This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kayserispor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.57
1.69
1.00
1.21
2.21
vs Stronger (10)
1.50
1.50
1.40
1.00
1.60
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.53
1.67
1.89
1.11
1.00
2.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
1.40
1.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.88+0.3%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.92-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
Fatih Karagümrük goals ↓
Kayserispor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
5.2%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.8%
4.6%
1.5%
0.3%
3
6.0%
5.7%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.7%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fatih Karagümrük goals (down), columns = Kayserispor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Trabzonspor
2.13
Fenerbahçe
1.92
Konyaspor
1.79
Başakşehir
1.71
Alanyaspor
1.68
Beşiktaş
1.55
Antalyaspor
1.55
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Adana Demirspor
1.45
Sivasspor
1.42
Hatayspor
1.39
Kasımpaşa
1.39
Galatasaray
1.37
Kayserispor
1.24
Gaziantep FK
1.21
Giresunspor
1.18
Rizespor
0.95
Altay
0.89
Göztepe
0.74
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.53
Fatih Karagümrük is 0.26 points better than Kayserispor in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
1.92
Trabzonspor
1.82
Alanyaspor
1.76
Kasımpaşa
1.76
Konyaspor
1.74
Adana Demirspor
1.58
Beşiktaş
1.47
Başakşehir
1.47
Hatayspor
1.47
Antalyaspor
1.42
Kayserispor
1.42
Sivasspor
1.37
Galatasaray
1.34
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Fatih Karagümrük
1.24
Rizespor
1.16
Giresunspor
1.08
Göztepe
1.05
Altay
1.03
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.71
Fatih Karagümrük is 0.18 goals worse than Kayserispor in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Trabzonspor
0.95
Başakşehir
0.95
Fenerbahçe
1.00
Konyaspor
1.18
Adana Demirspor
1.24
Antalyaspor
1.24
Giresunspor
1.24
Beşiktaş
1.26
Sivasspor
1.32
Fatih Karagümrük
1.37
Galatasaray
1.39
Gaziantep FK
1.47
Altay
1.50
Kasımpaşa
1.50
Alanyaspor
1.53
Hatayspor
1.58
Kayserispor
1.61
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.87
Rizespor
1.87
Göztepe
2.03
Fatih Karagümrük is 0.24 goals better than Kayserispor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fatih Karagümrük
For 4.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 14.8 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kayserispor
For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fatih Karagümrük
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.9
9.4
4.7
4.4
5.0
26.2
25.4
27.0
vs Stronger (12)
8.9
8.3
9.5
5.0
4.0
6.0
25.2
21.8
28.5
vs Similar (29)
9.7
9.6
9.7
4.4
4.6
4.2
26.8
26.6
27.0
vs Weaker (9)
7.9
7.2
8.4
5.3
4.2
6.2
25.8
26.5
25.2
% over line
48%
50%
46%
62%
54%
69%
82%
79%
85%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
38%
46%
31%
18%
21%
15%
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kayserispor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.3
5.1
3.5
24.2
24.3
24.2
vs Stronger (16)
9.2
8.3
9.9
3.8
4.7
3.1
23.7
25.1
22.6
vs Similar (27)
10.1
9.3
11.0
4.7
5.3
3.9
24.0
23.3
24.9
vs Weaker (7)
9.4
11.0
8.2
4.0
5.3
3.0
26.3
27.3
25.5
% over line
58%
56%
60%
64%
76%
52%
68%
72%
64%
% under line
42%
44%
40%
36%
24%
48%
32%
28%
36%
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Adana Demirspor
10.7
Galatasaray
10.7
Gaziantep FK
10.0
Alanyaspor
10.0
Hatayspor
9.9
Kayserispor
9.7
Fenerbahçe
9.6
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.6
Giresunspor
9.6
Trabzonspor
9.5
Altay
9.5
Rizespor
9.3
Konyaspor
9.3
Kasımpaşa
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Fatih Karagümrük
9.2
Beşiktaş
9.1
Sivasspor
8.9
Antalyaspor
8.5
Başakşehir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Galatasaray
5.4
Antalyaspor
4.9
Beşiktaş
4.8
Sivasspor
4.8
Rizespor
4.8
Göztepe
4.7
Fatih Karagümrük
4.7
Altay
4.6
Trabzonspor
4.6
Fenerbahçe
4.5
Hatayspor
4.5
Alanyaspor
4.5
Kasımpaşa
4.5
Kayserispor
4.3
Konyaspor
4.3
Giresunspor
4.2
Adana Demirspor
4.1
Gaziantep FK
4.1
Yeni Malatyaspor
3.7
Başakşehir
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fenerbahçe
27.5
Beşiktaş
27.4
Altay
27.2
Kasımpaşa
26.7
Rizespor
26.4
Fatih Karagümrük
26.2
Göztepe
26.1
Sivasspor
25.9
Galatasaray
25.9
Antalyaspor
25.1
Alanyaspor
24.7
Hatayspor
24.4
Kayserispor
24.2
Konyaspor
24.0
Yeni Malatyaspor
23.9
Adana Demirspor
23.9
Giresunspor
23.5
Gaziantep FK
23.2
Trabzonspor
22.8
Başakşehir
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.9%
Under 9.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.4%
Under 21.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fatih Karagümrük
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.87
0.47
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.71
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.71
1.00
0.43
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kayserispor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.19
0.25
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.20
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.73
1.22
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fatih Karagümrük
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.67
0.47
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.43
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
1.00
0.71
0.57
0.30
1.30
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kayserispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kayserispor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.21
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.30
0.40
0.80
0.60
1.80
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.93
0.67
0.78
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fatih Karagümrük) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fatih Karagümrük over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kayserispor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fatih Karagümrük · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emre Akbaba25%
D. Biraschi25%
A. Pešić25%
D. Verde25%
Dorukhan Toköz0%
C. Tosun0%
M. Silvestri0%
R. Yalçın0%
Ç. Kurukalıp0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
M. Siopis0%
R. Civelek0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Traore Ahmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dorukhan Toköz33%
D. Biraschi25%
Ç. Kurukalıp25%
M. Siopis25%
Traore Ahmed25%
Emre Akbaba0%
C. Tosun0%
M. Silvestri0%
A. Pešić0%
D. Verde0%
R. Yalçın0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
R. Civelek0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Pešić50%
Tiago Cukur25%
Emre Akbaba0%
Dorukhan Toköz0%
C. Tosun0%
D. Biraschi0%
M. Silvestri0%
D. Verde0%
R. Yalçın0%
Ç. Kurukalıp0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
M. Siopis0%
R. Civelek0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Traore Ahmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Pešić50%
Emre Akbaba0%
Dorukhan Toköz0%
C. Tosun0%
D. Biraschi0%
M. Silvestri0%
D. Verde0%
R. Yalçın0%
Ç. Kurukalıp0%
Muhammed Emin Sarikaya0%
M. Siopis0%
R. Civelek0%
Tiago Cukur0%
Baris Kalayci0%
Traore Ahmed0%
Kayserispor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Seferi75%
Florent Hasani25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Tabidze50%
S. Güler50%
T. Sarıarslan33%
G. Sağlam25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
M. Uçar25%
Gökhan Değirmenci25%
M. Dulca25%
D. Moreno0%
D. Radu0%
S. Kurt0%
B. Keser0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
G. Sağlam25%
J. Tabidze25%
S. Kurt25%
B. Keser25%
D. Moreno0%
Florent Hasani0%
D. Radu0%
T. Seferi0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Moreno25%
Florent Hasani25%
T. Seferi25%
B. Keser25%
G. Sağlam0%
D. Radu0%
J. Tabidze0%
S. Kurt0%
M. Uçar0%
S. Güler0%
Gökhan Değirmenci0%
F. Özer0%
C. Şen0%
M. Dulca0%
T. Sarıarslan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
ANT (25)
€16m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
HAT (16)
€2m
AD (23)
€2m
Fatih Karagümrük and Kayserispor have a similar squad value (both €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ALA (11)
€9m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
AD (7)
€1m
HAT (4)
€0m
Fatih Karagümrük and Kayserispor have a similar attack value (both €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GF (5)
€8m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
FK (3)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
AD (4)
€0m
HAT (3)
€0m
Fatih Karagümrük's midfield is €1m more valuable than Kayserispor's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
ANT (11)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
KAY (10)
€5m
FK (11)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
HAT (9)
€1m
AD (12)
€1m
Fatih Karagümrük's defence is €1m less valuable than Kayserispor's (€4m vs €5m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Trabzonspor
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
Adana Demirspor
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa
Hatayspor
Galatasaray
Gaziantep FK
Giresunspor
Rizespor
Altay
Göztepe
Yeni Malatyaspor