This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.30
1.81
1.38
1.21
1.21
vs Stronger (15)
1.20
1.40
1.25
1.50
1.14
1.29
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.17
1.57
1.14
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (3)
4.33
1.33
8.00
2.00
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Falkirk is 0.34 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 0.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Falkirk is 0.52 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Falkirk is 0.23 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Falkirk is 4.5 percentage points better than ST Mirren in terms of average possession (51% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Falkirk
For 6.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
For 4.6 · Against 7.7 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Falkirk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.9
9.7
1.6
1.3
1.8
23.7
22.3
24.8
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
2.0
-
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.9
10.4
9.6
1.6
1.4
1.9
23.1
22.0
23.9
vs Weaker (16)
11.0
12.0
10.0
1.4
1.2
1.6
25.5
23.0
28.0
% over line
56%
71%
44%
18%
17%
19%
62%
57%
67%
% under line
44%
29%
56%
82%
83%
81%
38%
43%
33%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.3
4.0
4.4
3.7
21.5
21.1
21.9
vs Stronger (24)
10.8
10.2
11.3
4.5
5.1
3.9
21.7
21.2
22.1
vs Similar (23)
10.0
10.9
8.9
4.1
4.0
4.2
21.3
21.0
21.7
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
67%
62%
52%
52%
52%
55%
52%
57%
% under line
36%
33%
38%
48%
48%
48%
45%
48%
43%
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.0
Hibernian
11.6
Falkirk
11.3
Motherwell
11.3
Aberdeen
11.2
Rangers
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.0
ST Mirren
10.6
Kilmarnock
10.5
Dundee
10.4
Dunfermline
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Partick
10.2
Arbroath
10.1
Livingston
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.9
Dundee Utd
4.5
Hibernian
4.4
ST Mirren
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Falkirk
4.3
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Partick
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.1
Rangers
4.0
Livingston
3.9
Dundee
3.6
Dunfermline
3.6
Celtic
3.4
Arbroath
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Livingston
23.9
Aberdeen
23.6
Motherwell
22.8
Kilmarnock
22.6
Falkirk
22.6
Heart Of Midlothian
22.4
Rangers
21.3
ST Mirren
21.2
Dundee Utd
21.0
Dunfermline
20.1
Hibernian
20.1
Partick
19.9
Dundee
19.9
Arbroath
19.9
Celtic
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
69.1%
Under 9.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.5%
Under 21.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Falkirk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
1.07
0.86
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.60
0.90
0.90
0.70
0.30
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.78
1.50
0.75
1.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
0.94
0.50
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
0.47
0.75
0.62
0.43
0.29
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.42
0.86
0.29
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
3.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Falkirk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.50
1.43
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.60
1.20
0.70
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.88
0.88
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
0.93
0.50
0.88
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.75
0.71
0.86
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
5.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Falkirk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben Broggio36%
Barney Stewart29%
Ross Maclver25%
Brian Graham21%
Calvin Miller18%
Louie Marsh14%
Kyrell Wilson11%
Finn Yeats10%
Henry Cartwright8%
Filip Lissah7%
Scott Arfield7%
Dylan Tait5%
Henry Cartwright5%
Ethan Williams4%
Connor Allan4%
Ethan Ross3%
Liam Henderson3%
Scott Bain0%
Sam Hart0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Coll Donaldson0%
Gary Oliver0%
Brad Spencer0%
Leon McCann0%
Alfie Agyeman0%
Nicky Hogarth0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Keelan Adams0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brad Spencer34%
Coll Donaldson30%
Dylan Tait26%
Leon McCann23%
Sam Hart22%
Filip Lissah22%
Henry Cartwright18%
Keelan Adams17%
Connor Allan16%
Calvin Miller16%
Liam Henderson15%
Nicky Hogarth14%
Louie Marsh14%
Kyrell Wilson14%
Brian Graham11%
Ethan Ross10%
Henry Cartwright8%
Ben Broggio7%
Scott Arfield7%
Scott Bain6%
Barney Stewart6%
Finn Yeats5%
Ethan Williams4%
Ryan Edwards0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Gary Oliver0%
Ross Maclver0%
Alfie Agyeman0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Louie Marsh29%
Calvin Miller21%
Ben Broggio14%
Barney Stewart12%
Leon McCann12%
Coll Donaldson10%
Ethan Williams9%
Ross Maclver8%
Brad Spencer5%
Keelan Adams4%
Kyrell Wilson4%
Ethan Ross3%
Dylan Tait3%
Scott Bain0%
Scott Arfield0%
Sam Hart0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Brian Graham0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Gary Oliver0%
Liam Henderson0%
Alfie Agyeman0%
Nicky Hogarth0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Filip Lissah0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Finn Yeats0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Connor Allan0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Louie Marsh29%
Calvin Miller24%
Barney Stewart24%
Ethan Williams9%
Ross Maclver8%
Dylan Tait8%
Ben Broggio7%
Alfie Agyeman5%
Finn Yeats5%
Kyrell Wilson4%
Brad Spencer3%
Scott Bain0%
Scott Arfield0%
Sam Hart0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ethan Ross0%
Brian Graham0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Coll Donaldson0%
Gary Oliver0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Nicky Hogarth0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Filip Lissah0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Connor Allan0%
Keelan Adams0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
Henry Cartwright0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Young15%
Jonah Ayunga13%
Mikael Mandron11%
Dan N'Lundulu11%
Miguel Freckleton11%
Killian Phillips8%
Keanu Baccus6%
Richard King6%
Alexander Gogić6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Scott Tanser5%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Allan Campbell0%
Shamal George0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus38%
Alexander Gogić36%
Killian Phillips24%
Fraser Taylor22%
Richard King22%
Marcus Fraser19%
Roland Idowu19%
Miguel Freckleton19%
Liam Donnelly18%
Jacob Devaney15%
Mikael Mandron11%
Shamal George9%
Allan Campbell8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Mark O'Hara4%
Jonah Ayunga4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Jayden Richardson3%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Tanser18%
Declan John17%
Mikael Mandron14%
Jacob Devaney8%
Mark O'Hara4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Richard King3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Shamal George3%
Miguel Freckleton3%
Keanu Baccus0%
Kion Etete0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Douglas33%
Jonah Ayunga9%
Killian Phillips8%
Roland Idowu8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Alexander Gogić3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Mikael Mandron0%
Kion Etete0%
Declan John0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shamal George0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Richard King0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Falkirk's squad is €1m less valuable than ST Mirren's (€6m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Falkirk and ST Mirren have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Falkirk's midfield is €2m less valuable than ST Mirren's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Falkirk and ST Mirren have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Motherwell
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Partick
Dunfermline
Arbroath