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FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 12:00
FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
Vs
62%
21%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FC Fredericia are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 62% chance of a home win. The team’s recent home form, 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded against similar opposition, shows a solid but not dominant attack, while Esbjerg’s away record of 1.71 scored and 1.79 conceded suggests they will struggle to breach Fredericia’s defence. The model’s pick is a home victory, reflected in the 62% home win probability, 21% draw, and 17% away win.

The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total being 3, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for the home side, carrying a 9.7% probability.

Suggested picks include an almost certain 99.1% chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, 97.8% for “Under 7.5”, 97.4% for “Away under 2.5 2H goals” with a 6% edge, 97.3% for “Away under 3.5 goals” with a 4% edge, 95.4% for “Home under 2.5 HT goals” with a 7% edge, 94.4% for “Under 6.5” with a 6% edge, 93.5% for “Home +2 handicap”, and 93.0% for “Away under 1.5 HT goals” with a 6% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Fredericia win
62.3%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.49
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.52
Dafabet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Draw
21.0%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.61
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.09
1xBet
4.85
BetVictor
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Esbjerg win
16.7%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 5.13
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Dafabet
5.40
Betano
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L41W30W11D60W11D30W00D12L12LA·VEJ10/05H·SIL17/05H·HB 25/07A·AB 31/07A·SFB04/08H·VEN09/08A·AAL14/08H·AAR21/08H·ODE26/08A·HVI30/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.801.331.871.801.73
vs Stronger (6)1.672.831.503.501.752.50
vs Similar (20)1.301.751.181.821.441.67
vs Weaker (4)2.750.502.000.503.500.50
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-641W21W11D32W60W12L12L24L51W02LA·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08A·VEJ21/08A·SKI25/08H·VEN30/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.501.501.291.881.69
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.561.401.360.911.711.79
vs Weaker (3)3.331.332.002.006.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.0%
@ 1.10+1.2%
Under 1.5
14.0%
@ 6.09-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Under
Pinnacle
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.37-2.0%
Under 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.87+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.8%
@ 1.97-3.7%
Under 3.5
56.2%
@ 1.78+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.06
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Under
Betfair
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
61.1%
@ 1.47-1.6%
No
38.9%
@ 2.47+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
No
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%@ 7.55+3.9%
1-1
9.5%@ 8.74+4.4%
2-0
8.7%@ 9.02+3.8%
3-1
7.4%@ 9.51+2.7%
1-0
6.8%@ 10.11+2.5%
3-0
6.6%@ 11.48+2.7%
2-2
5.4%@ 11.95+1.7%
1-2
4.8%@ 14.62+1.8%
FC Fredericia goals ↓
Esbjerg goals →
01234
04.3%2.9%2.1%0.8%0.2%
16.8%9.5%4.8%1.8%0.5%
28.7%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
36.6%7.4%4.1%1.5%0.4%
43.7%4.2%2.3%0.9%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Fredericia goals (down), columns = Esbjerg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
FC Fredericia is 0.83 points better than Esbjerg in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
FC Fredericia is 0.17 goals better than Esbjerg in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
FC Fredericia is 1.50 goals better than Esbjerg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Fredericia or Draw
83.3%
Avg Implied 81.9% · @ 1.13
Edge
+1.4%
62%
21%
17%
covers FC Fredericia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
FC Fredericia or Esbjerg
79.0%
Avg Implied 80.4% · @ 1.15
Edge
-1.3%
62%
21%
17%
covers FC Fredericia + Esbjerg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Draw or Esbjerg
37.7%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.46
Edge
-0.0%
62%
21%
17%
covers Draw + Esbjerg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.52
1xBet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.50

