FC Gomel’s recent draw and a 0-0 stalemate against Slavia Mozyr suggest a cautious start, yet the Pythia model still sees a home win as the clear favourite, giving a 76% probability. The model’s confidence stems from Gomel’s solid home form, averaging 1.71 goals scored and only 0.86 conceded against similar opposition, while Belshina’s away record is weaker, conceding 1.58 goals on average. The expected total goals hover at 3.6, with the most likely total being three goals at a 21% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Gomel, with a 10.1% probability. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 76%, 15% and 9% respectively. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.7%), Home +2 handicap (97.3%), Under 7.5 (96.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.2%) and Under 5.5 cards (94.2%).
Results analysis
FC Gomel’s recent win extended their positive run, and the model’s forecast of a home victory proved accurate as the match finished 1-0 in their favour. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 76% probability and the prediction held true. Every model selection also materialised: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Home +2 handicap at 97.2%, Under 7.5 at 96.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 94.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.1%, and Away under 2.5 goals also at 94.1%. The most likely scoreline of 2-0, 3-0 or 2-1 was not reached, but the overall outcome matched the model’s expectations.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Gomel win✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.01
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
5.20
Dafabet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Pinnacle
5.00
Belshina win✗ Miss
8.7%
Avg Implied 10.0% · @ 9.13
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
William Hil
9.50
Dafabet
9.00
Pinnacle
8.56
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Gomel
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.13
1.65
0.94
0.92
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.54
1.00
1.87
0.87
1.09
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.17
1.62
0.94
1.71
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.50
1.25
1.50
0.92
1.50
1.58
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.80
2.00
1.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.3%
@ 1.16+9.6%
Under 1.5
11.7%
@ 4.27-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.0%
@ 1.63+12.5%
Under 2.5
30.0%
@ 2.20-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.68
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Under
Marathonbet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
SBO
2.11
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.9%
@ 2.47+11.8%
Under 3.5
51.1%
@ 1.46-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
@ 2.00+8.8%
No
44.7%
@ 1.73-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
No
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.1%@ 5.79+2.5%
3-0
9.2%@ 7.41+3.3%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.82+3.3%
3-1
8.1%@ 10.96+4.1%
1-1
7.1%@ 9.16+2.3%
1-0 ✓
6.7%@ 6.62+0.1%
4-0
6.3%@ 12.26+2.7%
4-1
5.5%@ 17.81+3.1%
FC Gomel goals ↓
Belshina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
1.7%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
1
6.7%
7.1%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
2
10%
8.9%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
9.2%
8.1%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
4
6.3%
5.5%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Gomel goals (down), columns = Belshina goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
FC Gomel is 0.33 points better than Belshina in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Gomel is 0.50 goals better than Belshina in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
FC Gomel is 0.83 goals better than Belshina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
FC Gomel is 12.2 percentage points better than Belshina in terms of average possession (55% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Gomel
For 5.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Belshina
For 3.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Gomel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
10.0
15.0
2.8
2.8
2.7
28.5
29.0
28.0
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
1.4
2.5
0.7
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
11.7
10.0
15.0
2.9
2.8
3.0
28.5
29.0
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
100%
32%
30%
35%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
50%
0%
68%
70%
65%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
8.0
11.0
0.5
0.5
0.4
21.0
15.0
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
10.0
8.0
11.0
0.6
0.7
0.6
21.0
15.0
24.0
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
0%
100%
4%
4%
4%
67%
0%
100%
% under line
33%
100%
0%
96%
96%
96%
33%
100%
0%
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Gomel
11.7
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Bate Borisov
11.2
Baranovichi
11.2
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.7
Naftan
10.7
Dinamo Minsk
10.6
FC Vitebsk
10.3
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.0
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Naftan
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
FC Gomel
3.0
Neman
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Dinamo Brest
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
36.8
Torpedo Zhodino
30.0
FC Gomel
28.5
Dinamo Brest
28.5
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.5
Dinamo Minsk
26.1
Slavia Mozyr
24.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
23.2
Naftan
21.7
Belshina
21.0
FC Vitebsk
20.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
Neman
19.0
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.8%
@ 1.82+17.3%
Under 9.5
32.2%
@ 1.86-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Gomel or Draw✓ Hit
91.3%
Avg Implied 90.0% · @ 1.03
Edge
+1.2%
76%
16%
9%
covers FC Gomel + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
FC Gomel or Belshina✓ Hit
84.5%
Avg Implied 82.1% · @ 1.13
Edge
+2.4%
76%
16%
9%
covers FC Gomel + Belshina
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
SBO
1.09
Draw or Belshina✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.33
Edge
-3.6%
76%
16%
9%
covers Draw + Belshina
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.25
SBO
3.12
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Gomel over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.5%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Under
6.5%
@ 8.40-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
8.40
FC Gomel over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
75.9%
@ 1.40+9.1%
Under
24.1%
@ 2.80-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Under
Marathonbet
2.82
1xBet
2.82
Superbet
2.77
FC Gomel over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
51.6%
@ 2.23+9.7%
Under
48.4%
@ 1.61-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
FC Gomel over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
29.5%
@ 4.10+7.0%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.19-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Belshina over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.4%
@ 1.84+8.2%
Under
41.6%
@ 1.86-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Belshina over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 5.50+5.0%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.12-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Belshina over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 16.00-0.0%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Belshina over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Gomel, so a minus line means FC Gomel give that many goals of a start and Belshina receive them. At -1, FC Gomel must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Gomel win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Gomel)Actual: Belshina
FC Gomel -2
34.8%
@ 3.04+5.3%
Draw -2
21.0%
@ 3.98-1.5%
Belshina +2
44.2%
@ 1.87-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.04
Draw
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
Marathonbet
1.87
Handicap -1 (FC Gomel)Actual: Draw
FC Gomel -1
55.8%
@ 1.87+7.5%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 3.56-5.5%
Belshina +1
24.3%
@ 3.45-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.87
Draw
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Marathonbet
3.45
Handicap +1 (FC Gomel)Actual: FC Gomel
FC Gomel +1
91.3%
Draw +1
5.9%
Belshina -1
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Gomel)Actual: FC Gomel
FC Gomel +2
97.2%
Draw +2
2.2%
Belshina -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Gomel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.53
0.38
0.54
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.42
1.13
0.53
0.45
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.69
0.44
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.54
0.67
0.42
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.28+0.6%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 3.31-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Under
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Pinnacle
3.04
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.3%
@ 2.32-3.6%
Under 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.54+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.27
William Hil
2.25
Under
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 5.17-2.0%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.11+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Under
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Gomel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.8%
@ 1.44-9.7%
Under
45.2%
@ 2.62+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
FC Gomel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 3.13-8.8%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.30+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Gomel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 8.00-5.6%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.04
Belshina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 3.32+7.0%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.28-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Belshina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belshina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Gomel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.65
0.41
0.54
0.85
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.58
0.73
0.33
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.94
0.50
0.86
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.71
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.5%
@ 1.16+2.1%
Under 0.5
18.5%
@ 4.47-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.3%
@ 1.85-1.9%
Under 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.87+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.0%
@ 3.61-1.5%
Under 2.5
76.0%
@ 1.24+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Gomel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
68.1%
@ 1.28-4.5%
Under
31.9%
@ 3.40+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.40
FC Gomel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.3%
@ 2.38-9.4%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.51+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
FC Gomel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 5.20-8.6%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.11+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Belshina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.73+7.2%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.39-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.72
Superbet
2.67
Under
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Belshina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 9.70+1.8%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.02-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Belshina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.1%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
91.3%
1.03
William Hil
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.3%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
+9.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
84.5%
1.13
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
SBO
1.09
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.2%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.5%
1.30
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.3%
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
-
-
-
+16.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.1%
1.12
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.0%
1.24
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
75.9%
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
-
-
+9.1%
✗ Miss
Home win
75.7%
1.28
Dafabet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.7%
1.51
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
-
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
70.5%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-7.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
70.3%
1.15
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-8.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.0%
1.63
SBO
1.68
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
+12.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
FC Gomel's squad is €2m more valuable than Belshina's (€4m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Gomel's attack is €1m more valuable than Belshina's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Gomel and Belshina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FC Gomel and Belshina have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)