FC Isloch Minsk R. enter the game unbeaten in their last five, a 0-0 stalemate against FC Dnepr Mogilev, while Bate Borisov, fresh from a win over FC Minsk, look to exploit their superior away form. The model favours a home win, assigning FC Isloch a 41% chance, a draw 32%, and Bate 26%. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.6%. FC Isloch’s home form shows 2.25 goals scored and only 0.62 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Bate’s away average is 1.1 scored and 1.9 conceded. The model’s selections highlight a near-certain low-scoring outcome: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (97.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.6%) with a 14% edge.
Results analysis
The win extends FC Isloch Minsk R.’s unbeaten run, as they beat Bate Borisov 2-0. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 41% probability, and that call proved correct. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, confirming the predicted outcome. Every suggested pick also settled in favour of the model: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Under 5.5 hit at 97.9%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.6%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3%. The predictions were remarkably accurate, with all selections coming in.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R. win✓ Hit
41.4%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.53
Edge
-18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.77
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
Dafabet
3.85
Bate Borisov win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.75
Edge
+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.16
Pinnacle
5.92
William Hil
5.80
Dafabet
5.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.80
1.62
0.62
1.35
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
1.60
0.65
2.25
0.62
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
2.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bate Borisov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bate Borisov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.57
1.53
1.53
1.13
1.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.90
1.10
1.90
1.10
1.90
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
0.83
3.00
0.67
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.25-9.5%
Under 1.5
36.4%
@ 3.39+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Superbet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.38
1xBet
3.38
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.2%
@ 1.90-14.4%
Under 2.5
64.8%
@ 1.87+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.94
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
SBO
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.3%
@ 3.10-13.1%
Under 3.5
83.7%
@ 1.29+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
@ 1.93-5.0%
No
57.0%
@ 1.78+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
No
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 6.62+7.9%
0-0
13.5%@ 9.59+8.9%
1-0
13.3%@ 5.84+5.8%
0-1
9.7%@ 13.32+6.4%
2-0 ✓
8.8%@ 6.73+2.2%
2-1
7.9%@ 7.51+2.1%
1-2
6.0%@ 17.82+3.5%
0-2
5.0%@ 32.65+3.7%
FC Isloch Minsk R. goals ↓
Bate Borisov goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.7%
5.0%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.8%
7.9%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.5%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Isloch Minsk R. goals (down), columns = Bate Borisov goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 1.07 points better than Bate Borisov in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.83 goals better than Bate Borisov in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.33 goals better than Bate Borisov in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.5 percentage points better than Bate Borisov in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
For 7.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bate Borisov
For 3.2 · Against 8.8 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
13.0
10.5
2.5
2.4
2.7
25.8
29.0
25.0
vs Stronger (7)
13.0
13.0
-
1.4
1.5
1.3
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (34)
11.3
-
11.3
2.7
2.4
2.9
25.3
-
25.3
vs Weaker (9)
8.0
-
8.0
2.8
2.8
2.7
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
60%
100%
50%
26%
29%
23%
80%
100%
75%
% under line
40%
0%
50%
74%
71%
77%
20%
0%
25%
This opponent (Bate Borisov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bate Borisov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
15.0
11.2
3.2
2.8
3.5
26.2
18.0
28.2
vs Stronger (6)
11.0
-
11.0
2.7
1.0
3.5
34.0
-
34.0
vs Similar (35)
12.2
15.0
11.3
3.2
2.6
3.8
24.2
18.0
26.3
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
3.4
4.4
2.2
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
42%
36%
48%
80%
0%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
58%
64%
52%
20%
100%
0%
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bate Borisov
12.0
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
ML Vitebsk
11.7
FC Isloch Minsk R.
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.2
Naftan
10.2
FC Dnepr Mogilev
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.3
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.0
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
31.5
Torpedo Zhodino
30.5
FC Gomel
28.7
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.2
Dinamo Minsk
26.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
25.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Neman
21.8
Belshina
21.8
Arsenal (Belarus)
21.4
Naftan
21.4
FC Vitebsk
20.2
FC Minsk
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
70.1%
Under 9.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.9%
Under 21.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Isloch Minsk R. or Draw✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 84.3% · @ 1.10
Edge
-10.7%
41%
32%
26%
covers FC Isloch Minsk R. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
SBO
1.07
FC Isloch Minsk R. or Bate Borisov✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.22
Edge
-7.8%
41%
32%
26%
covers FC Isloch Minsk R. + Bate Borisov
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.21
SBO
1.18
Draw or Bate Borisov✗ Miss
58.6%
Avg Implied 40.0% · @ 2.32
Edge
+18.5%
41%
32%
26%
covers Draw + Bate Borisov
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
William Hil
2.30
Superbet
2.30
SBO
2.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.9%
@ 1.11-12.9%
Under
30.1%
@ 5.35+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.55
Superbet
5.15
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.8%
@ 1.70-21.5%
Under
66.2%
@ 2.10+21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 3.10-17.8%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.32+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 6.60-10.5%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.06+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Bate Borisov over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.6%
@ 1.68+4.4%
Under
40.4%
@ 2.07-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Bate Borisov over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.0%
@ 4.55+2.5%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.17-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.25
Under
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Bate Borisov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 12.00-1.4%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
Bate Borisov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Isloch Minsk R., so a minus line means FC Isloch Minsk R. give that many goals of a start and Bate Borisov receive them. At -1, FC Isloch Minsk R. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Isloch Minsk R. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Isloch Minsk R.)Actual: Draw
FC Isloch Minsk R. -2
6.2%
@ 4.75-12.6%
Draw -2
12.4%
@ 4.70-6.6%
Bate Borisov +2
81.4%
@ 1.44+19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.44
Handicap -1 (FC Isloch Minsk R.)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Isloch Minsk R. -1
18.6%
@ 2.46-18.0%
Draw -1
22.8%
@ 3.48-3.1%
Bate Borisov +1
58.6%
@ 2.40+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.46
Draw
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Marathonbet
2.40
Handicap +1 (FC Isloch Minsk R.)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Isloch Minsk R. +1
73.5%
@ 1.10+0.9%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 4.75+0.1%
Bate Borisov -1
9.6%
@ 7.60-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
7.60
Handicap +2 (FC Isloch Minsk R.)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Isloch Minsk R. +2
90.4%
Draw +2
7.1%
Bate Borisov -2
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.69
0.31
0.59
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.35
1.12
0.38
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bate Borisov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bate Borisov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.67
0.60
0.13
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.10
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.5%
@ 1.37-1.1%
Under 0.5
33.5%
@ 2.85+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.95
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.8%
@ 2.72-0.2%
Under 1.5
66.2%
@ 1.40+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Pinnacle
2.73
William Hil
2.70
Superbet
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.43
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 6.78-3.8%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
1xBet
6.95
Superbet
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.6%
@ 1.66-4.3%
Under
48.4%
@ 2.10+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 4.50-3.6%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.16+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 13.00-3.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Bate Borisov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.0%
@ 3.03+4.5%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.33-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Superbet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Bate Borisov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 11.75-1.1%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Bate Borisov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.92
0.31
0.76
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.30
1.12
0.25
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bate Borisov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bate Borisov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
0.87
0.93
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.00
0.70
1.10
1.00
0.90
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.22+1.1%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 3.82-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Marathonbet
3.96
1xBet
3.96
Superbet
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 2.10-1.5%
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.68+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
@ 4.46-4.1%
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.17+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Under
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.1%
@ 1.45-4.8%
Under
40.9%
@ 2.56+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.61
Superbet
2.50
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.08-10.2%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.31+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bate Borisov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.1%
@ 2.45+2.4%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.48-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Superbet
2.42
Under
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Bate Borisov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 10.22+1.1%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.01-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bate Borisov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.6%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.7%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.6%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.02
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.06
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.9%
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
+17.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.7%
1.29
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.1%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.4%
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
-
-
-
-
+19.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.0%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.5%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
SBO
1.07
-10.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.5%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and Bate Borisov have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and Bate Borisov have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and Bate Borisov have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and Bate Borisov have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)