This opponent (Smorgon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Smorgon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.43
1.60
1.00
1.67
1.87
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.29
1.67
2.00
0.75
2.50
vs Similar (18)
1.61
1.28
1.50
0.70
1.75
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.80
2.00
1.00
2.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
2-0 â
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
FC Gomel goals ↓
Smorgon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.0%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.0%
13%
7.2%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.4%
9.3%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.9%
5.0%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.6%
2.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Gomel goals (down), columns = Smorgon goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.46
Neman
2.21
FC Vitebsk
2.00
Torpedo Zhodino
1.75
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.68
Bate Borisov
1.68
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.57
FC Gomel
1.46
Slavia Mozyr
1.43
FC Slutsk
1.25
FC Minsk
1.18
Dinamo Brest
1.07
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.93
Smorgon
0.89
Naftan
0.75
Belshina
0.50
FC Gomel is 0.57 points better than Smorgon in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 0.89).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.57
Neman
2.14
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.79
Bate Borisov
1.75
FC Gomel
1.61
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.43
FC Slutsk
1.36
Torpedo Zhodino
1.18
Dinamo Brest
1.18
Slavia Mozyr
1.14
Smorgon
1.07
Naftan
0.96
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.83
FC Minsk
0.75
Belshina
0.75
FC Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel is 0.54 goals better than Smorgon in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.07).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.00
Torpedo Zhodino
0.64
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Neman
0.79
FC Minsk
0.93
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.04
Slavia Mozyr
1.07
Bate Borisov
1.14
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.43
FC Slutsk
1.43
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
FC Gomel
1.71
Dinamo Brest
1.79
Smorgon
2.07
Naftan
2.11
Belshina
2.18
FC Gomel is 0.36 goals better than Smorgon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 2.07).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
FC Gomel
For 4.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Smorgon
For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Gomel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
9.4
9.9
9.1
0.7
0.8
0.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
9.7
8.0
1.0
1.7
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
9.5
10.0
9.2
0.7
0.6
0.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
75%
60%
12%
15%
10%
-
-
-
% under line
33%
25%
40%
88%
85%
90%
-
-
-
This opponent (Smorgon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Smorgon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
10.9
10.8
11.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (8)
11.5
13.0
11.0
1.2
0.7
1.6
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
10.2
10.2
-
0.3
0.5
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
88%
80%
100%
6%
6%
6%
-
-
-
% under line
12%
20%
0%
94%
94%
94%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Naftan
13.7
Slavia Mozyr
11.9
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.9
Smorgon
10.9
Bate Borisov
10.5
FC Minsk
10.4
Belshina
10.4
FC Slutsk
10.2
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
10.0
Dinamo Brest
10.0
Neman
9.9
Dinamo Minsk
9.8
Shakhter Soligorsk
9.7
FC Gomel
9.4
Torpedo Zhodino
9.2
FC Vitebsk
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Neman
5.6
Naftan
5.0
Bate Borisov
5.0
Belshina
4.9
Dinamo Minsk
4.9
Torpedo Zhodino
4.8
FC Minsk
4.6
Shakhter Soligorsk
4.6
Slavia Mozyr
4.5
Dinamo Brest
4.5
FC Vitebsk
4.2
FC Slutsk
4.1
Smorgon
4.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
4.0
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
3.8
FC Gomel
3.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Shakhter Soligorsk
32.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.4%
Under 9.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.9%
Under 3.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Gomel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.44
0.81
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.69
0.50
0.71
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Smorgon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Smorgon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.57
1.00
1.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.39
0.50
0.30
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Gomel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Gomel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Gomel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smorgon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smorgon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smorgon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Gomel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.56
0.75
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.58
0.57
0.64
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Smorgon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Smorgon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.07
0.33
0.93
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.33
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.89
1.00
0.40
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.20
2.00
0.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Gomel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Gomel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Gomel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Gomel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smorgon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smorgon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smorgon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
FC Gomel's squad is €3m more valuable than Smorgon's (€4m vs €2m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Gomel's attack is €1m more valuable than Smorgon's (€2m vs €0m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
SMO (7)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Gomel and Smorgon have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
FC Gomel and Smorgon have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Minsk
Neman
Torpedo Zhodino
Bate Borisov
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Slavia Mozyr
FC Slutsk
FC Minsk
Dinamo Brest
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Naftan
Belshina
FC Vitebsk