
HomeLWWW2.25
AwayWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %83%75%100%
AVG goals2.333.001.00
Over 1.5 %50%75%0%
Over 2.5 %50%75%0%
Over 3.5 %17%25%0%
Scored1.331.501.00
Conceded1.001.500.00
BTTS50%75%0%
Clean Sheet50%25%100%
Corners---
Cards---
Torreense
Torreense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.68
HomeLLLWW1.52
AwayWLWWL1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%43%52%
AVG goals2.622.832.44
Over 1.5 %70%74%67%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored1.461.481.44
Conceded1.161.351.00
BTTS56%61%52%
Clean Sheet24%22%26%
Corners9.679.2010.25
Cards5.945.826.05

🏆 16. League Table

Torreense plays in Portugal - Segunda Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MaritimoMaritimo3466
59%
1.9
5029+21
2.3
65%
38%
24%
7.7
20%
6.4
91%
30.1
93%
15
6271.50.9
52%
2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu3459
50%
1.7
5833+25
2.7
68%
56%
35%
9.8
54%
6.1
91%
29.1
100%
18
8281.71.0
49%
3TorreenseTorreense3459
53%
1.7
4633+13
2.3
59%
44%
21%
10.2
38%
5.4
82%
23.1
62%
20
6591.41.0
46%
4FC Porto BFC Porto B3451
44%
1.5
4142-1
2.4
68%
50%
21%
9.6
55%
6.3
82%
29.4
100%
57
1910271.21.2
47%
5VizelaVizela3451
41%
1.5
3940-1
2.3
65%
41%
21%
9.1
33%
6.6
88%
29.9
78%
12
5251.11.2
54%
6União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria3450
38%
1.5
5246+6
2.9
74%
59%
44%
10.2
69%
5.9
82%
30.6
100%
12
3361.51.4
51%
7LeixoesLeixoes3450
44%
1.5
4655-9
3.0
82%
59%
35%
8.7
27%
6.1
91%
30.1
91%
8
3231.41.6
50%
8FeirenseFeirense3446
35%
1.4
3740-3
2.3
62%
44%
18%
9.3
29%
7.0
94%
29.1
86%
11
4241.11.2
42%
9ChavesChaves3445
38%
1.3
4240+2
2.4
65%
35%
24%
8.3
38%
6.3
82%
27.9
85%
9
4241.21.2
55%
10Benfica BBenfica B3444
32%
1.3
4344-1
2.6
79%
44%
15%
9.6
50%
6.9
91%
31.8
92%
76
158531.31.3
54%
11Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19323444
32%
1.3
3438-4
2.1
62%
32%
18%
10.2
56%
5.9
79%
29.4
89%
8
2241.01.1
54%
12FarenseFarense3644
31%
1.2
3237-5
1.9
61%
31%
8%
9.7
44%
5.9
86%
31.0
100%
11
3260.91.0
49%
13Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa3443
32%
1.3
4452-8
2.8
76%
59%
32%
10.4
54%
5.9
85%
30.1
100%
6
2131.31.5
48%
14Sporting CP BSporting CP B3442
38%
1.2
4134+7
2.2
53%
44%
18%
8.3
40%
6.0
70%
25.0
80%
76
3718211.21.0
54%
15PenafielPenafiel3441
32%
1.2
3739-2
2.2
65%
38%
15%
11.2
80%
5.6
71%
27.1
70%
7
2231.11.1
49%
16PortimonensePortimonense3440
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.6
68%
41%
24%
10.6
78%
5.7
88%
32.9
100%
10
5241.11.4
48%
17Pacos FerreiraPacos Ferreira3439
26%
1.1
3448-14
2.4
68%
50%
24%
9.5
46%
6.3
82%
29.5
85%
6
3021.01.4
46%
18OliveirenseOliveirense3434
24%
1.0
3449-15
2.4
65%
44%
24%
9.2
55%
5.2
61%
29.3
91%
7
3131.01.4
49%
19CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →

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