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Făleşti vs Olimp Comrat Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Făleşti
Făleşti
Vs
36%
22%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Olimp Comrat
Olimp Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Făleşti win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat win✓ Hit
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L22D06L24L02L01L15L24L00D04LA·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08A·SHE08/08H·FC 16/08A·OLI23/08A·SIR30/08A·UNI13/09H·SHE19/09A·FC 27/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.700.862.291.443.06
vs Stronger (14)0.362.930.002.830.623.00
vs Similar (13)1.383.001.502.501.293.43
vs Weaker (3)4.000.331.500.009.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L02L01L06L45L10W12L10W01L14LA·SPE07/05A·UNI26/07H·SHE01/08A·FC 09/08A·SIR16/08H·FĂL23/08H·UNI30/08A·SHE12/09H·FC 20/09H·SIR27/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.601.272.001.933.20
vs Stronger (9)0.673.000.802.600.503.50
vs Similar (17)1.822.591.381.622.223.44
vs Weaker (4)2.751.752.002.003.501.50
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%06%115%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
91.5%
Under 1.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.1%
Under 2.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.5%
Under 3.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
75.3%
No
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
Făleşti goals ↓
Olimp Comrat goals →
01234
02.6%3.1%4.0%2.7%1.4%
12.8%8.1%7.6%5.3%2.7%
23.4%7.0%7.3%5.1%2.6%
32.2%4.5%4.7%3.2%1.7%
41.0%2.2%2.2%1.6%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Făleşti goals (down), columns = Olimp Comrat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Făleşti is 0.05 points better than Olimp Comrat in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Făleşti and Olimp Comrat are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Făleşti is 0.27 goals better than Olimp Comrat in terms of goals conceded per game (2.55 vs 2.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D02L02L01L01L04L02L00D00DA·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08A·SHE08/08H·FC 16/08A·OLI23/08A·SIR30/08A·UNI13/09H·SHE19/09A·FC 27/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.130.211.000.561.25
vs Stronger (15)0.131.130.001.140.251.12
vs Similar (12)0.501.420.601.200.431.57
vs Weaker (3)1.330.000.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L01L02L03L10W01L00D00D01LA·SPE07/05A·UNI26/07H·SHE01/08A·FC 09/08A·SIR16/08H·FĂL23/08H·UNI30/08A·SHE12/09H·FC 20/09H·SIR27/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.030.670.731.271.33
vs Stronger (11)0.451.270.400.600.501.83
vs Similar (16)1.060.940.670.781.571.14
vs Weaker (3)2.330.672.001.002.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D04L22D01L00D11D22D00D04LA·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08A·SHE08/08H·FC 16/08A·OLI23/08A·SIR30/08A·UNI13/09H·SHE19/09A·FC 27/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.430.431.431.121.44
vs Stronger (14)0.361.570.001.570.711.57
vs Similar (13)0.851.540.601.801.001.38
vs Weaker (3)2.670.331.500.005.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L00D04L42W00D11D10W01L13LA·SPE07/05A·UNI26/07H·SHE01/08A·FC 09/08A·SIR16/08H·FĂL23/08H·UNI30/08A·SHE12/09H·FC 20/09H·SIR27/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.570.601.330.731.80
vs Stronger (11)0.271.730.402.000.171.50
vs Similar (16)0.811.620.561.111.142.29
vs Weaker (3)1.330.672.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.576.1%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes75.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
FĂL wins
0
Draws
3
OC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Făleşti vs Olimp Comrat · H/A from FĂL
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AOlimp Comrat Vs FĂL1-0
04/05/24AOlimp Comrat Vs FĂL3-0
16/03/24HFĂL Vs Olimp Comrat2-1
10/11/23HFĂL Vs Olimp Comrat0-1
29/09/23AOlimp Comrat Vs FĂL2-3
18/08/23HFĂL Vs Olimp Comrat2-1

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25AFC Stăuceni Vs FĂL4-0
19/09/25HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-0
13/09/25AUniver Comrat Vs FĂL4-2
30/08/25ASireți Vs FĂL5-1
23/08/25AOlimp Comrat Vs FĂL1-0
16/08/25HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni0-2
08/08/25ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-2
01/08/25HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat0-6
26/07/25HFĂL Vs Sireți2-2
21/05/25ASaxan Vs FĂL2-0

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HOC Vs Sireți1-4
20/09/25HOC Vs FC Stăuceni0-1
12/09/25ASheriff II Vs OC0-1
30/08/25HOC Vs Univer Comrat1-2
23/08/25HOC Vs Făleşti1-0
16/08/25ASireți Vs OC5-4
09/08/25AFC Stăuceni Vs OC6-0
01/08/25HOC Vs Sheriff II0-1
26/07/25AUniver Comrat Vs OC2-0
07/05/25ASperanis Nisporeni Vs OC3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.88
HomeWDLLD1.04
AwayLLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals3.923.544.27
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %70%71%69%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.301.171.42
Conceded2.622.382.85
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet14%21%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Olimp Comrat
Olimp Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.26
HomeLWLLL1.44
AwayLLLLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals3.863.364.36
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %76%76%76%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored1.641.601.68
Conceded2.221.762.68
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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