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5
Over
89.6%
@ 1.06+0.9%
Under
10.4%
@ 8.28-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Under
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Betano
6.80
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5
Over
66.1%
@ 1.38-1.2%
Under
33.9%
@ 2.84+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Under
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
BetVictor
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5
Over
39.5%
@ 2.19-3.0%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.62+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
FC Fredericia over/under 3.5
Over
19.3%
@ 4.03-3.6%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.20+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.35
Pinnacle
4.19
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Esbjerg over/under 0.5
Over
67.3%
@ 1.36-0.8%
Under
32.7%
@ 2.90+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Esbjerg over/under 1.5
Over
30.7%
@ 2.75-3.0%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.40+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Esbjerg over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
@ 6.81-3.3%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Esbjerg over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
@ 17.06-2.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
1xBet
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
1xBet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Fredericia, so a minus line means FC Fredericia give that many goals of a start and Esbjerg receive them. At -1, FC Fredericia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Fredericia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Fredericia)
FC Fredericia -2
21.8%
@ 3.81-1.6%
Draw -2
18.8%
@ 4.47-1.1%
Esbjerg +2
59.3%
@ 1.57+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Handicap -1 (FC Fredericia)
FC Fredericia -1
40.7%
@ 2.20+0.3%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.78-1.9%
Esbjerg +1
37.7%
@ 2.47+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Marathonbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Handicap +1 (FC Fredericia)
FC Fredericia +1
83.3%
@ 1.14+6.2%
Draw +1
10.2%
@ 6.45-3.4%
Esbjerg -1
6.5%
@ 9.44-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.90
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Handicap +2 (FC Fredericia)
FC Fredericia +2
93.5%
@ 1.04+2.4%
Draw +2
4.6%
@ 17.00-1.0%
Esbjerg -2
1.9%
@ 29.00-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D01L20W01L00D00D12L10WA·VEJ10/05H·SIL17/05H·HB 25/07A·AB 31/07A·SFB04/08H·VEN09/08A·AAL14/08H·AAR21/08H·ODE26/08A·HVI30/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.930.731.070.870.80
vs Stronger (6)1.001.331.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.900.821.000.780.78
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.000.501.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L11D20W40W00D00D11D30W01LA·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08A·VEJ21/08A·SKI25/08H·VEN30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.640.711.060.50
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.550.450.930.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.671.001.004.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.9%
@ 1.20-3.5%
Under 0.5
26.1%
@ 4.11+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.01-9.4%
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.74+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
SBO
2.07
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 4.09-8.4%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.19+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Under
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
58.9%
@ 1.45-5.2%
Under
41.1%
@ 2.59+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.55
Unibet
2.48
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
@ 3.07-12.7%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.33+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Under
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.6%
@ 7.53-7.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Betano
7.50
Superbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.7%
@ 2.28-6.0%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.56+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.7%
@ 7.62-6.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.05+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.40
1xBet
7.30
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
@ 28.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D30W10W40W10W30W00D00D02LA·VEJ10/05H·SIL17/05H·HB 25/07A·AB 31/07A·SFB04/08H·VEN09/08A·AAL14/08H·AAR21/08H·ODE26/08A·HVI30/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.600.800.930.93
vs Stronger (6)0.671.500.501.500.751.50
vs Similar (20)0.500.850.360.820.670.89
vs Weaker (4)2.250.002.000.002.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W00D12L20W12L12L13L21W01LA·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08A·VEJ21/08A·SKI25/08H·VEN30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.860.570.811.19
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.800.920.820.450.791.29
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.11-5.7%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 5.67+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Betano
5.60
Superbet
5.60
William Hil
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.60-5.9%
Under 1.5
47.9%
@ 2.21+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 2.80-11.9%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.39+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.90
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.7%
@ 1.30-8.7%
Under
37.3%
@ 3.24+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Under
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.5%
@ 2.38-13.3%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.51+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.36
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.48
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.7%
@ 5.34-6.6%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.12+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.4%
@ 1.89-6.7%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.82+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
@ 5.44-6.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.11+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
@ 15.33-4.4%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
--+4.4%
Under 7.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+2.3%
Away under 3.5 goals97.3%1.01
1xBet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-+2.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.4%1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-+7.7%
Under 6.594.3%1.05
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-+3.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.3%1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+6.4%
Home +2 handicap93.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.7%1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+6.7%
Away under 2.5 goals89.7%1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+3.3%
Home over 0.5 goals89.6%1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+0.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals89.3%1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-+6.6%
Under 5.587.3%1.11
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+3.5%
Over 1.586.0%1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+1.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals85.8%1.19
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
+8.4%
Home or Draw83.3%1.13
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+1.4%
Home +1 handicap83.3%1.14
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-+6.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.5%1.33
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
+12.7%
Home under 3.5 goals80.7%1.20
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
+3.6%
Home or Away79.0%1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
-1.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals78.8%1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
+11.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals77.9%1.11
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-5.7%
Under 4.574.8%1.31
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
+3.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals74.5%1.51
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.48
+13.3%
Over 0.5 HT goals73.9%1.20
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
-3.5%

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Fredericia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Friday Etim29%
Oscar Buch27%
Sofus Johannesen27%
Jonatan Lindekilde24%
Agon Mucolli19%
Gustav Marcussen14%
Felix Winther11%
Svenn Crone10%
Patrick Egelund7%
Anders Dahl6%
Emilio Simonsen5%
William Madsen5%
Eskild Dall4%
Jeppe Kudsk4%
Jakob Jessen3%
Moses Opondo0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Haarbo33%
Jeppe Kudsk26%
Emilio Simonsen25%
Friday Etim21%
Svenn Crone20%
Felix Winther19%
Moses Opondo12%
Oscar Buch9%
Eskild Dall9%
Andreas Pyndt7%
Adam Nygaard7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Daniel Kristjansson6%
Jakob Jessen6%
William Madsen5%
Sofus Johannesen5%
Gustav Marcussen3%
Frederik Rieper3%
Patrick Egelund0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jonatan Lindekilde0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Kristjansson19%
Emilio Simonsen15%
Jakob Jessen12%
Jonatan Lindekilde12%
Andreas Pyndt11%
Sofus Johannesen9%
Eskild Dall9%
Felix Winther7%
Friday Etim7%
Gustav Marcussen7%
Patrick Egelund7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Moses Opondo6%
Anders Dahl6%
William Madsen5%
Oscar Buch5%
Adam Nygaard4%
Svenn Crone0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Friday Etim43%
Oscar Buch23%
Sofus Johannesen23%
Jonatan Lindekilde18%
Agon Mucolli12%
Emilio Simonsen10%
Felix Winther4%
Moses Opondo0%
Patrick Egelund0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Svenn Crone0%
Gustav Marcussen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Eskild Dall0%
William Madsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jakob Jessen0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
FC Fredericia's squad is €2m more valuable than Esbjerg's (€8m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
FC Fredericia and Esbjerg have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
FF wins
1
Draws
0
ESB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Fredericia vs Esbjerg · H/A from FF
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HFF Vs Esbjerg1-1
22/04/25AEsbjerg Vs FF0-2
19/10/24AEsbjerg Vs FF0-3
11/08/24HFF Vs Esbjerg4-0

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AHvidovre Vs FF2-1
26/08/26HFF Vs Odense1-2
21/08/26HFF Vs Aarhus Fremad0-0
14/08/26AAalborg Vs FF0-3
09/08/26HFF Vs Vendsyssel FF1-1
04/08/26ASfB-Oure Vs FF0-6
31/07/26AAB Copenhagen Vs FF1-1
25/07/26HFF Vs HB Koge3-0
17/05/26HFF Vs Silkeborg4-1
10/05/26AVejle Vs FF2-0

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HESB Vs Vendsyssel FF0-2
25/08/26ASkive Vs ESB1-5
21/08/26AVejle Vs ESB4-2
15/08/26HESB Vs Hobro1-2
09/08/26AHvidovre Vs ESB2-1
06/08/26ABogense Vs ESB0-6
01/08/26AHillerød Vs ESB2-3
25/07/26HESB Vs Kolding IF1-1
31/05/26HESB Vs Lyngby2-1
25/05/26AHvidovre Vs ESB1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.36
HomeWWDDL1.21
AwayLDWWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%29%42%
AVG goals3.303.123.46
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %66%58%73%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.661.461.85
Conceded1.641.671.62
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners11.5611.5611.56
Cards2.903.072.71
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.50
HomeWWDLL1.57
AwayWWLLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%43%44%
AVG goals2.962.573.30
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %52%43%59%
Over 3.5 %30%22%37%
Scored1.521.351.67
Conceded1.441.221.63
BTTS56%52%59%
Clean Sheet22%26%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches