FC Isloch Minsk R. is the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 62% chance of victory and a 22% probability of a draw, while FC Dnepr Mogilev only has a 16% chance to win. The model picks an away win as the most likely result. The expected total goals hover at 3.2, with the single most likely scoreline being 1-1, a 10% chance. Dnepr’s home form shows 1.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game against similar opposition, whereas Isloch’s away record is 1.25 scored and 0.83 conceded. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6%, Under 6.5 at 95.5%, Away +2 handicap at 93.9%, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 93.4% and Over 19.5 fouls at 92.3%. The model’s selections reflect Isloch’s recent five-game winning streak and Dnepr’s recent draw, underscoring the venue advantage for the away side.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Away win, was wrong as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left both sides level. The model had given the away side a 62% chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The home team, FC Dnepr Mogilev, had been coming off a draw, while FC Isloch Minsk R. were unbeaten in their last five. The model’s selections performed largely well: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.3%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.4%, Away +2 handicap hit at 93.9%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.8%. Only the Over 19.5 fouls, at 94.0%, missed. The model’s overall prediction of an away win was incorrect, but most of its other picks proved accurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Dnepr Mogilev win✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied 18.5% · @ 4.94
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.13
Superbet
5.00
Dafabet
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Draw✓ Hit
21.6%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.58
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.59
FC Isloch Minsk R. win✗ Miss
62.1%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.64
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.23
1.53
1.13
1.40
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.41
1.42
1.25
1.20
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
0.86
2.00
0.67
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.80
1.71
0.57
1.44
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.68
0.68
2.25
0.62
1.27
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.0%
@ 1.31+13.8%
Under 1.5
16.0%
@ 3.09-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
1xBet
3.24
Marathonbet
3.24
Superbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.4%
@ 1.96+14.5%
Under 2.5
37.6%
@ 1.80-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Superbet
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.2%
@ 3.30+12.4%
Under 3.5
59.8%
@ 1.27-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Under
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
@ 1.91+9.9%
No
41.6%
@ 1.79-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
No
1xBet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.69
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%@ 6.49+3.3%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.51+4.1%
0-2
9.4%@ 6.97+3.2%
0-1
7.8%@ 5.88+0.3%
1-3
7.2%@ 13.19+3.8%
0-3
6.8%@ 11.57+3.1%
2-2
5.2%@ 16.32+2.5%
0-0 ✓
4.9%@ 8.97+0.0%
FC Dnepr Mogilev goals ↓
FC Isloch Minsk R. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
7.8%
9.4%
6.8%
3.7%
1
3.3%
10%
9.9%
7.2%
3.9%
2
2.2%
4.8%
5.2%
3.7%
2.0%
3
0.8%
1.7%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Dnepr Mogilev goals (down), columns = FC Isloch Minsk R. goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
FC Dnepr Mogilev is 2.10 points worse than FC Isloch Minsk R. in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 2.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev is 1.12 goals worse than FC Isloch Minsk R. in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
FC Dnepr Mogilev is 0.76 goals worse than FC Isloch Minsk R. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
FC Dnepr Mogilev is 3.5 percentage points better than FC Isloch Minsk R. in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Dnepr Mogilev
For 4.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Isloch Minsk R.
For 6.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.5
1.0
1.0
1.0
23.2
23.3
23.0
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
-
10.0
0.7
0.0
1.0
26.0
-
26.0
vs Similar (37)
10.2
10.0
11.0
1.2
1.3
1.2
22.5
23.3
20.0
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
80%
67%
100%
10%
8%
12%
60%
67%
50%
% under line
20%
33%
0%
90%
92%
88%
40%
33%
50%
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
13.0
10.0
2.5
2.4
2.7
27.5
29.0
27.0
vs Stronger (7)
13.0
13.0
-
1.4
1.5
1.3
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (34)
11.0
-
11.0
2.7
2.4
2.9
28.5
-
28.5
vs Weaker (9)
8.0
-
8.0
2.8
2.8
2.7
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
50%
100%
33%
26%
29%
23%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
67%
74%
71%
77%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
Bate Borisov
11.2
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Belshina
10.8
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.7
Naftan
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6
FC Minsk
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.4
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
34.4
Torpedo Zhodino
30.0
FC Gomel
28.7
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.5
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Dinamo Minsk
26.4
FC Dnepr Mogilev
23.2
Belshina
23.0
Neman
21.8
Naftan
21.5
FC Vitebsk
20.2
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.9%
Under 9.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.2%
Under 21.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Dnepr Mogilev or Draw✓ Hit
37.9%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.14
Edge
-5.5%
16%
22%
62%
covers FC Dnepr Mogilev + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.12
SBO
2.07
FC Dnepr Mogilev or FC Isloch Minsk R.✗ Miss
78.4%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.24
Edge
+3.5%
16%
22%
62%
covers FC Dnepr Mogilev + FC Isloch Minsk R.
