PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Falkirk vs Hibernian Result & Analysis

Date: 20/10/2015
Time: 00:00
Final 0-1
Falkirk
Falkirk
Vs
26%
34%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Falkirk win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hibernian win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W21W21W32W11D00D13L10WA·MOR08/08H·RAI15/08A·LIV22/08H·DUM28/08A·ST 12/09A·ALL19/09H·QUE25/09A·RAN03/10H·MOR17/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.001.000.251.601.60
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (5)1.400.800.500.002.001.33
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W01L20W30W10W11D30W42WA·DUM08/08H·MOR15/08A·RAN23/08H·RAI29/08H·ALL12/09A·LIV19/09H·ST 26/09A·QUE03/10H·DUM17/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.780.672.200.601.250.75
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (7)2.000.712.250.751.670.67
Clean sheet %56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.0%
Under 1.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.7%
Under 2.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.0%
Under 3.5
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.5%
No
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.8%
0-1 ✓
15.0%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
Falkirk goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
01234
017%15%8.7%3.1%0.8%
111%15%7.0%2.5%0.7%
25.1%5.4%2.8%1.0%0.3%
31.4%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
40.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Falkirk goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rangers
2.25
Hibernian
1.94
Falkirk
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.72
Morton
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.17
ST Mirren
1.17
Dumbarton
1.03
Livingston
0.86
Alloa
0.58
Falkirk and Hibernian are level in average points per game (both 1.94).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.44
Falkirk
1.69
Hibernian
1.64
Raith Rvs
1.44
Queen of Sth
1.28
ST Mirren
1.22
Morton
1.08
Livingston
1.03
Dumbarton
0.97
Alloa
0.61
Falkirk is 0.06 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.64).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hibernian
0.94
Falkirk
0.94
Rangers
0.94
Morton
1.17
Raith Rvs
1.28
Livingston
1.42
ST Mirren
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.56
Dumbarton
1.83
Alloa
1.86
Falkirk and Hibernian are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FalkirkFalkirk

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

HibernianHibernian

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FalkirkFalkirk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (1)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (7)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FalkirkFalkirk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W21W02L00D00D11D00DA·MOR08/08H·RAI15/08A·LIV22/08H·DUM28/08A·ST 12/09A·ALL19/09H·QUE25/09A·RAN03/10H·MOR17/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.440.500.250.600.60
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.200.400.000.000.330.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D10W10W00D11D20W31WA·DUM08/08H·MOR15/08A·RAN23/08H·RAI29/08H·ALL12/09A·LIV19/09H·ST 26/09A·QUE03/10H·DUM17/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.331.200.400.750.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (7)1.140.431.250.501.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FalkirkFalkirk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W11D00D30W11D00D02L10WA·MOR08/08H·RAI15/08A·LIV22/08H·DUM28/08A·ST 12/09A·ALL19/09H·QUE25/09A·RAN03/10H·MOR17/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.560.500.001.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (5)1.200.400.500.001.670.67
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W20W10W00D10W11DA·DUM08/08H·MOR15/08A·RAN23/08H·RAI29/08H·ALL12/09A·LIV19/09H·ST 26/09A·QUE03/10H·DUM17/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.331.000.200.500.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (7)0.860.291.000.250.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.571.3%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Falkirk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
L. McCann0%
L. Neilson0%
D. MeĞņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
L. Neilson33%
Ethan Ross25%
L. McCann25%
Aodhan Doherty25%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
D. MeĞņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
L. McCann0%
L. Neilson0%
D. MeĞņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ross25%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ross Maclver0%
L. McCann0%
L. Neilson0%
D. MeĞņiks0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Finley Frank Barbrook0%
Hibernian · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Boyle67%
Callum Wright67%
Felix Passlack25%
Jason Kerr25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Jamie McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Å uto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Felix Passlack25%
Josh Mulligan25%
Ante Å uto25%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Martin Boyle0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jamie McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Callum Wright0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGrath33%
Felix Passlack25%
Josh Mulligan25%
Nathan Lowe25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Martin Boyle0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Callum Wright0%
Ante Å uto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Adam Mayor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martin Boyle33%
Jamie McGrath33%
Josh Mulligan25%
Nathan Lowe25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Felix Passlack0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Callum Wright0%
Ante Å uto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Adam Mayor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
HIB (27)
€20m
SM (24)
€8m
FAL (27)
€6m
LIV (25)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
DUM (1)
€0m
Falkirk's squad is €14m less valuable than Hibernian's (€6m vs €20m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€38m
HIB (9)
€7m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
Falkirk's attack is €6m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
HIB (7)
€8m
SM (6)
€3m
LIV (8)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
Falkirk's midfield is €7m less valuable than Hibernian's (€1m vs €8m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
HIB (11)
€5m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
LIV (10)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
Falkirk's defence is €1m less valuable than Hibernian's (€3m vs €5m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FAL wins
0
Draws
0
HIB wins

Head-to-head

Falkirk vs Hibernian · H/A from FAL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/15HFAL Vs Morton1-0
03/10/15ARangers Vs FAL3-1
25/09/15HFAL Vs Queen of Sth0-0
19/09/15AAlloa Vs FAL1-1
12/09/15AST Mirren Vs FAL2-3
28/08/15HFAL Vs Dumbarton2-1
22/08/15ALivingston Vs FAL1-2
15/08/15HFAL Vs Raith Rvs1-0
08/08/15AMorton Vs FAL1-1

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/15HHIB Vs Dumbarton4-2
03/10/15AQueen of Sth Vs HIB0-3
26/09/15HHIB Vs ST Mirren1-1
19/09/15ALivingston Vs HIB0-1
12/09/15HHIB Vs Alloa3-0
29/08/15HHIB Vs Raith Rvs2-0
23/08/15ARangers Vs HIB1-0
15/08/15HHIB Vs Morton1-0
08/08/15ADumbarton Vs HIB2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW2.00
HomeWWDW2.50
AwayDWWDL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%75%40%
AVG goals2.331.253.20
Over 1.5 %67%25%100%
Over 2.5 %44%25%60%
Over 3.5 %22%0%40%
Scored1.331.001.60
Conceded1.000.251.60
BTTS67%25%100%
Clean Sheet33%75%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.11
HomeWWWDW2.60
AwayLLWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%80%50%
AVG goals2.442.802.00
Over 1.5 %67%80%50%
Over 2.5 %44%40%50%
Over 3.5 %11%20%0%
Scored1.782.201.25
Conceded0.670.600.75
BTTS33%40%25%
Clean Sheet56%60%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RangersRangers3681
69%
2.2
8834+54
3.4
78%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
136
3844542.40.9
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3670
53%
1.9
6134+27
2.6
72%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.70.9
-
3HibernianHibernian3670
58%
1.9
5934+25
2.6
67%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
7851.60.9
-
4
RR
Raith Rvs
3662
50%
1.7
5246+6
2.7
72%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5MortonMorton3643
31%
1.2
3942-3
2.2
56%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.2
-
6ST MirrenST Mirren3642
31%
1.2
4453-9
2.7
69%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
1331.21.5
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth
3642
33%
1.2
4656-10
2.8
69%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3637
28%
1.0
3566-31
2.8
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9LivingstonLivingston3631
22%
0.9
3751-14
2.4
69%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.4
-
10
A
Alloa
3621
11%
0.6
2267-45
2.5
69%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.9
-
Scotland: Championship 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches