FC Aarau vs FC WIL 1900 Result & Analysis

The contest between FC Aarau and FC WIL 1900 is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are 35% for a home victory, 27% for a draw and 38% for the visitors, making the latter the most likely outcome. Expect roughly 2.9 goals, with the average total settling around two, a 24% chance that the final tally will be exactly two. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, a 12.7% probability, and that is the only scoreline to be mentioned.

Aarau, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. WIL 1900, on the road, averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded against similar opposition. Both sides have just come off a 2-2 draw, adding to the uncertainty.

The model’s selection is Over 1.5, with a 79.9% probability. No other selection is offered.

The pre-match favourite, FC WIL 1900, failed to deliver an upset, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The model had given the away side a 38% chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely outcome, the 1-1 scoreline having a 12.7% probability, and the total of two goals fell within the expected range. The only suggested pick that materialised was Over 1.5 goals, hit with a 79.9% probability. Both teams entered the game on a draw, with FC Aarau’s recent form showing a mix of defeats and wins and FC WIL 1900’s run dominated by losses.