The contest between FC Isloch Minsk R. and Dinamo Minsk is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home odds sit at 33 %, a draw at 31 % and the away side at 36 %. The expected total is 2.3 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6 % chance. FC Isloch, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.5 conceded, while Dinamo Minsk, on the road to a weaker opponent, scores 1.8 and concedes only one. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.4 %), Under 5.5 (97.2 % with a 4 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.3 %). The model’s pick remains the away win.
Results analysis
The 1-0 home win for FC Isloch Minsk R. was a shock to the model’s pre-match favourite, Dinamo Minsk, who had a 36 % chance of triumph. The model’s call was wrong. The upset extended Isloch’s five-game winning streak, while Dinamo returned from a defeat. The model’s selection of “Away win” was therefore missed. All suggested picks were settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8 %; Under 6.5 hit at 99.1 %; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3 %; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5 %; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.4 %; Under 5.5 hit at 97.2 %; Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.2 %; and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3 %. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the home victory and left the model’s predictions largely accurate except for the favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R. win✓ Hit
32.8%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.22
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.33
Marathonbet
3.32
Superbet
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 2.95
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Dinamo Minsk win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.24
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
William Hil
2.25
Dafabet
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.90
1.77
0.62
1.53
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
1.75
0.80
2.25
0.62
1.42
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.80
1.73
0.60
1.20
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.10
0.90
1.83
0.83
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.83
0.78
1.88
0.50
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.39+1.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
@ 2.69-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.76
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.31-1.1%
Under 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.57+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
@ 4.20-2.5%
Under 3.5
80.7%
@ 1.17+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Superbet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
@ 1.94-0.3%
No
52.8%
@ 1.75+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
William Hil
1.91
No
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.45+6.6%
0-0
11.7%@ 6.99+5.5%
0-1
10.8%@ 5.93+3.4%
1-0 ✓
10.1%@ 7.76+4.5%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.22+3.0%
2-1
7.3%@ 11.83+3.6%
0-2
7.0%@ 9.52+2.4%
2-0
6.3%@ 15.23+3.4%
FC Isloch Minsk R. goals ↓
Dinamo Minsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.0%
2.7%
0.8%
1
10%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.3%
7.3%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.3%
2.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Isloch Minsk R. goals (down), columns = Dinamo Minsk goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 1.17 points better than Dinamo Minsk in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.42 goals worse than Dinamo Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.08 goals better than Dinamo Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 0.75).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 13.2 percentage points worse than Dinamo Minsk in terms of average possession (47% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
For 6.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Minsk
For 4.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
-
10.0
2.5
2.2
2.7
27.0
-
27.0
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
1.2
1.0
1.3
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
11.0
-
11.0
2.6
2.3
2.9
28.5
-
28.5
vs Weaker (9)
8.0
-
8.0
2.8
2.8
2.7
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
33%
-
33%
26%
29%
23%
100%
-
100%
% under line
67%
-
67%
74%
71%
77%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.5
11.0
2.7
2.5
2.9
26.4
28.8
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
8.0
11.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
23.5
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (15)
9.7
11.0
7.0
2.0
1.9
2.1
29.3
32.5
23.0
vs Weaker (31)
15.0
-
15.0
2.8
2.5
3.1
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
62%
50%
75%
40%
40%
40%
75%
75%
75%
% under line
38%
50%
25%
60%
60%
60%
25%
25%
25%
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Gomel
11.7
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Bate Borisov
11.2
Baranovichi
11.2
Torpedo Zhodino
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.8
Naftan
10.7
Dinamo Minsk
10.4
FC Vitebsk
10.3
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.0
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
FC Gomel
3.0
Neman
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
36.8
Torpedo Zhodino
32.0
FC Gomel
28.5
Dinamo Brest
28.5
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.0
Dinamo Minsk
25.8
Slavia Mozyr
24.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Naftan
21.7
Belshina
21.0
FC Vitebsk
20.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
Neman
19.0
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.4%
Under 9.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Isloch Minsk R. or Draw✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied 59.0% · @ 1.57
Edge
+5.2%
33%
31%
36%
covers FC Isloch Minsk R. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.56
SBO
1.53
FC Isloch Minsk R. or Dinamo Minsk✓ Hit
68.7%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.34
Edge
-0.6%
33%
31%
36%
covers FC Isloch Minsk R. + Dinamo Minsk
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.33
SBO
1.27
Draw or Dinamo Minsk✗ Miss
67.2%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.29
Edge
-4.6%
33%
31%
36%
covers Draw + Dinamo Minsk
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
SBO
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.7%
@ 1.48+4.1%
Under
33.3%
@ 2.48-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.56
Marathonbet
2.49
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.40
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.1%
