This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.63
1.40
1.47
1.40
1.80
vs Stronger (9)
1.44
1.56
2.00
2.00
1.17
1.33
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.67
1.25
1.33
1.56
2.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
Falkenbergs FF goals ↓
Orebro SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
4.8%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.0%
1.5%
0.4%
2
11%
9.8%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.5%
6.0%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.0%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Falkenbergs FF goals (down), columns = Orebro SK goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Falkenbergs FF is 0.86 points better than Orebro SK in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 0.95).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Falkenbergs FF is 0.95 goals better than Orebro SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Falkenbergs FF is 0.14 goals better than Orebro SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.57).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Falkenbergs FF is 0.1 percentage points worse than Orebro SK in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Falkenbergs FF
For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.8 · Total 1.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.2 · Total 21.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
For 3.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Falkenbergs FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.3
8.7
1.4
1.4
1.3
23.3
22.3
24.6
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
8.9
9.2
8.6
1.6
1.5
1.6
24.2
23.0
25.9
vs Weaker (8)
10.0
11.0
9.0
0.5
0.7
0.4
16.0
16.0
16.0
% over line
40%
46%
33%
20%
21%
19%
67%
60%
75%
% under line
60%
54%
67%
80%
79%
81%
33%
40%
25%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.2
8.8
1.9
2.1
1.7
24.1
24.6
23.6
vs Stronger (14)
8.0
10.0
6.0
0.6
1.0
0.4
32.5
37.0
28.0
vs Similar (36)
9.5
10.2
9.0
2.4
2.5
2.2
23.1
23.0
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
64%
38%
24%
29%
19%
60%
67%
55%
% under line
50%
36%
62%
76%
71%
81%
40%
33%
45%
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.7
IFK Norrkoping
11.6
IFK Varnamo
11.1
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Helsingborg
10.4
IK brage
10.4
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.3
GIF Sundsvall
10.1
Sandviken
9.9
Ljungskile SK
9.9
Ostersunds FK
9.6
Orebro SK
9.6
Norrby IF
9.4
Oddevold
9.3
United Nordic
9.1
Falkenbergs FF
8.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Norrby IF
4.0
Osters IF
4.0
Ljungskile SK
4.0
Landskrona BoIS
3.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.8
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.5
Sandviken
3.3
IFK Varnamo
3.2
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Oddevold
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.8
United Nordic
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
Ljungskile SK
27.0
IFK Norrkoping
26.9
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.4
Osters IF
25.5
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.2
Landskrona BoIS
23.8
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
GIF Sundsvall
21.3
Oddevold
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Falkenbergs FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
0.93
0.13
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.58
0.85
0.15
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.50
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
1.00
1.00
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.58
0.50
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Falkenbergs FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkenbergs FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkenbergs FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Falkenbergs FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.88
1.08
0.77
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.07
0.73
0.87
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
0.78
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.76
1.19
0.67
0.83
0.89
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkenbergs FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Falkenbergs FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkenbergs FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkenbergs FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Falkenbergs FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oskar Lindberg33%
Albin Andersson33%
Melker Nilsson0%
Noel Hansson0%
Godwin Aguda0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus BorgstrÃķm0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Godwin Aguda67%
Noel Hansson33%
Melker Nilsson0%
Oskar Lindberg0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus BorgstrÃķm0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
Albin Andersson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Melker Nilsson67%
Albin Andersson33%
Noel Hansson0%
Godwin Aguda0%
Oskar Lindberg0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus BorgstrÃķm0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Melker Nilsson0%
Noel Hansson0%
Godwin Aguda0%
Oskar Lindberg0%
Tim Stalheden0%
Linus BorgstrÃķm0%
Gustav Lillienberg0%
Hampus Kallstrom0%
Albin Andersson0%
Orebro SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg33%
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub OjrzyÅski0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus SÃķderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg33%
Jakub OjrzyÅski33%
Hampus SÃķderstrom33%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karl Holmberg33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub OjrzyÅski0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus SÃķderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub OjrzyÅski0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus SÃķderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian WalhstrÃķm0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Falkenbergs FF and Orebro SK have a similar squad value (both €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Falkenbergs FF and Orebro SK have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Falkenbergs FF and Orebro SK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Falkenbergs FF and Orebro SK have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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IFK Norrkoping
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall