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Făleşti vs Sheriff II Result & Analysis

Date: 17/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Făleşti
Făleşti
Vs
31%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Făleşti win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-715L02L14L37L32W12L21W13L10W40WH·SIR18/10H·UNI25/10A·SHE31/10H·FC 08/11A·OLI22/11H·FCM07/03A·VIC13/03H·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.530.882.591.692.46
vs Stronger (15)0.673.200.503.250.863.14
vs Similar (11)1.272.271.172.671.401.80
vs Weaker (4)3.250.751.330.679.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D41W12L13L02L04L20W11D01LH·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03A·FCM13/03H·VIC21/03A·UNI03/04H·ZIM10/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.371.931.431.441.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.101.501.400.800.802.20
vs Weaker (20)1.951.302.221.781.730.91
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
0-0 ✓
5.0%
Făleşti goals ↓
Sheriff II goals →
01234
05.0%6.0%6.2%3.7%1.7%
14.7%11%9.1%5.4%2.4%
24.2%7.4%6.6%3.9%1.7%
32.0%3.6%3.2%1.9%0.8%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Făleşti goals (down), columns = Sheriff II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Făleşti is 0.23 points worse than Sheriff II in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Făleşti is 0.09 goals better than Sheriff II in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Făleşti is 0.86 goals worse than Sheriff II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.55 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D11D22D21W01L20W03L10W30WH·SIR18/10H·UNI25/10A·SHE31/10H·FC 08/11A·OLI22/11H·FCM07/03A·VIC13/03H·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.130.331.110.831.17
vs Stronger (15)0.201.330.221.330.171.33
vs Similar (11)0.821.180.671.171.001.20
vs Weaker (4)1.000.250.000.334.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D01L02L02L02L10W10W01LH·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03A·FCM13/03H·VIC21/03A·UNI03/04H·ZIM10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.631.140.790.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.400.800.200.200.60
vs Weaker (20)0.950.751.331.110.640.45
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L03L15L11D11D01L10W00D10WH·SIR18/10H·UNI25/10A·SHE31/10H·FC 08/11A·OLI22/11H·FCM07/03A·VIC13/03H·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.430.501.500.921.33
vs Stronger (15)0.401.930.221.890.672.00
vs Similar (11)0.451.090.501.500.400.60
vs Weaker (4)2.250.501.330.335.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheriff II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sheriff IISheriff II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L30W11D11D00D02L10W01L00DH·FC 17/10A·OLI24/10H·FĂL31/10A·UNI07/11H·SIR22/11H·OGU07/03A·FCM13/03H·VIC21/03A·UNI03/04H·ZIM10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.730.790.640.940.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.601.100.600.600.601.60
vs Weaker (20)1.000.550.890.671.090.45
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sheriff II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
FĂL wins
1
Draws
7
SI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Făleşti vs Sheriff II · H/A from FĂL
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-1
19/09/25HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-0
08/08/25ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-2
07/12/24HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-3
25/10/24ASheriff II Vs FĂL2-0
13/09/24HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-3
19/04/24ASheriff II Vs FĂL9-0
08/11/22ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-1

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HFĂL Vs Olimp Comrat4-0
03/04/26AZimbru II Vs FĂL0-1
21/03/26HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat1-3
13/03/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FĂL1-2
07/03/26HFĂL Vs FCM Ungheni1-2
22/11/25AOlimp Comrat Vs FĂL2-3
08/11/25HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni3-7
31/10/25ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-1
25/10/25HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat0-2
18/10/25HFĂL Vs Sireți1-5

Sheriff IISheriff II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26HSI Vs Zimbru II0-1
03/04/26AUniver Comrat Vs SI1-1
21/03/26HSI Vs Victoria Bardar2-0
13/03/26AFCM Ungheni Vs SI4-0
07/03/26HSI Vs Oguzsport0-2
22/11/25HSI Vs Sireți1-3
07/11/25AUniver Comrat Vs SI2-1
31/10/25HSI Vs Făleşti4-1
24/10/25AOlimp Comrat Vs SI1-1
17/10/25HSI Vs FC Stăuceni1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW0.90
HomeLLLLW0.84
AwayLLWWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals3.863.524.20
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %50%48%52%
Scored1.221.081.36
Conceded2.642.442.84
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Sheriff II
Sheriff II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL2.00
HomeWLLWL2.15
AwayLDLLD1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals3.483.883.04
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %38%50%25%
Scored2.422.851.96
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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