This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.37
1.71
1.21
1.88
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.60
1.50
2.00
1.33
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.75
1.15
1.44
1.11
2.00
1.18
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
1.00
2.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.7%
FC BW Linz goals ↓
Grazer AK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
4.7%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
4.6%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.0%
6.0%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.2%
2.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC BW Linz goals (down), columns = Grazer AK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
FC BW Linz is 0.31 points better than Grazer AK in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
FC BW Linz is 0.09 goals better than Grazer AK in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
FC BW Linz is 0.28 goals better than Grazer AK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
FC BW Linz is 0.7 percentage points better than Grazer AK in terms of average possession (41% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC BW Linz
For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 8.8 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC BW Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
8.9
3.9
4.5
3.4
23.2
24.1
22.4
vs Stronger (14)
7.5
8.2
6.4
3.1
3.9
2.0
22.2
23.0
20.8
vs Similar (34)
9.6
9.6
9.6
4.5
4.9
4.2
23.6
24.7
22.8
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
50%
38%
56%
74%
41%
61%
68%
54%
% under line
57%
50%
62%
44%
26%
59%
39%
32%
46%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.0
4.3
4.4
4.2
25.0
23.4
26.5
vs Stronger (5)
8.4
10.5
7.0
6.0
4.5
7.0
25.4
23.5
26.7
vs Similar (32)
9.0
9.8
8.1
4.1
4.5
3.8
24.2
23.0
25.5
vs Weaker (13)
10.5
8.6
12.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
26.7
24.6
28.8
% over line
48%
45%
50%
66%
70%
63%
80%
75%
85%
% under line
52%
55%
50%
34%
30%
37%
20%
25%
15%
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.5
Wolfsberger AC
10.3
Lask Linz
10.1
TSV Hartberg
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
SCR Altach
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.5
Rapid Vienna
9.4
Grazer AK
9.2
FC BW Linz
9.1
Austria Klagenfurt
9.0
Red Bull Salzburg
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
6.0
Grazer AK
5.1
SCR Altach
5.1
Wolfsberger AC
5.0
Rapid Vienna
4.9
TSV Hartberg
4.8
Sturm Graz
4.6
Austria Klagenfurt
4.6
Lask Linz
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
FC BW Linz
4.4
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.6
Grazer AK
25.5
Austria Vienna
25.4
Lask Linz
24.6
Sturm Graz
24.5
Wolfsberger AC
23.9
FC BW Linz
23.8
Rapid Vienna
23.4
WSG Wattens
23.4
Austria Klagenfurt
22.8
TSV Hartberg
22.8
Red Bull Salzburg
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.3%
Under 9.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC BW Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.62
0.62
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.86
1.00
0.40
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.57
0.38
0.75
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.79
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
1.00
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
0.44
0.78
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC BW Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.62
0.23
0.59
0.94
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.20
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.62
0.25
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.67
1.00
0.43
1.19
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.55
1.00
0.33
1.27
0.73
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC BW Linz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronivaldo39%
Simon Seidl13%
Conor Noß12%
Alem Pašić11%
Oliver Wahling11%
Elias Bakatukanda8%
Thomas Goiginger8%
Danilo Mitrović8%
Simon Pirkl7%