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
SBO
1.19
Draw or FC Isloch Minsk R.✓ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied 81.7% · @ 1.13
Edge
+2.0%
16%
22%
62%
covers Draw + FC Isloch Minsk R.
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
SBO
1.09
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.9%
@ 1.63+8.1%
Under
35.1%
@ 2.14-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.02
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.1%
@ 4.17+5.7%
Under
71.9%
@ 1.20-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.17
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 12.33+1.3%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.02-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.6%
@ 1.15+8.3%
Under
11.4%
@ 4.67-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.95
Superbet
4.40
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.9%
@ 1.83+12.6%
Under
36.1%
@ 1.93-12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.85
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.0%
@ 3.50+10.5%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.26-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.24
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 7.30+5.0%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.04-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Dnepr Mogilev, so a minus line means FC Dnepr Mogilev give that many goals of a start and FC Isloch Minsk R. receive them. At -1, FC Dnepr Mogilev must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Dnepr Mogilev win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Dnepr Mogilev)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Dnepr Mogilev -2
1.7%
Draw -2
4.4%
FC Isloch Minsk R. +2
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Dnepr Mogilev)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Dnepr Mogilev -1
6.1%
@ 7.20-5.0%
Draw -1
10.2%
@ 4.33-8.3%
FC Isloch Minsk R. +1
83.7%
@ 1.14+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap +1 (FC Dnepr Mogilev)Actual: FC Dnepr Mogilev
FC Dnepr Mogilev +1
37.9%
@ 2.17-3.1%
Draw +1
22.2%
@ 3.40-4.0%
FC Isloch Minsk R. -1
39.9%
@ 2.71+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.17
Draw
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
2.71
Handicap +2 (FC Dnepr Mogilev)Actual: FC Dnepr Mogilev
FC Dnepr Mogilev +2
60.1%
@ 1.37-4.8%
Draw +2
19.0%
@ 4.85+0.6%
FC Isloch Minsk R. -2
20.9%
@ 5.30+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.37
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Marathonbet
5.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.59
0.75
0.50
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.86
0.29
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.37
1.12
0.38
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.39+10.6%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 2.78-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.80
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Superbet
2.67
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.9%
@ 2.82+16.0%
Under 1.5
51.1%
@ 1.38-16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.81
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 6.95+5.1%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.05-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.10
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
Under
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.2%
@ 2.91-0.5%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.35+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.83
Under
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 11.00-92.8%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
69.8%
@ 1.73+16.1%
Under
30.2%
@ 2.00-16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.69
Under
1xBet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 4.58+12.9%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.15-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.82
0.67
0.75
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
1.33
0.33
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.86
0.29
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.32
1.12
0.25
0.73
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
83.3%
@ 1.24+8.8%
Under 0.5
16.7%
@ 3.60-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
55.1%
@ 2.16+12.0%
Under 1.5
44.9%
@ 1.64-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.56
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.2%
@ 4.67+9.4%
Under 2.5
70.8%
@ 1.15-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Under
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.7%
@ 2.44+0.7%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.49-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 8.90+2.4%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.02-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
8.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
72.9%
@ 1.51+11.7%
Under
27.1%
@ 2.39-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.30
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 3.27+8.6%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.28-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 8.80+3.5%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.02-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Under
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.1%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.2%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.6%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
+8.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.0%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
-
+13.8%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
83.7%
1.13
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
SBO
1.09
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.7%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+13.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.24
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
+8.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
82.5%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.7%
1.05
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.4%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
SBO
1.19
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
77.7%
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-7.8%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.39
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
William Hil
1.36
+10.6%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 2H goals
72.9%
1.51
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.48
-
-
-
+11.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
71.9%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.17
-
-
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
70.8%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
-
-9.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
FC Dnepr Mogilev and FC Isloch Minsk R. have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Dnepr Mogilev and FC Isloch Minsk R. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Dnepr Mogilev and FC Isloch Minsk R. have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FC Dnepr Mogilev and FC Isloch Minsk R. have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)