This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zenit
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.53
1.67
0.40
2.20
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (26)
2.15
0.50
1.92
0.46
2.38
0.54
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.6%
0-1 ✓
11.9%
0-3
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
5.2%
Fakel goals ↓
Zenit goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
12%
14%
9.7%
5.2%
1
3.2%
9.6%
9.3%
6.6%
3.5%
2
1.4%
3.0%
3.2%
2.3%
1.2%
3
0.3%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fakel goals (down), columns = Zenit goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Chayka
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tver
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Orel
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Pskov 747
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Fakel
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
KAMAZ
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
KDV
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Fakel is 2.08 points worse than Zenit in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Orel
2.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Ryazan
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Tver
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
KAMAZ
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Fakel is 1.58 goals worse than Zenit in terms of goals scored per game (0.33 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Tver
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Kompozit
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Pskov 747
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
Ryazan
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Murom
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Veles
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Fakel is 1.25 goals worse than Zenit in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.42).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fakel
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zenit
For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.4 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fakel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.5
4.5
4.3
4.6
26.6
26.8
26.4
vs Stronger (28)
9.0
8.5
9.3
4.2
4.1
4.4
27.9
28.4
27.5
vs Similar (22)
10.6
11.2
9.9
4.8
4.6
5.0
25.0
25.2
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
57%
43%
64%
62%
65%
89%
91%
87%
% under line
50%
43%
57%
36%
38%
35%
11%
9%
13%
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zenit
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.1
9.3
3.4
3.7
3.2
21.5
22.8
20.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
10.0
12.0
8.0
5.5
5.7
5.3
29.0
29.0
29.0
vs Weaker (44)
9.6
9.8
9.5
3.2
3.4
2.9
20.3
21.7
19.1
% over line
42%
43%
42%
46%
50%
42%
44%
57%
33%
% under line
58%
57%
58%
54%
50%
58%
56%
43%
67%
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Shinnik Yaroslavl
11.3
Lokomotiv
11.3
Khimki
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Dynamo
10.7
Ural
10.5
Baltika
10.2
Spartak Moscow
10.0
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Akron
9.9
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.8
Nizhny Novgorod
9.8
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
FC Rostov
9.6
Enisey
9.6
Fakel
9.5
Veles
9.4
FC Sochi
9.3
Urozhay
9.3
CSKA Moscow
9.2
Krylia Sovetov
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Rubin
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.0
FC Krasnodar
9.0
KAMAZ
8.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.8
Rodina Moskva
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.8
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.3
Fakel
5.2
Lokomotiv
5.1
FC UFA
5.0
Akhmat
5.0
Spartak Moscow
4.9
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
FC Rostov
4.7
Veles
4.7
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
Rubin
4.4
Rodina Moskva
4.4
FC Orenburg
4.4
Khimki
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
FC Krasnodar
4.3
CSKA Moscow
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Zenit
4.0
Enisey
4.0
Ural
3.9
FK Neftekhimik
3.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.6
Baltika
3.6
FC Sochi
3.6
Tyumen
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Chernomorets
3.5
Chayka
3.4
Akron
3.4
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Rotor Volgograd
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
2.9
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
25.6
Nizhny Novgorod
24.8
Rubin
24.6
Spartak Moscow
24.5
Khimki
24.5
Akhmat
23.9
Lokomotiv
23.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Orenburg
23.2
FC Rostov
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Torpedo Moskva
23.1
Dynamo
22.9
Ural
22.9
FC Krasnodar
22.8
CSKA Moscow
22.3
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
22.2
Zenit
21.1
Akron
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.7%
Under 9.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.4%
Under 21.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fakel or Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
10%
20%
70%
covers Fakel + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fakel or Zenit✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied -
10%
20%
70%
covers Fakel + Zenit
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Zenit✓ Hit
90.3%
Avg Implied -
10%
20%
70%
covers Draw + Zenit
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fakel over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
49.4%
Under
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.9%
Under
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fakel, so a minus line means Fakel give that many goals of a start and Zenit receive them. At -1, Fakel must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fakel win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fakel)Actual: Zenit
Fakel -2
0.5%
Draw -2
2.2%
Zenit +2
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fakel)Actual: Zenit
Fakel -1
2.7%
Draw -1
7.0%
Zenit +1
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fakel)Actual: Draw
Fakel +1
29.8%
Draw +1
23.7%
Zenit -1
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fakel)Actual: Fakel
Fakel +2
53.6%
Draw +2
21.6%
Zenit -2
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fakel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.57
0.13
0.33
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.19
0.81
0.00
0.50
0.30
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.29
0.22
0.22
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zenit
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.13
0.80
0.07
1.13
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (26)
1.12
0.12
0.92
0.08
1.31
0.15
Clean sheet %
87% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fakel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fakel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.83
0.33
0.40
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.64
0.33
0.44
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zenit
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
0.87
0.33
1.07
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.04
0.38
1.00
0.38
1.08
0.38
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fakel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fakel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Evgeniy Markov25%
Nikolay Giorgobiani12%
Vladimir Iljin12%
Ilnur Alshin7%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Mohamed Brahimi3%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Dylan Mertens0%
Thabo Cele0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Khyzyr Appaev0%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Sergey Bryzgalov0%
Aleksandr Belenov0%
Vladislav Masternoy0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Maks Dziov0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Nichita Moțpan0%
Mikhail Shchetinin0%
Abdulla Bagamaev0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Irakliy Kvekveskiri42%
Sergey Bryzgalov40%
Abdulla Bagamaev33%
Maks Dziov29%
Sergey Bozhin26%
Mohamed Brahimi24%
Igor Kalinin22%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Vladimir Iljin20%
Dylan Mertens19%
Igor Yurganov15%
Ilnur Alshin15%
Khyzyr Appaev14%
Vladislav Masternoy14%
Nichita Moțpan14%
Vyacheslav Yakimov13%
Evgeniy Markov12%
Aleksey Kashtanov9%
Aleksandr Belenov8%
Mikhail Shchetinin7%
Nikolay Giorgobiani6%
Vitaliy Gudiev6%
Andrey Ivlev5%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Thabo Cele0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Ivlev10%
Evgeniy Markov6%
Nikolay Giorgobiani6%
Igor Kalinin4%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri4%
Vladimir Iljin4%
Ilnur Alshin4%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Dylan Mertens0%
Thabo Cele0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Khyzyr Appaev0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Sergey Bryzgalov0%
Aleksandr Belenov0%
Mohamed Brahimi0%
Vladislav Masternoy0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Maks Dziov0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Nichita Moțpan0%
Mikhail Shchetinin0%
Abdulla Bagamaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Evgeniy Markov19%
Vladimir Iljin16%
Aleksey Kashtanov13%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy11%
Belajdi Pusi11%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri4%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Dylan Mertens0%
Thabo Cele0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Khyzyr Appaev0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Sergey Bryzgalov0%
Aleksandr Belenov0%
Mohamed Brahimi0%
Nikolay Giorgobiani0%
Vladislav Masternoy0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Maks Dziov0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Nichita Moțpan0%
Mikhail Shchetinin0%
Abdulla Bagamaev0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
Zenit
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou39%
Wilson Isidor33%
Maksim Glushenkov30%
Mateo Cassierra27%
Andrey Mostovoy26%
Pedro19%
Luiz Henrique18%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Gustavo Mantuan11%
Aleksandr Erokhin10%
Artur9%
Nino7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Wendel5%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Claudinho0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ognjen Mimović25%
Gustavo Mantuan22%
Wendel18%
Luiz Henrique18%
Wílmar Barrios14%
Strahinja Eraković14%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Luciano Gondou13%
Claudinho12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Nino10%
Artur9%
Nuraly Alip5%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Pedro4%
Evgeny Latyshonok4%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Douglas Santos3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Denis Adamov0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Mateo Cassierra0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Sergeev33%
Wendel32%
Claudinho25%
Artur18%
Andrey Mostovoy15%
Gustavo Mantuan15%
Pedro12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Mateo Cassierra10%
Douglas Santos10%
Luiz Henrique9%
Aleksandr Sobolev9%
Yuri Gorshkov7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Strahinja Eraković5%
Luciano Gondou4%
Nino3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Aleksandr Erokhin0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksim Glushenkov45%
Luiz Henrique27%
Claudinho25%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Mateo Cassierra17%
Artur9%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Wendel5%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Gustavo Mantuan4%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Pedro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Fakel's squad is €168m less valuable than Zenit's (€14m vs €182m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Fakel's attack is €95m less valuable than Zenit's (€5m vs €100m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Fakel's midfield is €29m less valuable than Zenit's (€2m vs €31m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Fakel's defence is €43m less valuable than Zenit's (€7m vs €50m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
Ural