Kristijan Dobraš7%
Anderson6%
Alexander Briedl4%
Alexander Schmidt4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Lukas Tursch0%
Paul Mensah0%
Julian Gölles0%
Andreas Lukse0%
Fabio Strauss0%
Martin Moormann0%
Silvan Wallner0%
Mehmet Ibrahimi0%
Radek Vitek0%
Lukas Ibertsberger0%
Lucas Dantas0%
Soumaila Diabate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soumaila Diabate31%
Paul Mensah27%
Lukas Tursch25%
Alexander Briedl25%
Martin Moormann23%
Alem Pašić22%
Silvan Wallner20%
Ronivaldo19%
Conor Noß18%
Simon Pirkl13%
Thomas Goiginger12%
Anderson10%
Simon Seidl10%
Elias Bakatukanda8%
Danilo Mitrović8%
Radek Vitek8%
Alexander Schmidt7%
Fabio Strauss7%
Kristijan Dobraš7%
Manuel Maranda6%
Julian Gölles0%
Andreas Lukse0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Mehmet Ibrahimi0%
Lukas Ibertsberger0%
Lucas Dantas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Ibertsberger25%
Anderson16%
Thomas Goiginger12%
Oliver Wahling11%
Simon Seidl10%
Simon Pirkl7%
Kristijan Dobraš7%
Alexander Briedl4%
Soumaila Diabate4%
Alexander Schmidt4%
Alem Pašić4%
Ronivaldo3%
Manuel Maranda0%
Lukas Tursch0%
Paul Mensah0%
Julian Gölles0%
Andreas Lukse0%
Fabio Strauss0%
Danilo Mitrović0%
Conor Noß0%
Martin Moormann0%
Silvan Wallner0%
Mehmet Ibrahimi0%
Radek Vitek0%
Lucas Dantas0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ronivaldo32%
Simon Seidl10%
Elias Bakatukanda8%
Thomas Goiginger8%
Soumaila Diabate4%
Kristijan Dobraš3%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Lukas Tursch0%
Paul Mensah0%
Julian Gölles0%
Alexander Schmidt0%
Alem Pašić0%
Andreas Lukse0%
Anderson0%
Fabio Strauss0%
Danilo Mitrović0%
Conor Noß0%
Martin Moormann0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Silvan Wallner0%
Alexander Briedl0%
Mehmet Ibrahimi0%
Radek Vitek0%
Lukas Ibertsberger0%
Lucas Dantas0%
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tio Cipot26%
Daniel Maderner25%
Michael Lang14%
Christian Lichtenberger13%
Romeo Vučić12%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Atsushi Zaizen8%
Zétény Jánó7%
Marco Gantschnig7%
Marco Perchtold5%
Benjamin Rosenberger4%
Petar Filipović4%
Jacob Italiano4%
Dominik Frieser3%
Murat Satin0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sadik Fofana43%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Miloš Jovičić32%
Benjamin Rosenberger27%
Atsushi Zaizen25%
Martin Kreuzriegler25%
László Kleinheisler23%
Lukas Graf23%
Thorsten Schriebl23%
Michael Cheukoua22%
Michael Lang21%
Dennis Dressel21%
Daniel Maderner21%
Zétény Jánó21%
Marco Gantschnig20%
Christian Lichtenberger19%
Petar Filipović15%
Tio Cipot15%
Jacob Italiano14%
Marco Perchtold14%
Murat Satin14%
Dominik Frieser7%
Jakob Meierhofer6%
Romeo Vučić6%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger19%
László Kleinheisler15%
Murat Satin14%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Daniel Maderner11%
Atsushi Zaizen8%
Martin Kreuzriegler8%
Benjamin Rosenberger8%
Jacob Italiano7%
Michael Lang7%
Zétény Jánó7%
Romeo Vučić6%
Tio Cipot4%
Dominik Frieser3%
Marco Gantschnig0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Petar Filipović0%
Marco Perchtold0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tio Cipot19%
Daniel Maderner18%
Michael Lang14%
Christian Lichtenberger13%
László Kleinheisler8%
Romeo Vučić6%
Murat Satin3%
Jacob Italiano0%
Atsushi Zaizen0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Benjamin Rosenberger0%
Marco Gantschnig0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Petar Filipović0%
Marco Perchtold0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
FC BW Linz's squad is €4m less valuable than Grazer AK's (€5m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
FC BW Linz and Grazer AK have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FC BW Linz and Grazer AK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
FC BW Linz's defence is €4m less valuable than Grazer AK's (€2m vs €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
WSG Wattens
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach