PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FC Fredericia vs Kolding IF Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
Vs
54%
25%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Fredericia winâś“ Hit
53.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF winâś— Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W20W00D20W00D21W41W12L11D33DA·B 918/08H·AC 22/08A·HB 27/08A·VEN01/09H·FC 17/09A·KOL22/09H·NAE01/10H·SON06/10A·HIL20/10A·FC 28/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.202.200.932.001.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.691.561.711.431.671.67
vs Weaker (14)2.570.792.620.502.501.17
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L12L40W13L10W12L32W31W04L01LH·SON18/08A·VEN23/08H·FC 26/08A·AAL03/09A·HB 14/09H·FC 22/09A·HOB01/10H·HB 07/10A·SON20/10H·AAL28/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.571.861.291.291.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.421.671.501.501.331.83
vs Weaker (2)2.501.004.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0 âś“
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
FC Fredericia goals ↓
Kolding IF goals →
01234
06.0%4.6%3.2%1.2%0.3%
18.2%12%6.0%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.8%5.6%2.1%0.6%
35.4%6.1%3.5%1.3%0.4%
42.5%2.9%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Fredericia goals (down), columns = Kolding IF goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
AC Horsens
1.34
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
FC Fredericia is 0.06 points worse than Kolding IF in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
B 93
1.41
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
FC Fredericia is 0.19 goals worse than Kolding IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
FC Fredericia is 0.12 goals better than Kolding IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D00D10W10W10W01L03LA·B 918/08H·AC 22/08A·HB 27/08A·VEN01/09H·FC 17/09A·KOL22/09H·NAE01/10H·SON06/10A·HIL20/10A·FC 28/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.330.800.130.730.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.380.570.140.440.56
vs Weaker (14)1.070.291.000.121.170.50
Clean sheet %77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W01L00D01L11D00D02L01LH·SON18/08A·VEN23/08H·FC 26/08A·AAL03/09A·HB 14/09H·FC 22/09A·HOB01/10H·HB 07/10A·SON20/10H·AAL28/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.640.570.570.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.670.330.670.500.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W00D20W00D11D31W02L10W30WA·B 918/08H·AC 22/08A·HB 27/08A·VEN01/09H·FC 17/09A·KOL22/09H·NAE01/10H·SON06/10A·HIL20/10A·FC 28/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.871.400.801.270.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.191.141.291.221.11
vs Weaker (14)1.500.501.620.381.330.67
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D20W12L10W11D21W31W02L00DH·SON18/08A·VEN23/08H·FC 26/08A·AAL03/09A·HB 14/09H·FC 22/09A·HOB01/10H·HB 07/10A·SON20/10H·AAL28/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.931.290.710.861.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.001.001.170.830.831.17
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.2%-------âś— Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Fredericia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Friday Etim29%
Oscar Buch27%
Sofus Johannesen27%
Jonatan Lindekilde24%
Agon Mucolli19%
Gustav Marcussen14%
Felix Winther11%
Svenn Crone10%
Patrick Egelund7%
Anders Dahl6%
Emilio Simonsen5%
William Madsen5%
Eskild Dall4%
Jeppe Kudsk4%
Jakob Jessen3%
Moses Opondo0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Haarbo33%
Jeppe Kudsk26%
Emilio Simonsen25%
Friday Etim21%
Svenn Crone20%
Felix Winther19%
Moses Opondo12%
Oscar Buch9%
Eskild Dall9%
Andreas Pyndt7%
Adam Nygaard7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Daniel Kristjansson6%
Jakob Jessen6%
William Madsen5%
Sofus Johannesen5%
Gustav Marcussen3%
Frederik Rieper3%
Patrick Egelund0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jonatan Lindekilde0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Kristjansson19%
Emilio Simonsen15%
Jakob Jessen12%
Jonatan Lindekilde12%
Andreas Pyndt11%
Sofus Johannesen9%
Eskild Dall9%
Felix Winther7%
Friday Etim7%
Gustav Marcussen7%
Patrick Egelund7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Moses Opondo6%
Anders Dahl6%
William Madsen5%
Oscar Buch5%
Adam Nygaard4%
Svenn Crone0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Friday Etim43%
Oscar Buch23%
Sofus Johannesen23%
Jonatan Lindekilde18%
Agon Mucolli12%
Emilio Simonsen10%
Felix Winther4%
Moses Opondo0%
Patrick Egelund0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Svenn Crone0%
Gustav Marcussen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Eskild Dall0%
William Madsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jakob Jessen0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
FC Fredericia's squad is €3m more valuable than Kolding IF's (€8m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
FC Fredericia and Kolding IF have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
FC Fredericia and Kolding IF have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
FC Fredericia's defence is €2m more valuable than Kolding IF's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FF wins
0
Draws
0
KI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Fredericia vs Kolding IF · H/A from FF
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/23AKolding IF Vs FF1-2

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23AFC Helsingor Vs FF3-3
20/10/23AHillerød Vs FF1-1
06/10/23HFF Vs Sonderjyske1-2
01/10/23HFF Vs Naestved4-1
22/09/23AKolding IF Vs FF1-2
17/09/23HFF Vs FC Helsingor0-0
01/09/23AVendsyssel FF Vs FF0-2
27/08/23AHB Koge Vs FF0-0
22/08/23HFF Vs AC Horsens2-0
18/08/23AB 93 Vs FF0-5

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23HKI Vs Aalborg0-1
20/10/23ASonderjyske Vs KI4-0
07/10/23HKI Vs HB Koge3-1
01/10/23AHobro Vs KI2-3
22/09/23HKI Vs FC Fredericia1-2
14/09/23AHB Koge Vs KI0-1
03/09/23AAalborg Vs KI3-1
26/08/23HKI Vs FC Helsingor4-0
23/08/23AVendsyssel FF Vs KI2-1
18/08/23HKI Vs Sonderjyske1-3

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.52
HomeWWDWL1.55
AwayDWWDD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%45%42%
AVG goals3.202.683.67
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %65%50%79%
Over 3.5 %48%32%62%
Scored1.781.681.88
Conceded1.411.001.79
BTTS54%41%67%
Clean Sheet28%36%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.57
HomeLWLWL1.71
AwayLLWWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%57%43%
AVG goals3.143.143.14
Over 1.5 %86%86%86%
Over 2.5 %79%86%71%
Over 3.5 %43%43%43%
Scored1.571.861.29
Conceded1.571.291.86
BTTS71%71%71%
Clean Sheet14%14%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches