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FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: 29/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-2
FC Astana
FC Astana
vs
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Astana win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC AstanaFC Astana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L40W23L51W33D32W21W53W11D21WH·LAU14/08H·ULY17/08A·ZHE23/08H·KAI28/08H·YEL14/09A·FK 19/09A·OKZ28/09H·AKT19/10A·KAI26/10A·BKS08/04
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.273.231.691.530.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.881.502.432.141.441.00
vs Weaker (14)2.711.004.171.171.620.88
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-820W11D01L23L10W10W20W21W22D80WH·TUR23/08A·ZHE29/08A·ATY13/09H·FC 19/09H·ORD24/09H·KAI28/09A·ORD04/10A·ZHE19/10A·ULY26/10A·ANS08/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.901.860.932.060.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.751.001.571.141.890.89
vs Weaker (14)2.210.792.140.712.290.86
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.60
Ekibastuz
2.33
Ordabasy
2.00
Yelimay Semey
2.00
Turan Turkistan
1.50
SD Family
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Irtysh
1.33
Khan Tengri
1.25
Kaspiy
1.25
Zhenys
1.25
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.25
Arys
1.00
Taraz
1.00
Akademiya Ontustik
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Jaiyq
0.99
Ansat
0.99
Karshiga Almaty
0.99
BKS
0.99
Chromtau
0.99
Jelaev Nan
0.99
Talas Karatau
0.50
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Jas Qyran
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
FC Astana is 1.60 points worse than FK Tobol Kostanay in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
SD Family
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.67
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.60
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.25
Arys
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Irtysh
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Jaiyq
0.80
Ansat
0.80
Karshiga Almaty
0.80
BKS
0.80
Chromtau
0.80
Jelaev Nan
0.80
Ordabasy
0.80
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.25
Taraz
0.00
Talas Karatau
0.00
Jas Qyran
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
FC Astana is 0.60 goals worse than FK Tobol Kostanay in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Taraz
0.00
Yelimay Semey
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.25
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.40
Ordabasy
0.40
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Kairat Almaty
0.50
Arys
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Ekibastuz
1.00
Talas Karatau
1.00
Jas Qyran
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
SD Family
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Aktobe
1.00
Kaisar
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Jaiyq
1.13
Ansat
1.13
Karshiga Almaty
1.13
BKS
1.13
Chromtau
1.13
Jelaev Nan
1.13
Kaspiy
1.25
Irtysh
1.67
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Atyrau
2.00
Ulytau
3.00
FC Astana is 0.60 goals worse than FK Tobol Kostanay in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC AstanaFC Astana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W21W21W22D10W42W10W11DH·LAU14/08H·ULY17/08A·ZHE23/08H·KAI28/08H·YEL14/09A·FK 19/09A·OKZ28/09H·AKT19/10A·KAI26/10A·BKS08/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.671.541.080.710.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.060.941.431.430.780.56
vs Weaker (14)1.070.361.670.670.620.12
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D00D22D10W00D20W01L11D50WH·TUR23/08A·ZHE29/08A·ATY13/09H·FC 19/09H·ORD24/09H·KAI28/09A·ORD04/10A·ZHE19/10A·ULY26/10A·ANS08/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.400.930.571.190.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.060.310.860.571.220.11
vs Weaker (14)1.070.501.000.571.140.43
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC AstanaFC Astana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L40W13L30W12L10W11D11D01L10WH·LAU14/08H·ULY17/08A·ZHE23/08H·KAI28/08H·YEL14/09A·FK 19/09A·OKZ28/09H·AKT19/10A·KAI26/10A·BKS08/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.690.620.820.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.561.000.710.670.44
vs Weaker (14)1.640.642.500.501.000.75
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L01L00D10W00D20W11D30WH·TUR23/08A·ZHE29/08A·ATY13/09H·FC 19/09H·ORD24/09H·KAI28/09A·ORD04/10A·ZHE19/10A·ULY26/10A·ANS08/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.500.930.360.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.690.710.570.670.78
vs Weaker (14)1.140.291.140.141.140.43
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FTK (21)
€11m
ORD (22)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (22)
€8m
FA (19)
€8m
FC Astana's squad is €3m less valuable than FK Tobol Kostanay's (€8m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
FTK (6)
€4m
KA (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (6)
€1m
FC Astana's attack is €3m less valuable than FK Tobol Kostanay's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FTK (5)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
FC Astana and FK Tobol Kostanay have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (10)
€4m
FA (10)
€4m
FTK (10)
€4m
KA (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
FC Astana and FK Tobol Kostanay have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FA wins
1
Draws
4
FTK wins

Head-to-head

FC Astana vs FK Tobol Kostanay · H/A from FA
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs FA2-3
10/05/25HFA Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-3
03/11/24AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs FA1-0
08/05/24AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs FA1-0
21/04/24HFA Vs FK Tobol Kostanay2-2
16/09/23HFA Vs FK Tobol Kostanay2-1
09/04/23AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs FA0-1
14/09/22HFA Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-2

FC AstanaFC Astana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26ABKS Vs FA1-2
26/10/25AKairat Almaty Vs FA1-1
19/10/25HFA Vs Aktobe5-3
28/09/25AOkzhetpes Vs FA1-2
19/09/25AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs FA2-3
14/09/25HFA Vs Yelimay Semey3-3
28/08/25HFA Vs Kaisar5-1
23/08/25AZhenys Vs FA3-2
17/08/25HFA Vs Ulytau4-0
14/08/25HFA Vs Lausanne0-2

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26AAnsat Vs FTK0-8
26/10/25AUlytau Vs FTK2-2
19/10/25AZhetysu Vs FTK1-2
04/10/25AOrdabasy Vs FTK0-2
28/09/25HFTK Vs Kaisar1-0
24/09/25HFTK Vs Ordabasy1-0
19/09/25HFTK Vs FC Astana2-3
13/09/25AAtyrau Vs FTK1-0
29/08/25AZhenys Vs FTK1-1
23/08/25HFTK Vs Turan Turkistan2-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

FC Astana
FC Astana
Kazakhstan: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.98
HomeLWWDW2.17
AwayLWWDW1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%65%52%
AVG goals3.144.092.33
Over 1.5 %86%96%78%
Over 2.5 %48%74%26%
Over 3.5 %32%52%15%
Scored2.062.781.44
Conceded1.081.300.89
BTTS56%65%48%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners8.628.259.00
Cards5.435.006.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.94
HomeLWLWW2.22
AwayLWWDW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%70%48%
AVG goals2.742.353.07
Over 1.5 %74%65%81%
Over 2.5 %50%43%56%
Over 3.5 %26%17%33%
Scored1.721.611.81
Conceded1.020.741.26
BTTS50%43%56%
Clean Sheet44%52%37%
Corners8.505.0012.00
Cards6.255.007.50

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OrdabasyOrdabasy512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3342.60.8
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
1242.20.8
-
3AktobeAktobe510
60%
2.0
108+2
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5232.01.6
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty39
100%
3.0
83+5
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3232.71.0
-
5FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay49
75%
2.2
64+2
2.5
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4341.51.0
-
6Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar48
50%
2.0
85+3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
7OkzhetpesOkzhetpes46
50%
1.5
85+3
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
8KaspiyKaspiy56
20%
1.2
99+0
3.6
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey56
20%
1.2
77+0
2.8
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
10IrtyshIrtysh46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
11ZhenysZhenys34
33%
1.3
64+2
3.3
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
-
12KaisarKaisar42
0%
0.5
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
13AtyrauAtyrau52
0%
0.4
38-5
2.2
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
14UlytauUlytau41
0%
0.2
38-5
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
15ZhetysuZhetysu41
0%
0.2
311-8
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
16Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)51
0%
0.2
717-10
4.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.43.4
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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