@ 3.32+2.2%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.29-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 9.23-0.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.03+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.60
Superbet
8.20
Under
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.7%
@ 1.29-2.5%
Under
31.3%
@ 3.20+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.3%
@ 2.50-4.9%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.49+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Marathonbet
2.55
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 5.82-4.6%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.09+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Dinamo Minsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 2.75-30.7%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.40+30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.40
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Isloch Minsk R., so a minus line means FC Isloch Minsk R. give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Minsk receive them. At -1, FC Isloch Minsk R. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Isloch Minsk R. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (FC Isloch Minsk R.)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Isloch Minsk R. +1
64.1%
@ 1.58+7.0%
Draw +1
20.3%
@ 3.84-3.2%
Dinamo Minsk -1
15.5%
@ 4.65-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.58
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Away
Marathonbet
4.65
Handicap +2 (FC Isloch Minsk R.)Actual: FC Isloch Minsk R.
FC Isloch Minsk R. +2
84.5%
@ 1.12+13.2%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 4.75-6.3%
Dinamo Minsk -2
5.0%
@ 6.65-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
0.92
0.31
0.71
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.40
1.12
0.38
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.73
0.20
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.33
0.75
0.00
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
66.1%
@ 1.49+4.1%
Under 0.5
33.9%
@ 2.44-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.49
William Hil
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.6%
@ 3.28+4.4%
Under 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.29-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Superbet
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Under
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.1%
@ 8.95-0.5%
Under 2.5
89.9%
@ 1.05+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
William Hil
9.00
Superbet
8.20
Under
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.3%
@ 2.56+5.0%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.45-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.57
Pinnacle
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 10.72+2.3%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.01-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.8%
@ 2.14+0.4%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.63-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 7.70+0.7%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.04-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.85
0.31
0.82
0.59
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.40
1.12
0.25
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.44
1.12
0.50
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.31+3.2%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.15-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
3.15
William Hil
3.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.0%
@ 2.44+2.3%
Under 1.5
60.0%
@ 1.48-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
William Hil
2.45
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Under
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
William Hil
1.44
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 5.74+1.1%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.09-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.55
Under
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.5%
@ 2.09+2.4%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.65-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Under
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 7.30+0.8%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.05-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.0%
@ 1.80+1.8%
Under
47.0%
@ 1.89-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Under
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Superbet
1.88
Dinamo Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 5.25-0.8%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.12+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Dinamo Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.1%
1.02
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.0%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.05
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.09
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.5%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.7%
1.17
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.8%
1.31
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Minsk · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Alfred33%
Raymond Adeola25%
Aleksei Gavrilovich20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Dmitri Podstrelov0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Rai Lopes0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steven Alfred67%
Daniil Kulikov40%
Aleksei Gavrilovich40%
Vladislav Kalinin40%
Trofim Melnichenko25%
Dmitri Podstrelov20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Pavel Sedko20%
Nikita Demchenko17%
Vadim Pigas17%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Rai Lopes0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Boni Amian0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rai Lopes17%
Vadim Pigas17%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Aleksei Gavrilovich0%
Dmitri Podstrelov0%
Gleb Zherdev0%
Steven Alfred0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Alfred67%
Dmitri Podstrelov20%
Gleb Zherdev20%
Daniil Kulikov0%
Aleksandr Selyava0%
Aleksei Gavrilovich0%
Pavel Sedko0%
Sergei Politevich0%
Nikita Demchenko0%
Rai Lopes0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Vladislav Kalinin0%
Raymond Adeola0%
Fedor Lapoukhov0%
Joseph Okoro0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
FC Isloch Minsk R.'s squad is €5m less valuable than Dinamo Minsk's (€4m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R.'s attack is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Minsk's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R.'s midfield is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Minsk's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FC Isloch Minsk R.'s defence is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Minsk's (€2m vs €3m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)