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FC Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 3-0
FC Aarau
FC Aarau
Vs
42%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Aarau win✓ Hit
41.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC AarauFC Aarau

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W11D11D10W31W21W21W42W10W10WA·BEL09/11H·FC 24/11A·FC 30/11H·STA08/12A·NEU13/12A·STA24/01H·BEL01/02A·STA07/02H·FC 14/02A·FC 23/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.331.001.332.271.33
vs Stronger (4)1.501.001.671.001.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.461.380.671.172.141.57
vs Weaker (13)1.851.381.001.672.571.14
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D22D01L01L03L23L01L10W00D24LA·FC 10/11A·FC 29/11A·ÉTO08/12H·STA13/12A·BEL25/01H·FC 31/01H·STA04/02A·STA07/02H·ÉTO14/02H·NEU21/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.071.801.071.53
vs Stronger (7)1.002.571.332.670.752.50
vs Similar (23)1.091.391.001.581.181.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
FC Aarau goals ↓
FC Schaffhausen goals →
01234
010%8.3%5.2%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.9%2.5%0.7%
28.0%8.6%4.6%1.7%0.4%
33.6%3.9%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Aarau goals (down), columns = FC Schaffhausen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Thun
2.00
FC Aarau
1.69
Étoile Carouge
1.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.47
FC Vaduz
1.42
FC WIL 1900
1.39
Bellinzona
1.31
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.14
Stade Nyonnais
1.00
FC Schaffhausen
0.78
FC Aarau is 0.92 points better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 0.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Thun
1.94
FC Aarau
1.75
Étoile Carouge
1.61
FC WIL 1900
1.61
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.58
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.50
Bellinzona
1.33
FC Vaduz
1.33
Stade Nyonnais
1.22
FC Schaffhausen
1.11
FC Aarau is 0.64 goals better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Thun
1.08
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.19
FC Aarau
1.25
Étoile Carouge
1.31
FC Vaduz
1.36
Bellinzona
1.58
FC WIL 1900
1.58
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.81
FC Schaffhausen
1.92
Stade Nyonnais
1.92
FC Aarau is 0.67 goals better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC AarauFC Aarau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L10W11D01L01L02L10W10WA·BEL09/11H·FC 24/11A·FC 30/11H·STA08/12A·NEU13/12A·STA24/01H·BEL01/02A·STA07/02H·FC 14/02A·FC 23/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.800.600.670.930.93
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.000.670.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.621.080.500.830.711.29
vs Weaker (13)0.920.540.500.501.290.57
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L01L01L01L00D10W00D11DA·FC 10/11A·FC 29/11A·ÉTO08/12H·STA13/12A·BEL25/01H·FC 31/01H·STA04/02A·STA07/02H·ÉTO14/02H·NEU21/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.670.870.530.73
vs Stronger (7)0.431.290.671.670.251.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.650.670.670.640.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC AarauFC Aarau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W10W00D20W20W20W40W00D00DA·BEL09/11H·FC 24/11A·FC 30/11H·STA08/12A·NEU13/12A·STA24/01H·BEL01/02A·STA07/02H·FC 14/02A·FC 23/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.400.671.330.40
vs Stronger (4)0.750.250.670.331.000.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.310.170.331.430.29
vs Weaker (13)0.920.850.501.171.290.57
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L00D00D02L22D01L00D00D13LA·FC 10/11A·FC 29/11A·ÉTO08/12H·STA13/12A·BEL25/01H·FC 31/01H·STA04/02A·STA07/02H·ÉTO14/02H·NEU21/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.400.930.530.80
vs Stronger (7)0.571.290.671.000.501.50
vs Similar (23)0.430.740.330.920.550.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (25)
€17m
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (8)
€5m
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (10)
€8m
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FA wins
4
Draws
2
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Aarau vs FC Schaffhausen · H/A from FA
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/24AFC Schaffhausen Vs FA0-3
23/09/24HFA Vs FC Schaffhausen1-2
06/04/24HFA Vs FC Schaffhausen1-2
08/03/24AFC Schaffhausen Vs FA1-1
27/10/23HFA Vs FC Schaffhausen1-1
25/08/23AFC Schaffhausen Vs FA2-2
19/05/23HFA Vs FC Schaffhausen2-0
17/02/23AFC Schaffhausen Vs FA2-2

FC AarauFC Aarau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25AFC Vaduz Vs FA0-1
14/02/25HFA Vs FC Thun1-0
07/02/25AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs FA2-4
01/02/25HFA Vs Bellinzona2-1
24/01/25AStade Nyonnais Vs FA1-2
13/12/24ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FA1-3
08/12/24HFA Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-0
30/11/24AFC Thun Vs FA1-1
24/11/24HFA Vs FC WIL 19001-1
09/11/24ABellinzona Vs FA1-4

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/25HFS Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-4
14/02/25HFS Vs Étoile Carouge0-0
07/02/25AStade Nyonnais Vs FS0-1
04/02/25HFS Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-1
31/01/25HFS Vs FC Thun2-3
25/01/25ABellinzona Vs FS3-0
13/12/24HFS Vs Stade Nyonnais0-1
08/12/24AÉtoile Carouge Vs FS1-0
29/11/24AFC Vaduz Vs FS2-2
10/11/24AFC WIL 1900 Vs FS2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Aarau
FC Aarau
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.48
HomeWDWWW1.52
AwayDWWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals3.002.563.44
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.561.361.76
Conceded1.441.201.68
BTTS64%52%76%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.08
HomeLLLDL1.00
AwayDDLLW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%20%32%
AVG goals2.622.762.48
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.121.161.08
Conceded1.501.601.40
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet20%12%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC ThunFC Thun3672
58%
2.0
7039+31
3.0
83%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
4581.91.1
-
2FC AarauFC Aarau3661
44%
1.7
6345+18
3.0
83%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.81.2
-
3Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge3654
42%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
75%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.3
-
4Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3653
39%
1.5
5443+11
2.7
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.51.2
-
5FC VaduzFC Vaduz3651
36%
1.4
4849-1
2.7
69%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.4
-
6FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003650
36%
1.4
5857+1
3.2
89%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7BellinzonaBellinzona3647
33%
1.3
4857-9
2.9
92%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.6
-
8Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3641
33%
1.1
5765-8
3.4
92%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.8
-
9Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais3636
28%
1.0
4469-25
3.1
83%
67%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.9
-
10FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen3628
19%
0.8
4069-29
3.0
78%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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